Spain - LaLiga
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by Kennedy Kechula | in LaLiga Predictions
In case Athletic Bilbao were targeting winning the Europa League to qualify for the Champions League, that route is shut. Coming from elimination in Europe, Athletic will be up against Alaves in La Liga. This will be a matchday 35 clash, and below we have the prediction.
This is a key match for both these teams. For Bilbao, as things stand, they need 10 points from the available 12 to secure Champions League football. Winning here is, therefore, crucial.
Recent results haven't been very encouraging, especially their 7-1 aggregate defeat to Manchester United in the Europa League semis. However, 14 matches unbeaten at home in La Liga place them in a strong position.
Alaves are still embroiled in the relegation fight, though at the moment they are outside the bottom three. Having so far garnered 35 points means they still have some way to go.
Alaves sit only three points above the drop zone, and as the battle for survival heats up, they can’t afford to drop points. Alaves did just that in three of their last four matches but will be happy with their recent performances.
Right ahead of this game, Alaves held Atletico Madrid to a 0-0 draw. They had earlier beaten Real Sociedad 1-0. It means now the only time they lost in the last five matches was against Real Madrid.
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The Best Betting Odds for Athletic Bilbao v Alavés Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.8 | 2.9 | 4.5 |
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1.9 | 3.3 | 4.5 |
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2.25 | 2.25 | 4.4 |
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1.88 | 3.16 | 4.5 |
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1.88 | 3.2 | 4.5 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Alavés?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés match is: Athletic Bilbao to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/05/2025 between Athletic Bilbao and Alavés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.67% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Alavés with odds of 2.25 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés is 38.24% with odds of 3.35 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Alavés vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 4.74 at 1xbet.
Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés Form
Athletic Bilbao and Alavés's standings in the LaLiga
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4
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61 | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 24 |
17
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35 | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -11 |
Athletic Bilbao and Alavés Last Matches

2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 May 2025 - Europa League
4 May 2025 - LaLiga
1 May 2025 - Europa League
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 May 2025 - Europa League
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 May 2025 - Europa League
4 May 2025 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
22 Sep 2023 - LaLiga
9 Jan 2022 - LaLiga
1 Oct 2021 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players

O. Sancet

A. Abqar
Most goals and assists







Athletic Bilbao and Alavés Stats in LaLiga


Athletic Bilbao - Alavés Key Points
- In their last 11 home matches, Athletic lost just once.
- In four of their last 10 league matches, Alaves failed to score.
- In six of their last 10 home league matches, Athletic kept clean sheets.
- In their last 35 home league matches, Athletic lost only one game.
- Alaves failed to score in six of their last seven meetings with Athletic Bilbao.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés Prediction
Athletic Bilbao return to domestic action after a torrid run out in the Europa League. Playing at home has, in most cases, brought out their best, and this will be their chance to bounce back.
Home matches have also come with the promise of clean sheets, and Athletic will be targeting the same. They haven't conceded a lot in past meetings with Alaves, and this plays out well in the hosts’ favor. Our prediction for Athletic Bilbao v Alaves is for Athletic Bilbao to win to nil.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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