Arsenal vs Everton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Arsenal
14/03/2026 13:30
Everton

Prediction :

 

Arsenal wins

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Premier League Predictions

Arsenal labored against Bayer Leverkusen in a midweek Champions League encounter in Germany, playing out a 1-1 draw. The Gunners left it late to level through a Kai Havertz penalty and will be hoping for a much better outing in London. At home in the league, Arsenal have played 14 matches and only lost once.

Only two teams have hit double digits in home wins in the EPL this season, and Arsenal is on that elite list. From their 11 league wins, they will draw much confidence, looking to upset a team that rarely gives them breathing space. Arsenal haven't lost to Everton in the last six matches, winning four. Three of the four wins were by a one-goal margin.

Arsenal have won each of their last five home matches.

Everton have scored five goals in their last two matches and will want the same against the league’s meanest defence. The Toffees are coming into this game having beaten Burnley 2-0 last time out. They know this will be a tougher assignment, but the visitors can afford to bank on their away form.

In the last six matches on the road, Everton are undefeated, winning four. Their only away defeat in the last 10 was against Chelsea back in mid-December. However, at Arsenal, Everton are winless in four games, losing three.

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Arsenal v Everton Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.43 4.6 8.2
Melbet
1.38 4.54 9.4
Betwinner
1.38 4.54 9.4
Bet365
1.42 4.5 8
Roobet
1.35 4.5 9.4
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Everton?

Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Everton match is: Arsenal wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/03/2026 between Arsenal and Everton in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.63% for a win of Arsenal against Everton with odds of 1.44 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Everton is 19.69% with odds of 4.7 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 28.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Everton vs Arsenal with odds of 9.75 at 888Starz.

Arsenal - Everton Prediction and Best Odds:

Arsenal Everton Prediction Probability Odds
Arsenal wins 51.63% 1.44 at Shangrila
Over 2.5 goals 51.52% 2.05 at Betsson
Both Team To Score: No 51.25%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Arsenal 24.43% 4.1 at LSbet

Arsenal vs Everton Form

Arsenal and Everton's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Arsenal
85 38 26 7 5 +44
13 Everton
49 38 13 10 15 -3

Arsenal and Everton Last Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
D W W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Mar 2026 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  1
Arsenal

7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup

Mansfield Town
1 :  2
Arsenal

4 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  1
Arsenal

1 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Chelsea

22 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  4
Arsenal

18 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  2
Arsenal
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Chelsea

15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Arsenal
4 :  0
Wigan

7 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Sunderland

3 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
1 :  0
Chelsea

28 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  2
Kairat Almaty

25 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  3
Manchester United
D D W W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Mar 2026 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  1
Arsenal

7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup

Mansfield Town
1 :  2
Arsenal

4 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  1
Arsenal

22 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  4
Arsenal

18 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  2
Arsenal

12 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Arsenal
Everton
Everton Last matches
D W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Burnley

28 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Everton

23 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  1
Manchester United

10 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  2
Bournemouth

7 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  2
Everton

31 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Everton
D D D L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

3 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Burnley

23 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  1
Manchester United

10 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  2
Bournemouth

26 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Leeds

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Everton
1 :  1
Sunderland

7 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Wolves
D W W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Everton

7 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  2
Everton

31 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Everton

18 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  1
Everton

30 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  2
Everton

27 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  0
Everton

Arsenal vs Everton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Arsenal

67 %

Draw

33 %

Everton

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.83
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
0.33
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  1
Arsenal

5 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Arsenal

14 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Everton

19 May 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Everton

17 Sept 2023 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  1
Arsenal

1 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  0
Everton

Arsenal - Everton: Form Analysis

There are questions regarding Arsenal skipper Martin Odegaard’s fitness levels. It just came out that he is nursing a knee injury, but there is no clarity on the extent, to determine how far he is from returning. The one confirmed absentee in this game will be Mikel Merino, while Leandro Trossard is listed as doubtful.

Viktor Gyokeres hasn’t been firing lately but remains as the Gunners' lead scorer with 10 league goals. With the Gunners needing a win here for their confidence, Mikel Arteta may opt to start with Kai Havertz, who offers more in attack while aiding defensively as well.

Bukayo Saka is expected to start for Arsenal, as he is key in set-piece situations.

Everton haven't reported any new injuries at the moment and only have three players in the treatment room currently. Jack Grealish is done for the season; he has a foot injury that has labeled him as unavailable for the season reminder.

His mate, Seamus Coleman, is regarded as doubtful for this game. The 37-year-old has only started in one of his three appearances this season. From the Everton side that started last time out, we don’t expect many changes, so Jordan Pickford in goal will be key for the visitors.

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Arsenal vs Everton Prediction

Arsenal against Everton Lineups: Starting 11

Arsenal

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
D. Raya
12
J. Timber
2
W. Saliba
6
G. Magalhaes
33
R. Calafiori
36
M. Zubimendi
41
D. Rice
7
B. Saka
10
E. Eze
20
N. Madueke
29
K. Havertz
9
Beto
10
I. Ndiaye
22
K. Dewsbury-Hall
7
D. McNeil
27
I. Gueye
42
T. Iroegbunam
16
V. Mykolenko
5
M. Keane
15
J. O'Brien
37
J. Garner
1
J. Pickford

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Everton

Substitutes

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

K. Arrizabalaga

Defender

P. Hincapie

R. Calafiori 74'

C. Mosquera

J. Timber 38'

B. White

Midfielder

M. Lewis-Skelly

M. Dowman

M. Zubimendi 74'

Forward

G. Martinelli

N. Madueke 61'

V. Gyokeres

K. Havertz 61'

G. Jesus

Everton
Everton
Goalkeeper

M. Travers

Defender

S. Coleman

A. Aznou

N. Patterson

Midfielder

M. Rohl

T. Iroegbunam 86'

T. George

I. Gueye 90'

H. Armstrong

D. McNeil 86'

Forward

T. Barry

Beto 69'

T. Dibling

Missing players

Arsenal
Arsenal
Midfielder

M. Odegaard

M. Merino

Everton
Everton
Defender

J. Tarkowski

Midfielder

J. Branthwaite

C. Alcaraz

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Arsenal
CD Huachipato Everton
Top Goalscorer
Sweden V. Gyokeres (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Guinea-Bissau Beto (9 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium L. Trossard (6 Assists)
Norway M. Odegaard (6 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Garner (7 Assists)

Arsenal - Everton Key Points

  1. Arsenal have posted five straight wins at home.
  2. Everton suffered defeat in two of their last four matches.
  3. In their latest 12 matches, Arsenal have managed nine wins.
  4. Arsenal have only lost once at home this season in all competitions.
  5. Everton are winless in six meetings with Arsenal, losing four times in the process.
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Our Arsenal vs Everton Prediction

Arsenal have a good record at home, winning each of their last five matches since the shocker against Manchester United. They have also not lost to Everton across their last six meetings, winning four times, including the reverse fixture.

Mikel Arteta’s men haven't been playing well lately, but they’ve regularly found a way to go over the line. The same is expected here, as Everton are a tough opponent as well. Everton have been picking up points in their recent away matches, but this could prove tricky. Our prediction for Arsenal v Everton is that Arsenal wins.

Prediction :

 

Arsenal wins

 
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Arsenal vs Everton Alternative Predictions

Under 2.5 goals

Odds 2

Arsenal are no longer the free scoring side of earlier in the season. There is fatigue creeping in as well as nervousness, which makes them focus more on defending.

Five of their last seven matches against Everton have also been low scoring, producing less than three goals. We will therefore back under 2.5 goals here as our second bet.

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arsenal Everton

Arsenal vs Everton Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Arsenal wins 1.28 1.44 +12.5%
Draw 5.5 4.7 -14.5%
Everton wins 11.25 9.75 -13.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Arsenal is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 12.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 78.1% and is now 69.4% (-8.7%)

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Arsenal vs Everton - FAQs

The Arsenal v Everton match will be played on Saturday, 14th March.

The Arsenal v Everton match will be played at the Emirates Stadium in London.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.