Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in LaLiga Predictions
Athletic Bilbao will be keen to get their 2025-26 La Liga campaign back on track when they host a struggling Mallorca on matchday eight this Saturday. This match at San Mames between the 10th-placed Lions and the 19th-placed Pirates comes with our prediction of a home win and under 2.5 goals.
Athletic’s ten points (W3, D1, L3) put them three points behind the top four ahead of this round, while Mallorca’s five points (W1, D2, L4) see them start this round in the bottom three.
A 4-1 away thumping at Borussia Dortmund this week extended Athletic’s poor recent form. They have now lost five of their last six competitive games, drawing the other.
This poor run is reflective in the league too, with Athletic losing three and drawing one of their four recent La Liga games. This has hurt their chances of moving up the table after starting the season with three wins in a row.
Mallorca won 1-0 at home against Deportivo Alaves last matchday to post their first victory of the league season. They lost four of the first six matches in the season (D2, L4), so that victory against Alaves was much-needed.
Their form on the road is dire, as Mallorca have lost all three away league games this season, all defeats coming by a single-goal margin.
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The Best Betting Odds for Athletic Bilbao v Mallorca Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 3.6 | 6 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.75 | 6 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.5 | 6 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.75 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.7 | 5.75 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Mallorca?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca match is: Athletic Bilbao win and under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2025 between Athletic Bilbao and Mallorca in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.29% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Mallorca with odds of 1.63 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca is 26.31% with odds of 3.9 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.4% chance ⭐ for a win of Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 6.5 at Bwin.
Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca Prediction and Best Odds:
| Athletic Bilbao Mallorca Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 44.29% | 1.63 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 66.53% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 42.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Athletic Bilbao | 22.06% | 4.33 at Betfair |
Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca Form
Athletic Bilbao and Mallorca's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 |
|
15
|
12 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 |
Athletic Bilbao and Mallorca Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
23 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
4 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
17 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Emirates Cup
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
24 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
21 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
15 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
30 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
23 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
21 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
23 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
15 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
30 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
14 May 2025 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
28 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
6 Apr 2024 - Copa del Rey
2 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
3 Sept 2023 - LaLiga
1 May 2023 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao against Mallorca Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
Y. Alvarez
U. Egiluz
MidfielderB. Prados
M. Vesga
O. Sancet
ForwardA. Berenguer
M. Kumbulla
MidfielderO. Mascarell
ForwardT. Asano
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
Mallorca
G. Guruzeta
(4 Goals)
V. Muriqi
(6 Goals)
M. Jauregizar
(2 Assists)
,
N. Williams
(2 Assists)
J. Mojica
(3 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca Key Points
- Five of Athletic’s last six league games including the latest four saw under 2.5 goals.
- Athletic won two of their last four home league games.
- Mallorca lost all three of their away league games this season.
- Mallorca’s last three league fixtures produced two or fewer goals.
- Six of the last seven matches between these teams in all competitions produced under 2.5 goals.
- Athletic won six of their last eight home league games against Mallorca, drawing the other two.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca Prediction
It has been a troubling season for Mallorca, who find themselves in the relegation zone heading into this round. While Athletic haven’t been at the best of their form in the recent weeks, they are still within earshot of the top four clubs. Both clubs aggregate 13 goals between them in their 14 matches, and that promises to continue here in the form of fewer goals.
Athletic could fancy getting back to winning ways here, and our Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca prediction is Athletic Bilbao win and under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Athletic Bilbao Mallorca
| Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 1.5 | 1.62 | +8.0% |
| Draw | 4 | 3.6 | -10.0% |
| Mallorca wins | 7 | 6 | -14.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Athletic Bilbao is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 61.7% (-4.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
