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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
The US Open top seed Aryna Sabalenka continues with her title defence in a quarter-final meeting with Marketa Vondrousova. The two familiar foes will be squaring off for the 10th time, and the winner will face Jessica Pegula or Barbora Krejcikova. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Sabalenka’s superb start extended with a straight-sets win against Cristina Bucsa in the last round. The Belarusian wasn't expected to struggle in the game, and her 6-1, 6-4 win indicates as much.
She has now scaled to a 54-10 record for the season and 30-5 on hardcourts. This run keeps her top in the live rankings and in contention for her fourth title of the season as well as a fourth Grand Slam gong.
In the nine meetings between these two, Vondrousova slumped to five defeats. Her mission here will be to level the head-to-head numbers and qualify for the semis here for the first time ever.
The Czech athlete is 36th in the live rank after a three-set win over Elena Rybakina, having earlier beaten another seeded player, Jasmine Paolini.
She will be confident of stopping the top seed, a player she lost to in August in Cincinnati. This will be their third meeting this year, having earlier faced off in Berlin, where Vondrousova won and marched on to win the title.
At Grand Slam level, this marks a second meeting, Sabalenka having beaten Vondrousova at the 2022 Australian Open.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aryna Sabalenka v Marketa Vondrousova Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.33 | 3.4 |
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1.3 | 3.5 |
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1.3 | 3.5 |
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1.33 | 3.2 |
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1.32 | 3.5 |
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova match is: Sabalenka to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova game on 02/09/2025 of the current WTA US Open season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 61.07% chance to win against Marketa Vondrousova according to 22bet ⭐ with the odds of 1.36.
- Marketa Vondrousova has a 38.93% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 61.07 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
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Aryna Sabalenka | 61.07 % |
Marketa Vondrousova | 38.93 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Marketa Vondrousova Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
31 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open
29 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open
27 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open
24 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open
15 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
13 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
31 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open
29 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open
27 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open
24 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open
9 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
7 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
9 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
21 Jun 2025 - WTA Berlin Open
19 Apr 2024 - WTA Stuttgart Open
5 Jan 2023 - WTA Adelaide
Aryna Sabalenka - Marketa Vondrousova Key Points
- Vondrousova has spent an hour more on the court than Sabalenka.
- Sabalenka has the head-to-head advantage against Vondrousova.
- Four of nine meetings between these two produced three sets.
- These players' only Grand Slam meeting produced three sets.
- Sabalenka has won 54 of her 64 matches this season.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova Prediction
Vondrousova entered her fifth Grand Slam quarter-final in style, for the first time at the 2025 US Open, not needing a tiebreaker. Though she’s spent more time on the court than Sabalenka, she will bear the confidence to see this through. Sabalenka has, however, had a better season, winning two more titles than Vondrousova and comes here as a favorite.
Vondrousova has had a good showing on her return after missing a chunk of 2024 and 2025, winning one title, but this test might prove too big. She could push Sabalenka the distance, though. Our prediction for Aryna Sabalenka v Marketa Vondrousova is for Sabalenka to win in three sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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