Aston Villa vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Aston Villa
21/12/2025 11:30
Manchester United

Prediction :

 

Aston Villa wins

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions

Red-hot Aston Villa will be out to strengthen their English Premier League title push when they welcome Manchester United on Sunday. Though playing away from home, Manchester United will have a good feeling about this match. Aston Villa haven't lost more times to any other Premier League opponent than United. Read on to find our prediction of this match.

After 16 rounds of play, Villa arrive for the weekend in third place in the standings and just three points behind the league leaders. United, on the other hand, are seven points behind their hosts in sixth spot and are seeking to boost their European chances.

The Red Devils have dominated their matchups with the Villans and are the team to beat them the most in the English top-flight. They, however, aren’t fancied to emerge as winners in this latest encounter by bookmakers. This honour goes the way of the hosts, who are in scorching form.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Manchester United Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.1 3.6 3.3
Betfred
2.1 3.5 3.2
William Hill
2.1 3.5 3.2
Unibet
2.08 3.75 3.25
Betway
2.1 3.6 3.25
Check all Aston Villa vs Manchester United odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Manchester United?

Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Manchester United match is: Aston Villa wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/12/2025 between Aston Villa and Manchester United in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.69% for a win of Aston Villa against Manchester United with odds of 2.2 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Manchester United is 20.56% with odds of 3.75 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 28.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Aston Villa with odds of 3.43 at 888Starz.

Aston Villa vs Manchester United Form

Aston Villa and Manchester United's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
33 16 10 3 3 8
6
Manchester United
Manchester United
26 16 7 5 4 4

Aston Villa and Manchester United Last Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

14 Dec 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
2 :  3
Aston Villa

11 Dec 2025 - Europa League

FC Basel 1893
1 :  2
Aston Villa

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Arsenal

3 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  4
Aston Villa

30 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Wolves

27 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
BSC Young Boys
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Arsenal

30 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Wolves

27 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
BSC Young Boys

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Bournemouth

6 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Aston Villa
2 :  0
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC

26 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Manchester City
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

14 Dec 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
2 :  3
Aston Villa

11 Dec 2025 - Europa League

FC Basel 1893
1 :  2
Aston Villa

3 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  4
Aston Villa

23 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Aston Villa

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Aston Villa

23 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Go Ahead Eagles
2 :  1
Aston Villa
Manchester United
Manchester United Last matches
D L W D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  4
Bournemouth

8 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  4
Manchester United

4 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
West Ham

30 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  2
Manchester United

24 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Everton

8 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  2
Manchester United
W W W L D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  4
Bournemouth

4 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
West Ham

24 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Everton

25 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  2
Brighton

4 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  0
Sunderland

20 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  1
Chelsea
L W D D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

8 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  4
Manchester United

30 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  2
Manchester United

8 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  2
Manchester United

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  2
Manchester United

19 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Manchester United

27 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Manchester United

Aston Villa vs Manchester United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Aston Villa

0 %

Draw

17 %

Manchester United

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored (home team)
2
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  0
Aston Villa

6 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  0
Manchester United

11 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Manchester United

26 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Aston Villa

30 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  0
Aston Villa

10 Nov 2022 - Carabao Cup

Manchester United
4 :  2
Aston Villa

Aston Villa - Manchester United: Form Analysis

Aston Villa are the in-form team on the land and are coming into this tie having won nine consecutive games. Six of these wins have been in the Premier League.

Unai Emery’s men, who produced a statement victory over league leaders Arsenal the last time they were home, have won 10 league matches. With another three ending in a share of the spoils, they have accumulated 33 points and trail Manchester City in second by a point.

Villa, who also have a five-point advantage on their closest challengers, edged a five-goal thriller away to West Ham United last time out. The hosts have lost just one of their 11 games at Villa Park this season.

Aston Villa have registered nine straight wins ahead of this game.

Manchester United arrive for this fixture in stuttering form, but their dominant record against Villa should make them confident of an upset. United have won over 90 duels against Villa in the league, scoring over 320 goals.

Recently, they’ve lost just one of the last nine meetings across all competitions, winning six times. Ruben Amorim’s men have won just twice in their last seven outings. They have proved tough to beat, though, as they have only lost once in this stretch.

United are coming off an exciting face-off with Bournemouth that saw both teams earn a point after a 4-4 draw.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Aston Villa vs Manchester United last Lineups

Aston Villa

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

40
M. Bizot
2
M. Cash
3
V. Lindelof
4
E. Konsa
22
I. Maatsen
44
B. Kamara
24
A. Onana
7
J. McGinn
8
Y. Tielemans
27
M. Rogers
11
O. Watkins
10
M. Cunha
7
M. Mount
19
B. Mbeumo
2
D. Dalot
8
B. Fernandes
18
Casemiro
16
A. Diallo
23
L. Shaw
26
A. Heaven
15
L. Yoro
31
S. Lammens

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Manchester United

Missing players

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Goalkeeper

E. Martinez

Defender

T. Mings

P. Torres

Midfielder

R. Barkley

Manchester United
Manchester United
Defender

H. Maguire

M. De Ligt

Forward

B. Sesko

Aston Villa & Manchester United Squad Analysis

Aston Villa will miss several players for this tantalizing clash. Pau Torres, Tyrone Mings and Ross Barkley are still stuck in the treatment room while Harvey Elliot is doubtful with an illness. Emiliano Martinez has missed the last two games with a back problem, but is expected to be available on Sunday.

Jadon Sancho, who is on-loan at Villa Park from United, is ineligible to play against his parent club. They will still not miss their attacking punch as Morgan Rogers continues with his terrific form.

No one at the club has scored more than his five goals in the league. he teams up with other in-form mates, Donyell Malen and Emiliano Buendia, who have scored a combined eight league goals.

Manchester United have three players out on international duty.

Manchester United also come into this game missing key players. Bryan Mbeumo and Amad Diallo have scored a combined eight league goals.

They will, however, not be available for this match or for the next three weeks, at least, as they are away on AFCON duty. Noussair Mazraoui is also away.

It doesn’t get easier for United, who have had to do without the injured defensive pair of Matthijs de Ligt and Harry Maguire. Meanwhile, despite making polarizing comments, Bruno Fernandes is expected to keep carrying the offensive load. He has scored five times in the league.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Aston Villa
CD Huachipato Manchester United
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands D. Malen (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Cameroon B. Mbeumo (7 Goals)
Best assists
England M. Rogers (5 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal B. Fernandes (7 Assists)

Aston Villa and Manchester United Stats in Premier League

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Manchester United
Manchester United
63%
Wins
44%
19%
Draw
31%
19%
Losses
25%
2.63
Total goals per match
3.5
1.56
Goals scored per match
1.88
1.06
Goals conceded per match
1.63
56%
Over 2.5
69%
44%
Under 2.5
31%
50%
BTTS
75%
31%
Clean Sheet
6%

Aston Villa - Manchester United Key Points

  1. Aston Villa have won nine consecutive matches.
  2. Mbeumo, Manchester United’s leading scorer is out of this match.
  3. Aston Villa are on a nine-match winning streak at home.
  4. United haven’t kept a clean sheet in nine successive outings.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Aston Villa vs Manchester United Prediction

Our prediction for Aston Villa v Manchester United is that Aston Villa wins. The hosts are in impeccable form. They’ve won nine straight fixtures and have defeated strong sides in this stretch, like Bournemouth and Arsenal.

As they also have a similar hot streak at home, seeing them extend their winning run to an incredible 10 games is very likely. Their chances are also significantly boosted as United are severely depleted. The visitors are missing defensive pair Harry Maguire and Matthijs de Ligt, as well as the offensive duo of Bryan Mbeumo and Amad Diallo.

Prediction :

 

Aston Villa wins

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Aston Villa vs Manchester United - Other Interesting Predictions

Over 2.5 goals

Odds 1.66

For our second prediction, we fancy an over 2.5 goals outcome here. Both United and Villa are strong attacking teams and have rarely failed to find the back of the net this season. As they also do not have the meanest of defences, there are chances of this being a high-scoring game.

Welcome offer

Use £/€50 free bets for the Aston Villa vs. Manchester United game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Aston Villa and Manchester United? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's Premier League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

Claim this offer!

Aston Villa vs Manchester United match : Frequently asked questions

This match will be played on Sunday 21, December.

This match will be played at Aston Villa’s Villa Park Stadium in Birmingham, England.

This match will be available for live TV viewing in the UK on Sky Sports Main Event and Ultra. Sportytrader will also have minute-by-minute updates of this and other Premier League fixtures this weekend.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Aston Villa vs Manchester United Prediction