Atalanta vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Atalanta
03/01/2026 14:45
Roma

Prediction :

 

BTTS & over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Former Atalanta manager Gian Piero Gasperini will be seeking a triumphant return to Bergamo when his Roma side faces Atalanta in Serie A. This match finds the hosts in 10th place in the standings, while Roma are fourth. Read on for our prediction of the game.

Atalanta have dropped points in 12 of their 17 league matches this season. Lately things have been better, though, with La Dea winning three of their last five league games.

However, a 1-0 loss to league leaders Inter Milan in the last outing put a dent in their rise. It left them five points adrift of the European football places. Having won five of their last six meetings with Roma, Atalanta will be confident of bouncing back.

Roma have managed just two wins in their last 10 meetings with Atalanta. Coached by a former Atalanta manager and looking to stay in the title race, there are reasons for the visitors to seek a win here.

Only Roma and Inter Milan haven't drawn a league game this season, but that will not be their only source of motivation.

They wrapped up 2025 with a win, beating Genoa 3-1, for a second win in three league matches and seventh in 10 across all competitions. However, Roma lost their last two away league matches, but being the third-best performers away from home will still lift them.

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The Best Betting Odds for Atalanta v Roma Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.3 3.2 3.3
Betfred
2.15 3.2 3.3
William Hill
2.2 3.1 3.25
Unibet
2.23 3.2 3.25
Betway
2.3 3.1 3.3
Check all Atalanta vs Roma odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Roma?

Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Roma match is: BTTS & over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/01/2026 between Atalanta and Roma in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.52% for a win of Atalanta against Roma with odds of 2.34 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Roma is 7.95% with odds of 3.32 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 35.54% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs Atalanta with odds of 3.48 at 888Starz.

Atalanta vs Roma Form

Atalanta and Roma's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Roma
Roma
33 17 11 0 6 9
10
Atalanta
Atalanta
22 17 5 7 5 1

Atalanta and Roma Last Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  1
Inter Milan

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Atalanta

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cagliari

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  1
Chelsea

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
3 :  1
Atalanta

3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
4 :  0
Genoa
L W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  1
Inter Milan

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cagliari

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  1
Chelsea

3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
4 :  0
Genoa

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Fiorentina

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  3
Sassuolo
L W L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Atalanta

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
3 :  1
Atalanta

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Eintracht Frankfurt
0 :  3
Atalanta

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Atalanta

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  1
Atalanta

1 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  0
Atalanta
Roma
Roma Last matches
L L W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  1
Genoa

20 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  1
Roma

15 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Como 1907

11 Dec 2025 - Europa League

Celtic
0 :  3
Roma

7 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  0
Roma

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Napoli
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  1
Genoa

15 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Como 1907

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Napoli

27 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Roma
2 :  1
FC Midtjylland

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Udinese

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Parma
L W W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  1
Roma

11 Dec 2025 - Europa League

Celtic
0 :  3
Roma

7 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  0
Roma

23 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese
1 :  3
Roma

6 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Rangers
0 :  2
Roma

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Roma

Atalanta vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Atalanta

83 %

Draw

17 %

Roma

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (home team)
0.67
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

12 May 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Roma

2 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  2
Atalanta

12 May 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Roma

7 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Atalanta

24 Apr 2023 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  1
Roma

18 Sept 2022 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Atalanta

Atalanta vs Roma last Lineups

Atalanta

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

29
M. Carnesecchi
19
B. Djimsiti
4
I. Hien
23
S. Kolasinac
77
D. Zappacosta
15
M. De Roon
13
Ederson
59
N. Zalewski
17
C. De Ketelaere
8
M. Pasalic
9
G. Scamacca
11
E. Ferguson
21
P. Dybala
18
M. Soule
43
W. Franca
17
M. Kone
4
B. Cristante
19
Z. Celik
22
M. Hermoso
24
J. Ziolkowski
23
G. Mancini
99
M. Svilar

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Roma

Missing players

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

M. Bakker

R. Bellanova

O. Kossounou

Forward

A. Lookman

Roma
Roma
Defender

E. N Dicka

Midfielder

N. El Aynaoui

L. Pellegrini

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atalanta
CD Huachipato Roma
Top Goalscorer
Italy G. Scamacca (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina M. Soule (6 Goals)
Best assists
Montenegro N. Krstovic (3 Assists)
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (3 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina M. Soule (4 Assists)

Atalanta and Roma Stats in Serie A

Atalanta
Atalanta
Roma
Roma
29%
Wins
65%
41%
Draw
0%
29%
Losses
35%
2.29
Total goals per match
1.82
1.18
Goals scored per match
1.18
1.12
Goals conceded per match
0.65
35%
Over 2.5
29%
65%
Under 2.5
71%
59%
BTTS
29%
24%
Clean Sheet
41%

Atalanta - Roma Key Points

  1. Three of Atalanta’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
  2. Four of AS Roma’s last eight matches saw both teams score.
  3. Atalanta managed four clean sheets in six of their last 10 games.
  4. On average 2.6 goals were scored in Roma’s last five away games.
  5. In four of these teams’ last five meetings, both sides got on the scoresheet.
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Our Atalanta vs Roma Prediction

When Atalanta hosts this match, there is always the likelihood that it will be a high-scoring fixture. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 10 of the last 11 times they hosted. Also, both sides scored in those 10 outings.

There is a lot riding on this game as Roma look to stay in the race while Atalanta are trying to rise from a slow start to the season. Either way, this is expected to be an end-to-end battle, and our prediction for Atalanta v Roma is BTTS & over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

BTTS & over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Atalanta vs Roma Prediction