Augsburg vs Hamburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Augsburg
22/11/2025 09:30
Hamburg

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

1.85
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

The struggling Augsburg and Hamburg look for respite when the sides meet on matchday 11 of the Bundesliga campaign this weekend. This match on Saturday at WWK Arena between the 15th-placed Fuggerstadter and Die Rothosen comes with our prediction of less than 2.5 goals.

After ten rounds, Augsburg’s seven points (W2, D1, L7) see them start just above the relegation zone only on goal difference. Hamburg are only two points above their hosts (W2, D3, L5), which makes this an intriguing match-up for points.

Augsburg lost 3-2 away at Stuttgart before the international break, which was their third defeat in a row. These reverses undid the positives of four points in two games at the start of October.

The hosts have now lost seven of their last nine league games, justifying their position in the relegation zone. Improvements must start at home, as Augsburg were beaten in four of their five league matches this season, only winning against Wolfsburg.

Hamburg held Dortmund to a 1-1 home draw before the international break, giving respite from a run of three consecutive defeats. They have won eight points from their last seven league games, but with only two points from five away games (D2, L3), there’s so much work left for Hamburg to do ahead of this trip.

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The Best Betting Odds for Augsburg v Hamburg Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.3 3.4 3.1
Stake
2.47 3.55 2.9
Melbet
2.33 3.52 2.94
BC Game
2.34 3.4 2.92
Tonybet
2.42 3.55 3
Check all Augsburg vs Hamburg odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Augsburg and Hamburg?

Our prediction for the Augsburg vs Hamburg match is: less than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/11/2025 between Augsburg and Hamburg in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.19% for a win of Augsburg against Hamburg with odds of 2.47 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Augsburg vs Hamburg is 26.36% with odds of 3.66 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 40.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Hamburg vs Augsburg with odds of 3.1 at Bet365.

Augsburg - Hamburg Prediction and Best Odds:

Augsburg Hamburg Prediction Probability Odds
Hamburg wins 40.45% 3.1 at Bet365
Over 2.5 goals 52.73% 2 at Bet365
Both Team To Score: No 52.38%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Hamburg 15.61% 7 at Bet365

Augsburg vs Hamburg Form

Augsburg and Hamburg's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
13
Hamburg
Hamburg
16 16 4 4 8 -10
15
Augsburg
Augsburg
14 16 4 2 10 -15

Augsburg and Hamburg Last Matches

Augsburg
Augsburg Last matches
D D L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
3 :  2
Augsburg

31 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
0 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal

Augsburg
0 :  1
Bochum

25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
0 :  6
Leipzig

18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Köln
1 :  1
Augsburg

8 Oct 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Augsburg
1 :  1
SSV Ulm 1846
L W D L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
0 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal

Augsburg
0 :  1
Bochum

25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
0 :  6
Leipzig

8 Oct 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Augsburg
1 :  1
SSV Ulm 1846

4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
3 :  1
Wolfsburg

20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
1 :  4
1 Fsv Mainz 05
W W L L D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
3 :  2
Augsburg

18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Köln
1 :  1
Augsburg

27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
2 :  1
Augsburg

14 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
2 :  1
Augsburg

23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  3
Augsburg

17 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal

Hallescher
0 :  2
Augsburg
Hamburg
Hamburg Last matches
L L W L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Nov 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
6 :  3
Groningen

8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Köln
4 :  1
Hamburg

28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal

Heidenheim
0 :  1
Hamburg

25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  1
Wolfsburg

18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  1
Hamburg
L W W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Nov 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
6 :  3
Groningen

8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  1
Wolfsburg

5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
4 :  0
1 Fsv Mainz 05

20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
2 :  1
Heidenheim

29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  2
St. Pauli
D L D L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Köln
4 :  1
Hamburg

28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal

Heidenheim
0 :  1
Hamburg

18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  1
Hamburg

28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  0
Hamburg

13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
5 :  0
Hamburg

24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
0 :  0
Hamburg

Augsburg vs Hamburg last Lineups

Augsburg

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
F. Dahmen
40
N. Banks
5
C. Matsima
31
K. Schlotterbeck
30
A. Kade
4
H. Massengo
19
R. Fellhauer
13
D. Giannoulis
32
F. Rieder
20
A. Claude-Maurice
36
M. Komur
7
J. Dompe
11
R. Konigsdorffer
20
F. Vieira
28
M. Muheim
21
N. Remberg
6
A. Sambi Lokonga
16
G. Gocholeishvili
25
J. Torunarigha
44
L. Vuskovic
24
N. Capaldo
1
D. Fernandes

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Hamburg

Substitutes

Augsburg
Augsburg
Goalkeeper

N. Labrovic

Defender

C. Zesiger

F. Rieder 83'

Midfielder

A. Maier

M. Wolf

E. Rexhbecaj

H. Massengo 74'

Forward

I. Gharbi

E. Saad

A. Claude-Maurice 64'

S. Essende

M. Komur 64'

P. Tietz

Hamburg
Hamburg
Goalkeeper

D. Peretz

Defender

W. Mikelbrencis

A. Soumahoro

G. Ramos

N. Capaldo 86'

Midfielder

I. Pherai

A. Sambi Lokonga 86'

Forward

A. Rossing Lelesiit

G. Gocholeishvili 82'

R. Philippe

F. Vieira 72'

F. Balde

R. Glatzel

J. Torunarigha 82'

Missing players

Augsburg
Augsburg
Defender

J. Gouweleeuw

Midfielder

K. Jakic

Hamburg
Hamburg
Defender

D. Elfadli

W. Omari

Midfielder

B. Jatta

Forward

Y. Poulsen

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Augsburg
CD Huachipato Hamburg
Top Goalscorer
Switzerland F. Rieder (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France R. Philippe (4 Goals) Belgium A. Sambi Lokonga (4 Goals)
Best assists
Germany M. Komur (2 Assists)
Switzerland F. Rieder (2 Assists)
Greece D. Giannoulis (2 Assists)
Best assists
Switzerland M. Muheim (4 Assists)

Augsburg - Hamburg Key Points

  1. Augsburg failed to score in their last three home matches in all competitions.
  2. Three of Augsburg’s last five competitive games produced under 2.5 goals.
  3. Hamburg scored only two goals in their five away league games this season.
  4. Hamburg scored just nine goals this season and only Heidenheim have scored fewer.
  5. Three of the last four Bundesliga matches between these sides produced just one match goal, played between 2016 and 2018.
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Our Augsburg vs Hamburg Prediction

Augsburg and Hamburg have won only two matches each in this league season, underlining their growing concerns. Just two points separate the teams in the lower half of the Bundesliga table with the relegation threat looming large. Augsburg command a bit of dominance over Hamburg at home, having won four of their last five visits. That might not count for much, as both teams are struggling for impact, and wins are few and far between.

This could be a tight encounter with neither team having an edge in terms of goal dominance. Our Augsburg vs Hamburg prediction is less than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

1.85
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Augsburg Hamburg

Augsburg vs Hamburg Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Augsburg wins 2.23 2.47 +10.8%
Draw 3.65 3.66 +0.3%
Hamburg wins 3.15 3.1 -1.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Hamburg is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 31.7% and is now 32.3% (0.5%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the Augsburg vs. Hamburg game!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Augsburg vs Hamburg Prediction