Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in Bundesliga Predictions
Erik ten Hag will kickstart his Bundesliga career at Bayer Leverkusen with a home fixture against Hoffenheim on matchday one of the 2025-26 Bundesliga campaign. This match on Saturday will be played at BayArena, and our prediction is a win for the hosts and over 2.5 goals.
Leverkusen ended last season second in the Bundesliga campaign with 69 points and 13 points behind winners Bayern Munich. Hoffenheim had a tighter season at the wrong end of the table, finishing 15th with 32 points and only three points above the relegation spots.
A 4-0 away win over Grossaspach in the DFB Pokal last Friday started Leverkusen’s competitive campaign of the season. Going back to the friendlies, they have won four of their most recent five fixtures, losing just once.
Leverkusen ended last campaign at home in better shape, winning eight of the last 12 Bundesliga fixtures at this venue.
Hoffenheim also started their season positively, with a 4-0 away win over Hansa Rostock last week in the DFB Pokal competition. That continued their impressive run in the friendlies.
Although they played lower division clubs, there’s nothing more morale-boosting than a win, and Hoffenheim won all four regular friendlies. Their league form hasn’t been great, as Hoffenheim finished last campaign with three defeats and two draws across their last five league fixtures.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayer Leverkusen v Hoffenheim Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.5 | 4.75 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.6 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.4 | 5 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.75 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.8 | 6.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and Hoffenheim?
Our prediction for the Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim match is: Bayer Leverkusen win and over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/08/2025 between Bayer Leverkusen and Hoffenheim in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.22% for a win of Bayer Leverkusen against Hoffenheim with odds of 1.55 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim is 19.04% with odds of 4.94 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.74% chance ⭐ for a win of Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 6.5 at Ladbrokes.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim Form
Bayer Leverkusen and Hoffenheim Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 May 2025 - Bundesliga
3 May 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
4 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
20 Aug 2022 - Bundesliga
Missing players
M. Terrier
V. Gendrey
O. Kabak
ForwardA. Hlozek
Most goals and assists
Bayer Leverkusen
Hoffenheim
A. Grimaldo
(1 Goals)
, 
P. Schick
(1 Goals)
, 
Arthur
(1 Goals)
, 
C. Kofane
(1 Goals)
M. Moerstedt
(2 Goals)
Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim Key Points
- Leverkusen won their last five Bundesliga matches against Hoffenheim, each fixture returning three or more goals.
- Leverkusen’s last three Bundesliga games have seen over 3.5 goals scored.
- Leverkusen won eight of their last 12 home matches in the Bundesliga.
- Hoffenheim lost three of their recent five games in the Bundesliga, with all five fixtures returning four or more goals.
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Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim Prediction
It’s a new era at Bayer Leverkusen as they start their Bundesliga life under Erik ten Hag with this fixture. They are also looking to make up for the loss of key players in the summer transfer market but shouldn’t worry too much about Hoffenheim. The visitors could only barely manage to save their season last year and are unlikely to threaten much.
This fixture in recent years has been full of goals, and that could continue here. That’s why our Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim prediction is Bayer Leverkusen win and over 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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