Arsenal vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Super Sunday in the Premier League delivers a fixture that has shaped generations - it’s Arsenal and Manchester United renewing one of English football’s most revered rivalries at the Emirates. The Gunners lead the league standings, while the Red Devils are in fifth place after 22 games. Check out our match prediction below!
There is a feeling growing around the red half of North London this season - a sense of belief beneath the nerves, as their side has built strength through struggle and now stand tall at the summit of the EPL. This is a match carrying more than just a possible three points for Mikel Arteta; it's a chance to maintain momentum and take a step closer to greatness.
However, arriving at the fortress that is the Emirates is a Man United side now steered by Michael Carrick and revitalised after a stunning performance in which they silenced their noisy neighbours and now aim to derail the league leaders' title push. Indeed, this has all the makings of a Premier League showdown for the ages - let’s get into the key stats!
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Arsenal v Manchester United Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.57 | 4.5 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.48 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.36 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.5 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.2 | 5.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Manchester United?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Manchester United match is: Manchester United +2 European handicap.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/01/2026 between Arsenal and Manchester United in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.81% for a win of Arsenal against Manchester United with odds of 1.61 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Manchester United is 36.75% with odds of 4.58 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Arsenal with odds of 6 at LSbet.
Arsenal - Manchester United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arsenal Manchester United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 48.81% | 1.61 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.45% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 78.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Arsenal | 26.2% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Arsenal vs Manchester United Form
Arsenal and Manchester United's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
85 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 |
|
3
|
71 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 |
Arsenal and Manchester United Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
14 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
23 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
14 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2025 - Premier League
15 Dec 2025 - Premier League
4 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Dec 2025 - Premier League
8 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
Arsenal vs Manchester United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Premier League
Arsenal - Manchester United: Form Analysis
With City and Aston Villa losing their MD22 fixtures, Arsenal were not just let off the hook for their 0-0 draw against Forest; they actually extended their lead at the top of the table to seven points.
That was the Gunners' second goalless draw in the EPL in succession, and while those results were not ideal, they prevented their opponents from recording a single shot on target in both matches.
Indeed, the hosts’ defence has been incredible this season, particularly at home, where they have only conceded five goals in 11 games - the fewest in the top flight - and have yet to suffer defeat.
Arsenal are unbeaten in their last seven league home games against this opponent (W6 D1)!
Meanwhile, Michael Carrick could not have scripted a better return to Manchester United, as he oversaw arguably the team’s best performance this season in last week’s 2-0 victory over the Citizens.
It was the first win across all competitions the Red Devils managed since Boxing Day against Newcastle United, and perhaps more importantly, just the third clean sheet they kept this season.
The task for the visitors now is to find the same sort of performance on the road, where they are winless in their last three games (D2 L1), including disappointing draws against newly promoted Leeds and Burnley.
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Arsenal against Manchester United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
K. Arrizabalaga
DefenderB. White
C. Mosquera
MidfielderE. Eze
M. Lewis-Skelly
M. Merino
N. Madueke
G. Martinelli
V. Gyokeres
A. Bayindir
DefenderA. Heaven
N. Mazraoui
L. Yoro
T. Malacia
MidfielderM. Ugarte
M. Mount
ForwardM. Cunha
B. Sesko
Missing players
R. Calafiori
M. de Ligt
Arsenal & Manchester United Squad Analysis
After spending the majority of the season on the sidelines, Gabriel Jesus has now recorded three goal contributions in his two starts since returning from injury, including bagging a brace at the San Siro in the week.
It is unlikely that the Brazilian will displace Viktor Gyokeres for this match, but pressure is certainly mounting on the Swede, as he has only registered one goal in his last 10 league appearances.
Bukayo Saka and Ben White have shaken off knocks and are in contention to start this match, but Piero Hincapie, Riccardo Calafiori and Max Dowman will miss out through injury.
Will Carrick maintain faith in Bryan Mbeumo to lead the line this week?
The Cameroonian was deployed as the number nine against City and finished off a sweeping counter-attack to give the Red Devils the lead. Only Mo Salah and Antoine Semenyo have scored more goals from fast breaks since last season than Mbeumo’s five.
If United are able to breach the Gunners’ defence, Bruno Fernandes is likely to be involved. The team's skipper set up Mbeumo last weekend and now leads the league in assists (9) and chances created (62).
Given how well they marshalled Erling Haaland, and with Matthijs de Ligt ruled out, Harry Maguire and Lisandro Martinez are likely to start again in central defence. Joshua Zirkzee is the only other United player currently sidelined through injury.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Manchester United
V. Gyokeres
(14 Goals)
B. Mbeumo
(11 Goals)
, 
B. Sesko
(11 Goals)
L. Trossard
(6 Assists)
, 
M. Odegaard
(6 Assists)
B. Fernandes
(21 Assists)
Arsenal - Manchester United Key Points
- Arsenal have failed to score in their last two league games.
- Arsenal have only kept one clean sheet in their last five home matches.
- Man United are unbeaten in their last five league games.
- Man United have the joint-best xG in the EPL this season (1.85).
- Four of the last five competitive matches between these sides were decided by one goal or ended in a draw.
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Our Arsenal vs Manchester United Prediction
Arsenal have been let off the hook in the last two weeks, with Man City and Aston Villa failing to capitalise on their dropped points. Mikel Arteta will know that they cannot continue to ride their luck, though, as their seven-point lead can evaporate in the blink of an eye.
For Man United, this match will likely tell us whether last week’s performance was the start of a resurgence or merely a new manager bounce. However, the Red Devils will arrive in North London brimming with confidence, and we feel they will keep this one close even if they do head back empty-handed. Our Arsenal vs Manchester United prediction is Manchester United +2 European handicap.
Arsenal vs Manchester United Alternative Predictions
Both teams to score
Six of Arsenal’s last eight home games in all competitions have ended with both teams scoring, while both teams have struck the back of the net in each of Man United’s last nine away matches.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arsenal Manchester United
| Arsenal vs Manchester United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 1.49 | 1.61 | +8.1% |
| Draw | 4.83 | 4.58 | -5.2% |
| Manchester United wins | 7.21 | 6 | -16.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 67.1% and is now 62.1% (-5.0%)
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Arsenal vs Manchester United - FAQs
The Premier League match between Arsenal and Manchester United will take place on January 25 at 16:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Arsenal and Manchester United will be played at the Emirates Stadium in London.
The Premier League match between Arsenal and Manchester United will be broadcast live on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
