Spain - LaLiga
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by Kennedy Kechula | in LaLiga Predictions
For the fourth time this season, the football world will switch to Spain to witness another El Clasico! Real Madrid will be traveling to Barcelona, this time for a La Liga game. Going into this match, Barcelona top the standings with 79 points. They have given themselves a four-point buffer ahead of second-placed Real Madrid, so whatever the outcome here, Barcelona will remain on top. In case you are looking to bet on this huge game, below we have you sorted with at least two predictions.
Barcelona are at a vantage point going into this fixture. With four matches to go, a win here will leave them needing just two more points to dethrone Real Madrid. Barca have won the last three Clasicos this season, so they’ll have the mental advantage.
Real Madrid will be pushed more by revenge even as they seek to stay in the title race. They did win the UEFA Super Cup at the start of the season, but turning the tables on Barcelona would be sweeter.
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The Best Betting Odds for Barcelona v Real Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 4 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.91 | 4.2 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.2 | 2.8 | 3.25 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.98 | 3.39 |
|
|
1.93 | 4.1 | 3.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Barcelona and Real Madrid?
Our prediction for the Barcelona vs Real Madrid match is: Barcelona to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/05/2025 between Barcelona and Real Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.02% for a win of Barcelona against Real Madrid with odds of 2.2 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Barcelona vs Real Madrid is 14.88% with odds of 4.32 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Barcelona with odds of 3.8 at BC Game.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Form
Barcelona and Real Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
79 | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 58 |
|
2
|
75 | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 36 |
Barcelona and Real Madrid Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 May 2025 - Champions League
3 May 2025 - LaLiga
30 Apr 2025 - Champions League
26 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2025 - Champions League
26 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 May 2025 - Champions League
3 May 2025 - LaLiga
15 Apr 2025 - Champions League
12 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
2 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
16 Apr 2025 - Champions League
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
16 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
1 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
12 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
Barcelona - Real Madrid: Form Analysis
Barcelona will have no time to recover after their painful elimination from the Champions League earlier in the week. They have the perfect chance to heal from that when they host their archrivals.
This game gives Barca more than just solace; it is a great window towards their 28th La Liga title. Going by their performances against Real Madrid this season, one would imagine the title is within touching distance.
Towards the end of April, they staged a late comeback to beat Real Madrid 3-2 in the Copa del Rey final. That followed another 5-2 comeback win in the Super Cup final in Saudi Arabia. In their first league meeting of the season, Barcelona won 4-0.
Real Madrid will be the underdogs in the fourth Clasico this season.
Real Madrid may have pulled their weight impressively to this end, but in reality they aren’t at their best. Los Blancos will come into this match as clear underdogs, going by their recent performances.
Their three defeats to Barcelona this season are just part of the story. Carlo Ancelotti’s side was easily eliminated from the Champions League courtesy of home and away defeats by Arsenal.
That came before falling in the ill-tempered Copa del Rey final. Right ahead of this match, they labored through a 3-2 win over Celta Vigo in a match they led 3-0.
There haven’t been many positives for Real this season, and it is no wonder they are linked with a new manager – Xabi Alonso.
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Barcelona vs Real Madrid last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
A. Balde
J. Kounde
MidfielderM. Bernal
M. Casado
E. Militao
D. Carvajal
F. Mendy
D. Alaba
A. Rudiger
MidfielderE. Camavinga
ForwardRodrygo
Barcelona & Real Madrid Squad Analysis
This fixture has this season been a playground for Barcelona players. None has enjoyed it more than Raphinha. The Brazilian scored three goals in the three meetings between the teams.
In the Super Cup, he grabbed a brace, and he will look to add to his tally here. With three goal contributions in Barca’s last three matches, he will be a favorite to score here again.
Robert Lewandowski is still finding his way back after injury, and Raphinha, with 16 goals and nine assists in the league, fills in well.
Barcelona’s Lewandowski, Raphinha, and Torres have scored a total of 51 league goals.
Real Madrid will go into this game not worried about where their goals might come from. With good supply, Kylian Mbappe, Jude Bellingham, and Vinicius Jr. can trouble even the best of defenses.
Mbappe actually scored twice against Barcelona in the three matches. He is Real Madrid’s main man in attack and will target adding to his 24 league goals. The real worry for Real will be how they stop Barcelona from hitting them.
This is a genuine concern, having conceded 12 times against Barca this season. It gets deeper imagining they have to do it without six defensive players. Antonio Rudiger, Dani Carvajal, David Alaba, Eder Militao, Eduardo Camavinga, and Ferland Mendy are all ruled out.
Most goals and assists
Barcelona
Real Madrid
R. Lewandowski
(36 Goals)
K. Mbappe
(31 Goals)
L. Yamal
(15 Assists)
, 
Raphinha
(15 Assists)
J. Bellingham
(10 Assists)
Barcelona and Real Madrid Stats in LaLiga
Barcelona - Real Madrid Key Points
- Barcelona have three straight wins against Real Madrid.
- In three of Real Madrid’s last five matches, both teams scored.
- Real Madrid have suffered defeat in four of their last eight matches.
- Barcelona are unbeaten in nine home league matches, winning eight.
- Both teams scored in three of Barcelona’s last four home league matches.
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Our Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction
Barcelona are never shy of going on the offensive, and the hosts do have quality in those positions. A case in point is their 91 La Liga goals so far this season. Dominance in attack as well as against Real Madrid should lift them again on Sunday.
Their only worry will be how to contain Kylian Mbappe. Meanwhile, Real Madrid are short of defensive players, and that could be telling too. Our prediction for Barcelona v Real Madrid is for Barcelona to win and both teams to score.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions
Red card to be shown
This fixture has in recent times been ill-tempered, with emotions flying. With the stakes ahead of the Sunday meeting, we don’t expect many friendly exchanges. A poor tackle or an argument here and there could lead to cards flying too.
The last five meetings between these teams have seen five red cards flashed, and we feel a sending-off could happen here too. Our second prediction is for a red card in this match.
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Barcelona vs Real Madrid match : Frequently asked questions
The Barcelona v Real Madrid match will be played on Sunday, 11th May.
The Barcelona v Real Madrid match will be staged at Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys in Barcelona.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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