England - Premier League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Premier League Predictions
After contrasting results in Europe in the midweek, Aston Villa and Manchester City put on the line their domestic record on matchday nine of the 2025-26 English Premier League. This match will be played on Sunday between the 11th-placed Villans and the second-placed Blues, with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
These two clubs are the in-form teams in the league, posting three consecutive wins each. Villa fell to a surprise loss in the Europa League in the midweek and will hope they can dust off the cobwebs and get back to winning ways.
City have been in ruthless form in recent weeks, managing to climb up the table after a troubling start to the campaign. They have been the best scoring side in the league while boasting one of the best defensive records, although that would be challenged here. Villa Park hasn’t been a happy travelling ground for City in recent years, but will that change this year? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Manchester City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.33 | 3.8 | 1.8 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.75 | 1.83 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.75 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.8 | 4 | 1.83 |
|
|
4.35 | 3.75 | 1.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Manchester City match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/10/2025 between Aston Villa and Manchester City in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.87% for a win of Aston Villa against Manchester City with odds of 4.35 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Manchester City is 19.96% with odds of 4 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.17% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Aston Villa with odds of 1.85 at William Hill.
Aston Villa vs Manchester City Form
Aston Villa and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
16 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 |
|
11
|
12 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
Aston Villa and Manchester City Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sep 2025 - Premier League
25 Sep 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
28 Sep 2025 - Premier League
25 Sep 2025 - Europa League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
21 Sep 2025 - Premier League
16 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
24 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
18 Sep 2025 - Champions League
14 Sep 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
30 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
24 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
21 Sep 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
Aston Villa vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Apr 2025 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Dec 2023 - Premier League
12 Feb 2023 - Premier League
3 Sep 2022 - Premier League
Aston Villa - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Villa lost 2-1 at Go Ahead Eagles on Thursday in the Europa League, despite taking a lead in the fourth minute. That result ended a run of five consecutive wins in all competitions for the Villans.
Unai Emery’s side won three league games in a row after starting the season with no wins from the first five (D3, L2). They have a positive record at this venue, winning their last two and losing just one of the four home league games this season.
Villa won their last two home league games against City.
City cruised to a 2-0 away win over Villarreal in the Champions League on Tuesday, extending their unbeaten run to nine matches in all competitions (W7, D2).
That run included four wins out of the last five league games (W4, D1), helping them rise up the table and start this round three points behind leaders Arsenal. City haven’t quite dominated their away games, though, winning just one of their last three league trips (W1, D1, L1).
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Aston Villa vs Manchester City last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
T. Mings
L. Digne
MidfielderY. Tielemans
A. Khusanov
MidfielderRodri
N. Gonzalez
Aston Villa & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Youri Tielemans and Andres Garcia remain injury absentees for Villa, while Lucas Digne missed the game against Go Ahead Eagles. Unai Emery is unlikely to change his preferred 4-2-3-1 system with Ollie Watkins leading the line.
Morgan Rogers is set to slot in right behind him in the hole, and with two goals in his last four matches for club and country, he could fancy his chances.
Emi Buendia has two goals and an assist as a substitute this season in the league.
City will field their usual 4-1-4-1 formation with the unstoppable Erling Haaland leading the line. He has 11 goals and an assist in the eight league games this season, looking as hungry as ever!
Jeremy Doku’s three assists make him a threat on the wing, but the biggest worry for the visitors is the absence of Rodri. That would leave City to work with Nico Gonzalez at the base of their midfield, while John Stones has returned to full fitness.
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Manchester City
E. Buendia
(3 Goals)
, 
J. McGinn
(3 Goals)
E. Haaland
(15 Goals)
B. Kamara
(3 Assists)
J. Doku
(3 Assists)
, 
T. Reijnders
(3 Assists)
Aston Villa and Manchester City Stats in Premier League
Aston Villa - Manchester City Key Points
- Six of Villa’s last eight competitive games including three in a row have seen BTTS.
- Villa’s last four Premier League matches saw both teams score goals.
- Villa kept just one clean sheet in their four home league matches this season.
- City failed to score in just one of their eight Premier League matches this season.
- Three of City’s last six competitive away games produced goals from both teams.
- Eight of the last nine league matches between these teams produced goals from both teams.
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Our Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction
Aston Villa and Manchester City are two of the most in-form sides in the Premier League, coming here on the back of three league wins in a row. The hosts have revived their campaign, thanks to that run, while City have managed to stay in touch with the league leaders. The visitors may have one of the best defensive records of the division, but their recent encounters against Villa have been full of goals.
This match could follow suit, and our Aston Villa vs Manchester City prediction is BTTS.
Aston Villa vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Predictions
Erling Haaland to score 2 or more goals
Erling Haaland has been a goal machine in recent weeks, scoring in 12 consecutive games for club and country. He has scored 2+ goals in four of his last six matches for City and Norway. Back him to be a multi-goal scorer once again.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Aston Villa vs. Manchester City game!
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Aston Villa vs Manchester City match : Frequently asked questions
The Aston Villa vs Manchester City English Premier League match will be shown live on Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, and Sky Sports Ultra HDR in the UK. It can also be streamed live on Sky’s NOW TV streaming service.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our English Premier League Livescore page!
Visiting this venue hasn’t been top of the travel agenda for Manchester City lately. They lost their recent two away league games; they last lost more consecutive such league games between 1960 and 1975.
That may not be encouraging, but City have 31 wins and 101 goals against Villa in the Premier League. Only against Newcastle United (32 wins, 106 goals) have they posted better numbers.
Villa have won their last three league games after starting the season with a five-game winless sequence (D3, L2). The only team in the history of this competition to win four games in a row after starting without a win in the first five matches was Preston in the 1936-37 campaign.
City have kept 12 clean sheets since their 5-1 loss at Arsenal in February, which is the most by any Premier League side. Their record of 15 goals conceded in 22 matches during that period (0.68 goals per game) is matched only by Arsenal.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
