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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
An electric atmosphere is expected under the Friday night lights at Villa Park when Aston Villa face Tottenham Hotspur in their final Premier League home game of the season this week. The Villans enter the penultimate matchday of the campaign in sixth place, while the Lilywhites are down in 17th. Check out our match prediction below!
This is a massive fixture for Aston Villa, who are the first side below the Champions League qualification spots. However, they are level on 63 points with fifth-placed Chelsea, who host Manchester United later in the evening. Spurs, meanwhile, have endured their worst top-flight season in recent history, but they do have a very good record in this fixture, winning eight of their last nine league games at Villa Park.
However, despite the visitors' record in this fixture, bookmakers are firmly in the corner of the hosts in this match, pricing them as the joint-shortest favourites on the matchday 37 card. Let’s get into the key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Tottenham Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.27 | 6.5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.25 | 6 | 10 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.3 | 5.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Tottenham?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Tottenham match is: Ollie Watkins to score anytime.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/05/2025 between Aston Villa and Tottenham in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 70.03% for a win of Aston Villa against Tottenham with odds of 1.57 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Tottenham is 8.52% with odds of 7 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Tottenham vs Aston Villa with odds of 11 at Betfred.
Aston Villa - Tottenham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Aston Villa Tottenham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 70.03% | 1.57 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.58% | 1.39 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 60% | 1.75 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Aston Villa/Aston Villa | 32.79% | 1.8 at Betfair |
Aston Villa vs Tottenham Form
Aston Villa and Tottenham's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
66 | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 7 |
|
17
|
38 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | -1 |
Aston Villa and Tottenham Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Premier League
3 May 2025 - Premier League
26 Apr 2025 - FA Cup
22 Apr 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Apr 2025 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
20 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Premier League
26 Apr 2025 - FA Cup
22 Apr 2025 - Premier League
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Premier League
8 May 2025 - Europa League
4 May 2025 - Premier League
1 May 2025 - Europa League
27 Apr 2025 - Premier League
21 Apr 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Premier League
1 May 2025 - Europa League
21 Apr 2025 - Premier League
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 May 2025 - Europa League
4 May 2025 - Premier League
27 Apr 2025 - Premier League
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
13 Apr 2025 - Premier League
3 Apr 2025 - Premier League
Aston Villa vs Tottenham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
10 Mar 2024 - Premier League
26 Nov 2023 - Premier League
13 May 2023 - Premier League
1 Jan 2023 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Tottenham: Form Analysis
Aston Villa’s Champions League qualification hopes were given a massive boost last week after they beat Bournemouth 1-0, while Chelsea and Man City both dropped points in their respective fixtures.
Second through sixth in the league standings are now separated by just five points, and Unai Emery’s side now has solid momentum, with last week’s win being their eighth in 10 games (W8 D0 L2).
Villa Park has also been a fortress this season, with the hosts currently unbeaten in 17 league home games, while winning the last four and scoring two or more goals in seven of the last 10.
Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 20 home matches across all competitions!
Meanwhile, Tottenham Hotspur have had a forgettable league season, currently the first side above the drop zone and with all their hopes now pinned on success in the Europa League.
The Lilywhites suffered their 20th league defeat of the season last weekend, beaten by London rivals Crystal Palace 2-0 at home. That was their fifth consecutive league game without victory (W0 D1 L4).
Spurs have been very poor on the road too, with just five away wins in 18 games this term. They are also winless in their last five (W0 D1 L4) and have conceded 10 goals in their last three outings alone.
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Aston Villa against Tottenham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
Y. Tielemans
J. Ramsey
ForwardM. Rashford
R. Dragusin
MidfielderL. Bergvall
J. Maddison
D. Kulusevski
ForwardD. Scarlett
T. Werner
Aston Villa & Tottenham Squad Analysis
Aston Villa will have to make do without the services of Jacob Ramsey for this match, with the midfielder set to serve a suspension after being sent off in the victory over Bournemouth.
However, the biggest miss for Emery’s side is Youri Tielemans, who has been immense alongside Amadou Onana in the engine room this season.
Marcus Rashford is unlikely to return this season due to a hamstring issue, which should see Ollie Watkins, who netted the only goal last weekend, continue to lead the line this week.
“I’m putting them in cotton wool for the next 10 days!”
Those were the words of Ange Postecoglou about his players in the lead-up to this match, owing to recent injury setbacks and in the hope of avoiding any more before the Europa League final.
Thus, wholesale changes are expected for the visitors this week, starting with Antonin Kinsky, Ben Davies, and Kevin Danso expected to make up the rearguard.
James Maddison and Lucas Bergvall are out for the season with injuries, which should mean Archie Gray will feature in midfield, likely alongside Rodrigo Bentancur and Pape Matar Sarr.
The big question for Postecoglou is how many minutes he will be willing to afford Heung-min Son, who is back from injury and will need some game time to shake off the rust.
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Tottenham
O. Watkins
(17 Goals)
B. Johnson
(17 Goals)
O. Watkins
(12 Assists)
,
M. Rogers
(12 Assists)
J. Maddison
(10 Assists)
, 
D. Kulusevski
(10 Assists)
, 
S. Heung-min
(10 Assists)
Aston Villa - Tottenham Key Points
- Ollie Watkins is averaging 2.50 shots at goal per match this season.
- Ollie Watkins is averaging 1.42 shots on target per match this season.
- Ollie Watkins has scored 16 league goals this season.
- Ollie Watkins has scored three goals in his last six league home games.
- Tottenham Hotspur have conceded 10 goals in their last three away league games.
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Our Aston Villa vs Tottenham Prediction
Like Man United, Spurs have already thrown in the towel on the league season, with all their focus now placed on their Europa League final against the Red Devils in Spain on May 21. For Villa, though, this is a massive chance to get into the top five, and we’re expecting them to go all out here.
The hosts will be led by Ollie Watkins, who will also be determined to make a statement after Emery’s decision to hand Rashford the leading role in attack during the Champions League quarter-finals. Our Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction is Ollie Watkins to score anytime.
Aston Villa vs Tottenham - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 3.5
Aston Villa have scored two or more goals in four of their last five league games, but only kept one clean sheet in that period. Spurs have conceded 10 goals in their last three away league games and have only managed one clean sheet in their last 10 on the road.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Aston Villa Tottenham
| Aston Villa vs Tottenham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 1.39 | 1.27 | -8.6% |
| Draw | 5.25 | 6.5 | +23.8% |
| Tottenham wins | 6 | 8.5 | +41.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.9% and is now 78.7% (6.8%)
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Aston Villa vs Tottenham match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Aston Villa and Tottenham will be played on May 16 at 19:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Aston Villa and Tottenham will take place at Villa Park in Birmingham.
The Premier League match between Aston Villa and Tottenham will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to date with every minute of the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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