Atalanta vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Atalanta
25/01/2026 09:00
Parma

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Atalanta will be back to Serie A action, hosting Parma after a disappointing outing in Europe in midweek. It has been a tricky week for Atalanta, who start this round placed seventh, while Parma, unbeaten in three, are 13th. Read on to find our prediction of this match.

Atalanta saw their three-match winning run in Serie A ended in a 1-1 draw with Pisa last weekend. When they thought it couldn’t get worse, they were handed a second defeat in the Champions League, falling 3-2 at home to Athletic Bilbao.

There is hope for a return to winning ways for La Dea; they have six wins in their last eight home matches.

The last time Parma visited Atalanta, they came out victorious, having claimed a 3-2 win. That marked the end of their four-match losing run away to Atalanta. In their last four visits, however, they conceded two or more goals in each.

In their recent matches, Parma have been hard to beat. They are coming off a 0-0 draw with Genoa, their second straight such result, having earlier held Napoli.

With a three-game unbeaten run, Parma will maintain a level of confidence here, having also lost just once in six games. In their last five away league matches, I Crociati are unbeaten, with three wins.

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Atalanta v Parma Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.36 5.4 9.4
Melbet
1.34 4.9 9.7
Betwinner
1.4 4.74 7.7
Bet365
1.33 4.75 9.5
Roobet
1.33 4.9 8.8
Check all Atalanta vs Parma odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Parma?

Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Parma match is: draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/01/2026 between Atalanta and Parma in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.61% for a win of Atalanta against Parma with odds of 1.4 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Parma is 19.37% with odds of 5.4 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 33.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Parma vs Atalanta with odds of 10 at 888Starz.

Atalanta - Parma Prediction and Best Odds:

Atalanta Parma Prediction Probability Odds
Atalanta wins 47.61% 1.4 at Betwinner
Under 2.5 50.08% 2.14 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 58.33%
Half-time / Full-time : Atalanta/Atalanta 21.01% 1.95 at Bet365

Atalanta vs Parma Form

Atalanta and Parma's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7 Atalanta
59 38 15 14 9 +15
13 Parma
45 38 11 12 15 -18

Atalanta and Parma Last Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
L W W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

21 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  3
Athletic Bilbao

16 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  1
Atalanta

10 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Torino FC

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
Atalanta

3 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Roma

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  1
Inter Milan
W W L W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  3
Athletic Bilbao

10 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Torino FC

3 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Roma

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  1
Inter Milan

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cagliari

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  1
Chelsea
L W L W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  1
Atalanta

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
Atalanta

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Atalanta

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
3 :  1
Atalanta

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Eintracht Frankfurt
0 :  3
Atalanta

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Atalanta
Parma
Parma Last matches
W D L W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Genoa

14 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  0
Parma

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Parma

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  2
Inter Milan

3 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  1
Parma

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Fiorentina
D L L W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Genoa

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  2
Inter Milan

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Fiorentina

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lazio

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  2
Udinese

8 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  2
AC Milan
W L W D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  0
Parma

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Parma

3 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  1
Parma

8 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  1
Parma

4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
2 :  1
Parma

23 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  2
Parma

Atalanta vs Parma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Atalanta

50 %

Draw

17 %

Parma

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.33
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

30 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Atalanta

25 May 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  3
Parma

23 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  3
Atalanta

4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Parma
4 :  1
Atalanta

9 May 2021 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  5
Atalanta

6 Jan 2021 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  0
Parma

Atalanta against Parma Lineups: Starting 11

Atalanta

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

29
M. Carnesecchi
42
G. Scalvini
19
B. Djimsiti
69
H. Ahanor
77
D. Zappacosta
15
M. De Roon
13
Ederson
59
N. Zalewski
17
C. De Ketelaere
18
G. Raspadori
9
G. Scamacca
8
N. Estevez
7
A. Benedyczak
27
S. Britschgi
22
O. Sorensen
16
M. Keita
10
A. Bernabe
15
E. Del Prato
37
Troilo
5
L. Valenti
39
A. Circati
40
E. Corvi

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Parma

Substitutes

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

M. Sportiello

F. Rossi

Defender

O. Kossounou

L. Bernasconi

N. Zalewski 61'

S. Kolasinac

I. Hien

B. Djimsiti 46'

Midfielder

L. Samardzic

Y. Musah

M. Pasalic

C. De Ketelaere 73'

Forward

D. Maldini

K. Sulemana

N. Krstovic

G. Scamacca 60'

A. Lookman

M. De Roon 79'

Parma
Parma
Goalkeeper

G. Casentini

F. Rinaldi

Defender

D. Drobnic

E. Valeri

A. Circati 46'

Midfielder

J. Ondrejka

O. Sorensen 64'

G. Oristanio

N. Estevez 46'

C. Ordonez

M. Keita 85'

B. Cremaschi

Forward

D. Mikolajewski

M. Pellegrino

A. Benedyczak 46'

M. Djuric

P. Almqvist

Missing players

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

M. Bakker

Parma
Parma
Defender

N. Ndiaye

Forward

M. Frigan

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atalanta
CD Huachipato Parma
Top Goalscorer
Italy G. Scamacca (10 Goals)
Montenegro N. Krstovic (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina M. Pellegrino (9 Goals)
Best assists
Montenegro N. Krstovic (5 Assists)
Poland N. Zalewski (5 Assists)
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (5 Assists)
Best assists
Italy H. Caviglia (4 Assists)

Atalanta - Parma Key Points

  1. Atalanta are winless in their last two games, drawing one.
  2. Parma are unbeaten in their last two meetings with Atalanta.
  3. Parma registered three draws across their last five matches.
  4. These two sides have drawn a combined 13 times in Serie A this season.
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Our Atalanta vs Parma Prediction

Parma have avoided defeat in their last two matches against Atalanta. In fact, in their latest visit to Bergamo, they beat Atalanta. The visitors will hope to keep this run going, and they are coming from a good run, so their confidence should be high.

However, Atalanta aren’t easy to beat, and especially now that they are coming off a few uninspiring performances. They will hope to bounce back and their home form favors them. We expect a tightly fought-out match here, and our prediction for Atalanta v Parma is for a draw.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atalanta Parma

Atalanta vs Parma Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Atalanta wins 1.4 1.4 0%
Draw 4.68 5.4 +15.4%
Parma wins 7.9 10 +26.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Atalanta is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
  • The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 71.4% (0.0%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Atalanta vs Parma Prediction