Sassuolo vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Sassuolo and Parma meet for the first time in over four years to start their 2026 schedule in Serie A. Five points separate the two sides, with hosts Sassuolo ninth and Parma 15th. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Sassuolo ended 2025 on a low, failing to win any of their last three outings. In that period though, they managed draws with AC Milan and Bologna and will be looking to build on those.
There’s a lot to pick from the two draws as they look to improve on just one win in their last six matches. Their last five matches at home haven't been fruitful either, Sassuolo losing three times in the run.
Parma’s last game of 2025 served as their fourth league win of the season. Three of those wins came in the last five outings, and they will be pumped up for this.
They are looking to build on a 1-0 win against Fiorentina at home, which pulled them five points clear of the relegation zone. This match also offers I Crociati the chance to record a third straight away win in the league.
Eight of their total 17 points were claimed in away matches, and this should be a motivating factor for the visitors.
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Sassuolo v Parma Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.98 | 3.4 | 4.2 |
|
|
2.04 | 3.28 | 3.88 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.24 | 4.08 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.25 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.2 | 4.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sassuolo and Parma?
Our prediction for the Sassuolo vs Parma match is: over 2.5 goals & BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/01/2026 between Sassuolo and Parma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.04% for a win of Sassuolo against Parma with odds of 2.1 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sassuolo vs Parma is 28.14% with odds of 3.4 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Parma vs Sassuolo with odds of 4.25 at 888Starz.
Sassuolo - Parma Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sassuolo Parma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Parma wins | 36.82% | 4.25 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 51.15% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 52.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Parma | 18.98% | 8.75 at LSbet |
Sassuolo vs Parma Form
Sassuolo and Parma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
49 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -4 |
|
13
|
45 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -18 |
Sassuolo and Parma Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
21 Dec 2025 - Serie A
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
6 Dec 2025 - Serie A
28 Nov 2025 - Serie A
24 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - Serie A
6 Dec 2025 - Serie A
24 Nov 2025 - Serie A
3 Nov 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
28 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
30 Oct 2025 - Serie A
18 Oct 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
8 Dec 2025 - Serie A
4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
8 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Dec 2025 - Serie A
4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
Sassuolo vs Parma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 May 2021 - Serie A
17 Jan 2021 - Serie A
16 Feb 2020 - Serie A
25 Sept 2019 - Serie A
14 Apr 2019 - Serie A
25 Nov 2018 - Serie A
Sassuolo against Parma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1
Substitutes
G. Zacchi
S. Turati
G. Satalino
DefenderT. Macchioni
C. Odenthal
F. Cande
L. Barani
MidfielderI. Kone
E. Iannoni
A. Vranckx
ForwardL. Moro
W. Cheddira
L. Skjellerup
N. Pierini
F. Rinaldi
V. Guaita
DefenderM. Lovik
Troilo
S. Britschgi
B. Cremaschi
C. Ordonez
N. Estevez
Hernani
ForwardA. Cardinali
P. Almqvist
P. Cutrone
M. Djuric
Missing players
E. Pieragnolo
MidfielderD. Boloca
ForwardD. Berardi
A. Ndiaye
ForwardM. Frigan
Most goals and assists
Sassuolo
Parma
A. Pinamonti
(9 Goals)
M. Pellegrino
(9 Goals)
A. Lauriente
(9 Assists)
H. Caviglia
(4 Assists)
Sassuolo - Parma Key Points
- Three of Sassuolo’s last four games had both sides score.
- Sassuolo’s last five matches had a total of 13 goals scored.
- Parma’s last four away matches produced an average of 2.5 goals.
- Three times in Parma’s last four away matches, both teams scored.
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Our Sassuolo vs Parma Prediction
The most recent outcome when these two sides faced off at Sassuolo was a 1-1 draw, and both teams scoring is a possibility here too. Sassuolo’s recent matches have produced that in three of the last four outings, while they haven't managed a clean sheet in the last six games.
Their matches have also recorded high scores; six of the last nine returned 3+ goals. As for Parma, three of their last four away matches also produced over 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring. There are chances this stat could be replicated here. Our prediction for Sassuolo v Parma is for over 2.5 goals & BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sassuolo Parma
| Sassuolo vs Parma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo wins | 1.83 | 2.1 | +14.8% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0% |
| Parma wins | 4.33 | 4.25 | -1.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Parma is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 23.1% and is now 23.5% (0.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
