Benfica Lisbon vs Moreirense Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

Portugal - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
25/04/2026 13:00
Moreirense

Prediction :

 

Benfica wins and under 3.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Liga Portugal Predictions

Benfica continue their late push for the title when they play host to Moreirense at Estadio da Luz on match day 31 of Liga Portugal. The hosts are second in the league standings, while the visitors are seventh. Here's our match prediction.

Benfica have four games left to spare and are still firmly in contention for the league title. As things stand, they are seven points behind league leaders FC Porto.

The Eagles have established themselves as the team to beat this season. They have avoided defeat in their last 30 games, recording 21 wins and nine draws. Heading into this clash, they have won two straight games.

Their most recent league game was against the reigning champions, Sporting Lisbon. Goals from Andreas Schjelderup and Rafa Silva guided the team to a narrow 2-1 away victory.

Moreirense have their sights set on a mid-table finish this season. However, they risk slipping further down the table with four teams breathing down their necks.

Os verdes e brancos returned to winning ways last time out against Estoril Praia, winning 1-0 at home. That result couldn't have come at a better time for a side that was on a seven-match winless run.

The aim heading into this clash is to secure back-to-back wins for just the third time this season. However, away form could be an issue considering they have gone three games without a win.

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Benfica Lisbon v Moreirense Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.11 8.8 20
Melbet
1.08 11 28
Betwinner
1.08 11 28
Bet365
1.09 10 15
Roobet
1.13 7.8 16
Check all Benfica Lisbon vs Moreirense odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and Moreirense?

Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs Moreirense match is: Benfica wins and under 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/04/2026 between Benfica Lisbon and Moreirense in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.14% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against Moreirense with odds of 1.14 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs Moreirense is 22.48% with odds of 11 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 12.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Moreirense vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 28 at Melbet.

Benfica Lisbon - Moreirense Prediction and Best Odds:

Benfica Lisbon Moreirense Prediction Probability Odds
Benfica Lisbon wins 65.14% 1.14 at LSbet
Over 2.5 goals 57.36%
Both Team To Score: No 51.25%
Half-time / Full-time : Benfica Lisbon/Benfica Lisbon 30.81% 1.45 at LSbet

Benfica Lisbon vs Moreirense Form

Benfica Lisbon and Moreirense's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Benfica Lisbon
80 34 23 11 0 +49
7 Moreirense
43 34 12 7 15 -12

Benfica Lisbon and Moreirense Last Matches

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon Last matches
D W W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  0
Nacional Madeira

6 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
1 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

14 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
Porto
W L W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  0
Nacional Madeira

21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
Porto

21 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
AVS Futebol SAD

17 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
0 :  1
Real Madrid

8 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
FC Alverca SAD
W L W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

6 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
1 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

14 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

2 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

25 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

13 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon
Moreirense
Moreirense Last matches
D L L L D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

20 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
1 :  0
Estoril

10 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  1
Moreirense

4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  1
SC Braga

21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  1
Arouca

15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
3 :  0
Moreirense

7 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
1 :  1
Nacional Madeira
L L D L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
1 :  0
Estoril

4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  1
SC Braga

21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  1
Arouca

7 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
1 :  1
Nacional Madeira

21 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

7 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
1 :  2
Gil Vicente
L L W D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  1
Moreirense

15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
3 :  0
Moreirense

1 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
1 :  1
Moreirense

16 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  2
Moreirense

30 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  0
Moreirense

17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
2 :  1
Moreirense

Benfica Lisbon vs Moreirense Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Benfica Lisbon

50 %

Draw

50 %

Moreirense

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

14 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  4
Benfica Lisbon

8 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  2
Moreirense

30 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
1 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

14 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Moreirense

3 Dec 2023 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

17 Dec 2022 - Portugal League Cup

Moreirense
1 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

Benfica Lisbon against Moreirense Lineups: Starting 11

Benfica Lisbon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
A. Trubin
6
A. Bah
4
A. Silva
30
N. Otamendi
26
S. Dahl
20
R. Rios
18
L. Barreiro
11
D. Lukebakio
27
Rafa Silva
8
F. Aursnes
14
V. Pavlidis
11
Alan
10
F. Ribeiro Tome Tavares Bondoso
25
A. Assis
78
L. Costa Araujo
21
R. Alonso Martin
8
M. Stjepanovic
2
D. Travassos
66
G. Batista
26
Maracas
70
Fabiano
13
A. Ferreira

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Moreirense

Substitutes

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
Goalkeeper

S. Soares

Defender

A. Dedic

A. Bah 58'

Midfielder

A. Schjelderup

Rafa Silva 58'

G. Sudakov

E. Barrenechea

F. Ivanovic

V. Pavlidis 74'

M. Silva

R. Rios 90'

Forward

G. Prestianni

D. Lukebakio 57'

Bruma

Moreirense
Moreirense
Goalkeeper

C. Secco

Defender

L. Santos

K. Monteiro

Kiko

L. Costa Araujo 67'

Midfielder

N. John

A. Assis 46'

J. Gower

Forward

Yan Maranhao

M. Stjepanovic 79'

C. Teguia Noubi

F. Ribeiro Tome Tavares Bondoso 67'

L. Semedo

Alan 79'

Missing players

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
Midfielder

O. Kokcu

J. Veloso

Moreirense
Moreirense
Defender

D. Pinto

Midfielder

V. Sousa

Forward

J. Jorquera Romero

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Benfica Lisbon
CD Huachipato Moreirense
Top Goalscorer
Greece V. Pavlidis (22 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil G. Schettine (9 Goals)
Best assists
Norway A. Schjelderup (6 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal D. Pinto (7 Assists)

Benfica Lisbon - Moreirense Key Points

  1. Benfica are currently on a two-match winning streak in Liga Portugal.
  2. Moreirense have lost three of their last five league games.
  3. Benfica have seen their last five league games end with under 3.5 goals.
  4. Moreirense have seen their last 16 league games end with under 3.5 goals.
  5. Benfica have won their last two league games against Moreirense.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Moreirense Prediction

Benfica are planning on ending the season unbeaten. The last time they achieved this feat was 48 years ago. To maintain this unbeaten run, they need to beat Moreirense in this upcoming encounter. That should be easy for a side that has won two consecutive league games against this opponent.

Goals may be few and far between in this clash. Moreirense concede often but have not allowed more than 2 goals in their last four league games. In fact, they've seen under 3.5 goals in 25 of their last 30 games. Our Benfica vs Moreirense prediction: Benfica wins and under 3.5 goals. 

Prediction :

 

Benfica wins and under 3.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Benfica Lisbon Moreirense

Benfica Lisbon vs Moreirense Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Benfica Lisbon wins 1.15 1.14 -0.9%
Draw 8.25 11 +33.3%
Moreirense wins 18 28 +55.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 87.0% and is now 87.7% (0.8%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Benfica Lisbon vs Moreirense Prediction