Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
The first Basque derby is here; Athletic Bilbao will be playing host to Deportivo Alaves on Saturday. Back-to-back defeats have landed Alaves in sixth, while Athletic, with a game in hand, are ninth. Athletic won this encounter three of the last four times they hosted, and our prediction backs a continuation of that.
The home team has an advantage in having had extra rest days before this game. Poor pitch conditions occasioned the postponement of their match against Levante. That delayed Athletic’s ambition of going undefeated in four matches.
Their last outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Elche, having earlier beaten Atletico Madrid and Celta Vigo. Four wins only in their last 10 home matches call for an improvement, but Athletic will be confident of doing better.
Last season, Alaves won their away match at Athletic. They will be praying for a similar outcome here to address their recent slump.
The visitors started the season strongly, collecting 10 points from their opening four matches. However, six games in, they are still stuck on 10 points and seem in danger of losing a third straight league outing.
Last time out, Alaves fell 1-0 to Valencia, and with only one of their 10 points coming on the road, this doesn’t look too promising for the visitors.
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Athletic Bilbao v Alavés Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 3.85 | 5 |
|
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1.7 | 4.07 | 5.55 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.92 | 5.35 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.92 | 5.35 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.92 | 5.35 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and Alavés?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés match is: Athletic Bilbao wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/09/2026 between Athletic Bilbao and Alavés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.03% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against Alavés with odds of 1.7 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés is 36.85% with odds of 4.07 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Alavés vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 5.55 at 1xbet.
Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés Form
Athletic Bilbao and Alavés's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +5 |
|
9
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 |
Athletic Bilbao and Alavés Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
30 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
27 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
22 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
22 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - LaLiga
10 May 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
27 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
12 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
6 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
20 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
15 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
6 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
15 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
20 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - LaLiga
9 May 2026 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2025 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
A. Padilla
DefenderH. Rincon
J. Louis-Jean
I. Monreal
A. Paredes
MidfielderA. Rego Mora
M. Jauregizar
B. Prados
ForwardA. Djalo
N. Serrano
M. Sannadi
A. Berenguer
A. Rodriguez
DefenderJ. Otto
H. Novoa
Y. Enriquez
X. Ibarzabal
MidfielderC. Alena
C. Benavidez
I. Hernandez Canas
S. Diallo
M. Rodriguez
A. Guevara
ForwardM. Diaz
Missing players
D. Vivian
U. Egiluz
MidfielderP. Urtasan
F. Garces
MidfielderM. Rodriguez
ForwardA. Manas
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
Alavés
R. Navarro
(2 Goals)
L. Boye
(4 Goals)
I. Williams
(3 Assists)
M. Diaz
(3 Assists)
,
A. Hidalgo
(3 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao and Alavés Stats in LaLiga
Athletic Bilbao - Alavés Key Points
- Athletic are unbeaten in three matches, winning two.
- Athletic won the latest meeting with Alaves.
- Alaves are coming off two straight defeats.
- Alaves have lost four times in five away matches at Athletic.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés Prediction
Back-to-back defeats mark the darkest period for Alaves this season, as they had started really well. They can at least hope to replicate last season’s performance, winning away at Athletic. That, though, will still be an uphill task, as they face a host that’s well rested and on a three-game unbeaten stretch.
In their last five visits to Athletic Bilbao, in all competitions, they only managed that one win. In all the rest, Athletic won, and we are backing the same. Our prediction for Athletic Bilbao v Alaves is that Athletic Bilbao wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
