Atletico Madrid vs Getafe Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Atletico Madrid are on a healthy run of form as they prepare to host a resurgent Getafe in La Liga. Sitting third in the standings, Atletico are 19 points ahead of ninth-placed Getafe. We have a prediction for the match below.
The last 16 times that Atletico Madrid have hosted this match, they have remained unbeaten, only failing to win twice. Ahead of the match, they had a big win midweek, beating Tottenham Hotspur 5-2 in the Champions League.
Atleti had earlier returned to winning ways with a 3-2 victory at Real Sociedad. The hosts’ only concern is that in their last three matches they conceded seven. At home, Atletico have posted seven straight wins.
Getafe have been on the rise in their recent matches and will hope to keep their good run going. Across their last five matches, Geta Azulones have managed wins against three sides in the top five.
They are coming here having beaten Real Betis 2-0. Before then, they had beaten Real Madrid 1-0 and fourth-placed Villarreal 2-1. In a rather surprising twist, their only defeat in the last seven matches was against Sevilla, who haven't been great this season.
Getafe failed to win in eight of their 13 away league games so far, yet they face the second-best home team this season.
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Atletico Madrid v Getafe Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.63 | 3.7 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.48 | 7 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.48 | 7 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.6 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.54 | 3.6 | 7.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Getafe?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Getafe match is: under 2.5 goals and BTTS – No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/03/2026 between Atletico Madrid and Getafe in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.35% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Getafe with odds of 1.66 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Getafe is 16.99% with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Getafe vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 7.27 at 888Starz.
Atletico Madrid - Getafe Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Getafe Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 58.35% | 1.66 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.01% | 1.9 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 52.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atletico Madrid | 28.27% | 4.2 at LSbet |
Atletico Madrid vs Getafe Form
Atletico Madrid and Getafe's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
69 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 |
|
7
|
51 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | -6 |
Atletico Madrid and Getafe Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
3 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
12 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
5 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
9 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
26 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
2 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
Atletico Madrid vs Getafe Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
15 May 2024 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid against Getafe Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Substitutes
S. Esquivel Gamez
A. Moreno
DefenderM. Llorente
R. Le Normand
D. Hancko
M. Ruggeri
MidfielderJ. Cardoso
A. Griezmann
J. Diaz
ForwardG. Simeone
J. Alvarez
A. Lookman
J. Letacek
DefenderA. Nyom
S. Boselli
D. Rico
A. Gonzalez
V. Birmancevic
J. Munoz
M. Martin
A. Liso
A. San Cristobal Sanchez
Missing players
P. Barrios
R. Martinez Moya
Davinchi
ForwardJuanmi
B. Mayoral
A. Kamara
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
A. Sorloth
(13 Goals)
M. Arambarri
(6 Goals)
,
M. Satriano
(6 Goals)
G. Simeone
(6 Assists)
L. Milla
(10 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Getafe Key Points
- Three of Atletico’s last five league games had under 2.5 goals.
- At least one side failed to score in five of Atletico’s last 10 matches.
- Atletico kept clean sheets the last two times they hosted Getafe.
- A clean sheet was recorded in six of Getafe’s last 10 away matches.
- Eight of Getafe’s last 10 games produced under 2.5 goals.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Getafe Prediction
Atletico Madrid have had a dominant run against Getafe over the years, and that shows well when they come into this as the host. Their latest league matches have largely been low-scoring, and the same could be said of Getafe, who come here as the underdogs.
The last 10 games involving Getafe had under 2.5 goals scored. Atletico Madrid kept clean sheets the last two times they hosted this encounter. Our prediction for Atletico Madrid v Getafe is for under 2.5 goals and BTTS – No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Madrid Getafe
| Atletico Madrid vs Getafe | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.48 | 1.66 | +12.2% |
| Draw | 4.32 | 3.75 | -13.2% |
| Getafe wins | 9.1 | 7.27 | -20.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 67.6% and is now 60.2% (-7.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
