Cagliari vs AC Milan Prediction - Serie A

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Italy - Serie A

Cagliari

02/01/2026 14:45

AC Milan

Prediction :

AC Milan wins

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Prediction published on 02/01/2026, 06:06 by Kennedy Kechula | Modified on 02/01/2026 at 16:45 in Serie A Predictions

The first match of the year in Serie A pits Cagliari against AC Milan at the Unipol Domus Stadium in Cagliari. AC Milan sit second going into the game, while Cagliari are 14th. Read on to find our prediction for the match.

Cagliari haven't had the best of runs in the season but ended 2025 on a high. They registered their fourth win of the season after beating Torino 2-0 away from home. The win gave them some breathing space, as they are now six points above the drop zone.

Half of their 18 points have come from home matches, though it hasn’t been rosy against Milan over the years. Cagliari are winless in this fixture in the last 15 matches.

The visitors have seen a lot of success when visiting Cagliari and will be looking to keep that going. Milan’s 2025 ended in mixed fortunes, failing in their Super Cup defence, having earlier been eliminated from the Coppa Italia.

They, however, closed the year with a 3-0 win at home to Verona and will want to start off 2026 with a bang. Being just one point behind leaders Inter Milan, the Rossoneri will surely be giving their all here.

This is the only competition they are still in, and their league form has offered a boost. Milan are the only unbeaten side away from home in Serie A so far.

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Cagliari v AC Milan Best Betting Odds

1	X	2
6.4	4	1.61
6	3.92	1.58
6	3.92	1.58
6	4	1.57
6.4	3.85	1.55

Check all Cagliari vs AC Milan odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Cagliari and AC Milan?

Our prediction for the Cagliari vs AC Milan match is: AC Milan wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/01/2026 between Cagliari and AC Milan in Serie A :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 20.15% for a win of Cagliari against AC Milan with odds of 6.5 at LSbet.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cagliari vs AC Milan is 32.93% with odds of 4.01 at 888Starz.
Our prediction model gives a 46.93% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Cagliari with odds of 1.65 at Shangrila.

Cagliari - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:

Cagliari AC Milan Prediction	Probability	Odds
AC Milan wins	46.93%	1.65 at Shangrila
Over 2.5 goals	50.54%	2.17 at Melbet
Both Team To Score	58.33%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AC Milan	21.25%	4.1 at LSbet

Cagliari vs AC Milan Form

Cagliari and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
5 AC Milan	70	38	20	10	8	+18
14 Cagliari	43	38	11	10	17	-13

Cagliari and AC Milan Last Matches

Cagliari Last matches

All Home Away

L D W L D W

Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

83% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC

1 : 2

Cagliari

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari

2 : 2

Pisa SC

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta

2 : 1

Cagliari

7 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari

1 : 0

Roma

3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Napoli

1 : 1

Cagliari

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Juventus

2 : 1

Cagliari

L L L D W D

Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.17 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari

2 : 2

Pisa SC

7 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari

1 : 0

Roma

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari

3 : 3

Genoa

30 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari

1 : 2

Sassuolo

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari

0 : 2

Bologna

27 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari

0 : 2

Inter Milan

L D L D L W

Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals

67% BTTS

0.83 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC

1 : 2

Cagliari

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta

2 : 1

Cagliari

3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Napoli

1 : 1

Cagliari

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Juventus

2 : 1

Cagliari

8 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907

0 : 0

Cagliari

3 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Lazio

2 : 0

Cagliari

AC Milan Last matches

All Home Away

W L W D L W

Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

33% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan

3 : 0

Hellas Verona

18 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli

2 : 0

AC Milan

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan

2 : 2

Sassuolo

8 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC

2 : 3

AC Milan

4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio

1 : 0

AC Milan

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan

1 : 0

Lazio

W D W W D W

Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.83 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan

3 : 0

Hellas Verona

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan

2 : 2

Sassuolo

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan

1 : 0

Lazio

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan

1 : 0

Roma

24 Oct 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan

2 : 2

Pisa SC

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan

2 : 1

Fiorentina

D D W L W L

Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.17 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

18 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli

2 : 0

AC Milan

8 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC

2 : 3

AC Milan

4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio

1 : 0

AC Milan

23 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan

0 : 1

AC Milan

8 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma

2 : 2

AC Milan

28 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta

1 : 1

AC Milan

Cagliari vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Cagliari

0 %

Draw

33 %

AC Milan

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals

83.33%

BTTS

1.17

Goals scored

2.83

Goals conceded

66.67%

Over 2.5

33.33%

Under 2.5

11 Jan 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan

1 : 1

Cagliari

9 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari

3 : 3

AC Milan

11 May 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan

5 : 1

Cagliari

2 Jan 2024 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan

4 : 1

Cagliari

27 Sept 2023 - Serie A

Cagliari

1 : 3

AC Milan

19 Mar 2022 - Serie A

Cagliari

0 : 1

AC Milan

Cagliari against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11

Cagliari

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

E. Caprile

G. Zappa

J. Rodriguez

S. Luperto

M. Palestra

M. Adopo

M. Prati

L. Mazzitelli

A. Obert

S. Kilicsoy

S. Esposito

R. Leao

R. Loftus-Cheek

P. Estupinan

A. Rabiot

L. Modric

Y. Fofana

A. Saelemaekers

D. Bartesaghi

K. De Winter

F. Tomori

M. Maignan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

AC Milan

Substitutes

Cagliari

Goalkeeper

G. Ciocci

B. Radunovic

Defender

A. Di Pardo

N. Pintus

R. Idrissi

A. Obert 60'

Y. Mina

Midfielder

G. Gaetano

S. Esposito 66'

N. Cavuoti

L. Mazzitelli 83'

J. Liteta

A. Deiola

M. Rog

Forward

Y. Trepy

G. Borrelli

M. Prati 61'

Z. Luvumbo

L. Pavoletti

S. Kilicsoy 83'

AC Milan

Goalkeeper

L. Torriani

P. Terracciano

Defender

S. Pavlovic

Z. Athekame

D. Odogu

M. Gabbia

P. Estupinan 79'

Midfielder

S. Ricci

Y. Fofana 69'

A. Jashari

Forward

A. Castiello

C. Pulisic

R. Loftus-Cheek 79'

N. Fullkrug

R. Leao 69'

Missing players

Cagliari

Defender

Ze Pedro

Forward

M. Felici

AC Milan

Most goals and assists

Cagliari

AC Milan

Top Goalscorer

S. Esposito (7 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

R. Leao (9 Goals)

Best assists

S. Esposito (5 Assists)

Best assists

A. Rabiot (4 Assists) ,

C. Pulisic (4 Assists) ,

S. Ricci (4 Assists)

Cagliari - AC Milan Key Points

Milan won four of their last five visits to Cagliari.
Milan have only lost once in the league this season and won 10.
Cagliari lost four times in their last 10 matches, winning only twice.
Cagliari are winless in five of their last six home matches and lost three.

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Our Cagliari vs AC Milan Prediction

10 days after being dethroned in the Super Cup, Milan returned to winning ways in the league to finish last year on a high. They have dominated this fixture, especially when visiting Cagliari. The visitors, being in the title race, will be keen on extending this run.

Cagliari haven’t been consistent, and this is another tough outing coming their way. Milan are also the only side yet to lose an away match in the league. Our prediction for Cagliari v AC Milan is that AC Milan wins.

Prediction :

AC Milan wins

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Cagliari AC Milan

Cagliari vs AC Milan	Opening odds	Pre-match odds	Odds Movements
Cagliari wins	6.5	6.5	0%
Draw	4	4.01	+0.3%
AC Milan wins	1.55	1.65	+6.5%

Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

AC Milan is most likely to win
The odds for this bet have increased by 6.5% since opening
The probability of this result was 64.5% and is now 60.6% (-3.9%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Cagliari vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Cagliari v AC Milan Best Betting Odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Cagliari and AC Milan?

Cagliari - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:

Cagliari vs AC Milan Form

Cagliari and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A

Cagliari and AC Milan Last Matches

Cagliari vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Cagliari against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11

Substitutes

Missing players

Most goals and assists

Cagliari - AC Milan Key Points

Our Cagliari vs AC Milan Prediction

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Cagliari AC Milan