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by Daniel Ngulu | in World Cup Predictions
Azerbaijan will welcome Iceland to Baku in the penultimate round of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. The two nations clash in Group D, with one or both sides set to crash out. We have a prediction for the match below.
Hosts Azerbaijan have already lost the ability to qualify directly from this group. They sit at the bottom of the pool following the 2-1 defeat to Ukraine last time out.
After four matches they are still winless, with just a point to show from a possible 12. Interim manager Aykhan Abbasov will not be keeping hopes too high coming into this game, as his team is on a 14-match winless streak. They lost 11 in the process and are also winless in seven at home.
Iceland are targeting the playoff slot in this group and are within three points of that spot. That is currently being held by Ukraine. As it stands, Iceland’s dream for a second World Cup appearance could fail.
This is despite their impressive 2-2 draw with France last time out. Their only win in this group was against Azerbaijan, and the visitors will be eyeing a repeat of that 5-0 win.
One win only in their last seven matches, however, points to a side that might struggle here. The visitors have also been poor on the road, losing seven of their last 10 away matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Azerbaijan v Iceland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6 | 4.2 | 1.53 |
|
|
6.5 | 4.2 | 1.53 |
|
|
5 | 3.9 | 1.53 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.8 | 1.53 |
|
|
6.1 | 4.2 | 1.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Azerbaijan and Iceland?
Our prediction for the Azerbaijan vs Iceland match is: Iceland wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/11/2025 between Azerbaijan and Iceland in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.53% for a win of Azerbaijan against Iceland with odds of 6.5 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Azerbaijan vs Iceland is 16.14% with odds of 4.33 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 59.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Iceland vs Azerbaijan with odds of 1.53 at Bet365.
Azerbaijan vs Iceland Form
Azerbaijan and Iceland's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
|
4
|
1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -9 |
Azerbaijan and Iceland Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Azerbaijan vs Iceland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
Azerbaijan vs Iceland last Lineups
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Azerbaijan
Iceland
E. Makhmudov
(1 Goals)
A. Gudmundsson
(3 Goals)
Azerbaijan - Iceland Key Points
- Azerbaijan are winless in their last two meetings with Iceland.
- Iceland have won three times in their last 10 matches.
- Iceland beat Azerbaijan 5-0 in their latest meeting.
- Azerbaijan lost five of their last seven home matches.
- Azerbaijan are winless in 11 matches.
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Our Azerbaijan vs Iceland Prediction
Azerbaijan will be looking to make the most of their home advantage, but they haven't been doing well lately. In their last 14 matches, the hosts are winless, losing 11 times, and among those defeats was a 5-0 thumping by Iceland.
They are winless in prior meetings with their visitors, who are not at their best either but come here with the better form. Iceland have posted three wins in their last 10 matches, which is way better than Azerbaijan’s run. Our prediction for Azerbaijan v Iceland, therefore, is that Iceland wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
