Lazio vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Another away day fixture is here for Napoli as the Serie A champions head to Lazio for a league match. top of their targets for this game, Napoli will be looking to rise from third as eighth-placed Lazio seek to move closer to the top six. Read on to find our prediction of this match.
Lazio are unbeaten in their last four league matches but came out with just one win. They wrapped up 2025 with two straight draws, the latest being a 1-1 outcome against Udinese.
In their first three league matches against top four sides this season, Lazio suffered defeat. That is a stat they will want to address here, and a seven-game unbeaten run at home (4 wins) helps.
Napoli are still bouncing after winning the season’s first trophy, the Super Cup. They returned from Asia to beat Cremonese 2-0 away from home in the league, ending 2025 on a high.
Their race continues, and they’ll be looking to leap to the league summit, as they trail Inter Milan by two points. The gap could be wider, though, as second-place AC Milan play two days earlier.
There’s a lot working against Napoli here. They are winless in the last six meetings with Lazio, losing four. The champions have also been on a shaky away run ahead of this match, losing seven of the last 10.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Lazio v Napoli Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.9 | 3.1 | 2.23 |
|
|
4.06 | 3.03 | 2.1 |
|
|
4.02 | 3.03 | 2.11 |
|
|
3.8 | 3 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.75 | 2.98 | 2.16 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and Napoli?
Our prediction for the Lazio vs Napoli match is: under 2.5 goals & BTTS - No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2026 between Lazio and Napoli in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.94% for a win of Lazio against Napoli with odds of 4.12 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs Napoli is 22.01% with odds of 3.1 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs Lazio with odds of 2.23 at Stake.
Lazio - Napoli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lazio Napoli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lazio wins | 47.94% | 4.12 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 83.67% | 2.02 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 82.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lazio | 27.56% | 8.25 at LSbet |
Lazio vs Napoli Form
Lazio and Napoli's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
76 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | +22 |
|
9
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +1 |
Lazio and Napoli Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
20 Dec 2025 - Serie A
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Serie A
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
3 Nov 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
30 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
22 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup
18 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup
18 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
Lazio vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
8 Dec 2024 - Serie A
5 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
28 Jan 2024 - Serie A
2 Sept 2023 - Serie A
3 Mar 2023 - Serie A
Lazio against Napoli Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
C. Mandas
A. Furlanetto
DefenderN. Tavares
O. Provstgaard
E. Hysaj
MidfielderV. Farcomeni
N. Rovella
R. Belahyane
M. Lazzari
G. Isaksen
F. Serra
Pedro
A. Meret
N. Contini
DefenderM. Olivera
A. Buongiorno
M. Gutierrez
L. Marianucci
P. Mazzocchi
V. Prisco
ForwardN. Lang
G. Ambrosino
Missing players
S. Gigot
MidfielderF. Dele-Bashiru
ForwardB. Dia
F. Anguissa
ForwardR. Lukaku
Most goals and assists
Lazio
Napoli
G. Isaksen
(5 Goals)
, 
Pedro
(5 Goals)
R. Hojlund
(12 Goals)
T. Castellanos
(3 Assists)
, 
T. Basic
(3 Assists)
Giovane
(6 Assists)
Lazio - Napoli Key Points
- Eight of Napoli’s last 10 matches registered under 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in only three of Napoli’s last 10 games.
- Both teams scored in just two of Lazio’s last 10 matches.
- Lazio’s last 12 outings produced under 2.5 goals.
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Our Lazio vs Napoli Prediction
Recent meetings between these two sides have been tight affairs, mostly producing under 2.5 goals. Half of the last six also had one or both sides failing to score, and we don’t expect a large deviation from that here.
As both sides are coming off good runs, this might be decided by fine margins, and that’s why we won’t back a high-scoring outing. Lazio may be banking on their form against Napoli, as well as their visitors’ shaky run on the road. Those may not be the only defining factors, though, and our prediction for Lazio v Napoli is under 2.5 goals & BTTS - No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lazio Napoli
| Lazio vs Napoli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio wins | 3.62 | 4.12 | +13.8% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.1 | -3.1% |
| Napoli wins | 2.35 | 2.23 | -5.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lazio is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.6% and is now 24.3% (-3.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
