ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters

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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions
This is probably the most unexpected title decider in ATP history. Qualifier Valentin Vacherot from Monaco takes on his cousin, unseeded Frenchman Arthur Rinderknech in the final of the Shanghai Masters. Here’s our match prediction.
In the last rankings, Vacherot was in 204th position. He’s become the lowest ranked player to reach an ATP Masters 1000 final. His run to this final has taken him to a career-high 58th in the live rankings.
The 26-year-old has had to win eight matches in Shanghai. Five seeded players have been beaten and on Saturday he defeated Novak Djokovic in straight sets.
There’s been one previous meeting between these two players. That was won by Rinderknech on a hard court but played seven years ago.
It’s not been too successful a year for Rinderknech but he’s seen improved form since August. He made it to the last 16 in the US Open and is now in only his second ATP Tour final, the other being in 2022.
He’s also been beating several seeds in this tournament. Saturday’s win over 16th-seeded Daniil Medvedev was the fifth he’s beaten so far in Shanghai. The Frenchman is now a career-high 28th in the live rankings. All of this after being a set down in round one before his opponent retired.
We tip Rinderknech to win this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Arthur Rinderknech v Valentin Vacherot Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.67 | 2.2 |
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1.57 | 2.38 |
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1.6 | 2.3 |
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1.57 | 2.25 |
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1.58 | 2.4 |
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Who will win the Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherot Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherot match is: Arthur Rinderknech to win.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherot game on 12/10/2025 of the current ATP Shanghai Masters season:
- Arthur Rinderknech has a 54.24% chance to win against Valentin Vacherot according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.67.
- Valentin Vacherot has a 45.76% probability of winning facing Arthur Rinderknech ⭐ with odds of 2.41 at 22bet.
Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherot Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Arthur Rinderknech has a 54.24 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Arthur Rinderknech | 54.24 % |
Valentin Vacherot | 45.76 % |
Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherot Form
Arthur Rinderknech and Valentin Vacherot Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
11 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
10 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
7 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
2 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
11 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
9 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
7 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
5 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
1 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Arthur Rinderknech - Valentin Vacherot Key Points
- Rinderknech was 150 places ahead of Vacherot in the last rankings list.
- Rinderknech is up to 28th in the live rankings.
- Rinderknech is playing in his second ATP Tour final.
- Vacherot has had to play eight matches to reach this final, two more than his opponent.
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Our Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction
Anyone who predicted this final should immediately start playing lotteries. World number 204 Valentin Vacherot mainly plays on the Challenger Tour not ATP Masters events. He's had to play eight matches to reach this title decider and this could be a close match against his cousin.
Arthur Rinderknech has won 11 of his last 14 matches and that's a big improvement on his form in the first half of the year. A side bet on three sets being played could be a winner but our main Arthur Rinderknech v Valentin Vacherot prediction is Arthur Rinderknech to win.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Arthur Rinderknech vs. Valentin Vacherot game!
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Try your luck on this year's ATP Shanghai Masters! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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