Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Atletico Madrid returns to La Liga action with a home game against Real Sociedad this Saturday. This match finds Atletico third, though level on points with fourth-placed Villarreal, while Sociedad are eighth. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Atletico Madrid had their three-game winning run halted in a 3-0 loss to Barcelona in the Copa del Rey. However, that didn’t matter in the end, as Atleti proceeded to the final on aggregate.
Diego Simeone’s men are now on course for a third straight win in La Liga. In their last league match they beat Oviedo 1-0. At home, Atletico have posted three straight wins ahead of this game.
European football is within reach for Real Sociedad. They are just five points below the top six, with 12 games remaining. This isn’t a fixture they’ve done so well in, but they will hope recent form lifts them.
Like Atletico, Erreala are coming from a win that booked their place in the Copa final. They beat Athletic Bilbao 1-0 at home to complete a 2-0 aggregate victory.
That was their second straight win, and they have only lost once in the last 15 matches in all competitions. They are, however, winless in the last eight encounters with Atletico, losing five times.
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Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.66 | 4.1 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.94 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.62 | 4 | 5.35 |
|
|
1.6 | 4 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.9 | 5.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad match is: Atletico Madrid wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/03/2026 between Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.67% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Real Sociedad with odds of 1.75 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad is 17.06% with odds of 4.15 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 5.6 at Shangrila.
Atletico Madrid - Real Sociedad Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Real Sociedad Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 44.67% | 1.75 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.28% | 1.96 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 57.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Atletico Madrid/Atletico Madrid | 16.96% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Form
Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
69 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 |
|
10
|
46 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | -2 |
Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
12 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
5 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
7 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
9 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
10 May 2025 - LaLiga
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
25 May 2024 - LaLiga
8 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
28 May 2023 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid against Real Sociedad Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
J. Musso
DefenderM. Pubill
M. Llorente
C. Lenglet
R. Le Normand
MidfielderN. Gonzalez
J. Cardoso
O. Vargas
J. Diaz
A. Baena
A. Griezmann
J. Alvarez
T. Folgado
U. Marrero
DefenderA. Elustondo
MidfielderI. Zubeldia
B. Turrientes
A. Zakharyan
Wesley
J. Gorrotxategi
B. Mendez
J. Karrikaburu
M. Oyarzabal
G. Guedes
Missing players
B. Pablo
A. Odriozola
I. Ruperez Urtasun
MidfielderT. Kubo
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
A. Sorloth
(13 Goals)
M. Oyarzabal
(15 Goals)
G. Simeone
(6 Assists)
S. Gomez
(5 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Real Sociedad Key Points
- Atletico Madrid have three straight wins at home.
- In the last eight meetings with Atletico, Sociedad lost five.
- At home in this fixture, Atletico Madrid won three straight.
- Atletico are the second-best performers when playing at home.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction
Mathematically, Atletico Madrid can still contest for the title, but reality dictates otherwise. They are 13 points behind the league leaders, so at best they can focus on achieving a top four finish. Villareal losing last time out was really a plus, and Atletico will want to make that count here.
They have the head-to-head advantage, and though Real Sociedad have been tough lately, this should end without any upsets. Our prediction for Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad is that Atletico Madrid wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Madrid Real Sociedad
| Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.52 | 1.75 | +15.1% |
| Draw | 4.2 | 4.15 | -1.2% |
| Real Sociedad wins | 6.25 | 5.6 | -10.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.8% and is now 57.1% (-8.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
