New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Arsenal
16/03/2025 09:30
Chelsea

Prediction :

 

Chelsea +2 European handicap

 
$200 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions

Super Sunday in the Premier League kicks off with a London Derby at the Emirates Stadium where Arsenal will face off against familiar foes Chelsea. The Gunners are in second place in the league standings, while the Blues are six points behind them in fourth. Check out our match prediction below!

Arsenal have enjoyed the bulk of success in this fixture in recent times, having remained unbeaten in their last six Premier League matches against this opponent (W4 D2 L0). This is their longest run without defeat against the Blues since between 1995 and 2005 (19 games). Chelsea, meanwhile, have lost their last two away games against the Gunners, including a 5-0 drubbing in this exact fixture last season. 

The latest bookmaker odds show the hosts installed as the clear favourites, but can the visitors spoil the party on enemy territory? Let’s get into the key stats at play between these cross-town rivals. 

Up to $200 to bet on Arsenal - Chelsea! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Chelsea Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.7 3.6 5.25
Betfred
1.73 3.75 5
Ladbrokes
2 2.45 4.8
1xbet
1.74 3.69 5.38
22bet
1.74 3.69 5.38
Check all Arsenal vs Chelsea odds
Up to $200 to bet on Arsenal - Chelsea! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Chelsea?

Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Chelsea match is: Chelsea +1.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/03/2025 between Arsenal and Chelsea in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.5% for a win of Arsenal against Chelsea with odds of 2 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Chelsea is 27.68% with odds of 3.78 at Vbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 18.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Arsenal with odds of 5.5 at Betfair.

Arsenal - Chelsea Prediction and Best Odds:

Arsenal Chelsea Prediction Probability Odds
Arsenal wins 53.5% 2 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 69.28% 2.11 at Betobet
Both Team To Score 67.92%
Half-time / Full-time : Arsenal/Arsenal 23.24% 2.75 at Bet365

Arsenal vs Chelsea Form

Arsenal and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Arsenal
Arsenal
67 34 18 13 3 34
5
Chelsea
Chelsea
60 34 17 9 8 19

Arsenal and Chelsea Last Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
W L D W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

12 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  2
PSV Eindhoven

9 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Arsenal

4 Mar 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
1 :  7
Arsenal

26 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Arsenal

22 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  1
West Ham

15 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  2
Arsenal
W D W W L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

12 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  2
PSV Eindhoven

22 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  1
West Ham

2 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  1
Manchester City

22 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  0
GNK Dinamo Zagreb

18 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Aston Villa

15 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Tottenham
W L W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Arsenal

4 Mar 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
1 :  7
Arsenal

26 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Arsenal

15 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  2
Arsenal

5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
2 :  0
Arsenal

29 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Girona
1 :  2
Arsenal
Chelsea
Chelsea Last matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Mar 2025 - Conference League

Chelsea
1 :  0
FC Copenhagen

9 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Leicester

6 Mar 2025 - Conference League

FC Copenhagen
1 :  2
Chelsea

25 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  0
Southampton

22 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Chelsea

14 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Chelsea
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Mar 2025 - Conference League

Chelsea
1 :  0
FC Copenhagen

9 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Leicester

25 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  0
Southampton

3 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
West Ham

20 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Wolves

14 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Bournemouth
D L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

6 Mar 2025 - Conference League

FC Copenhagen
1 :  2
Chelsea

22 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Chelsea

14 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Chelsea

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Brighton
2 :  1
Chelsea

25 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Chelsea

4 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  1
Chelsea

Arsenal vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Arsenal

67 %

Draw

33 %

Chelsea

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

10 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Arsenal

23 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  0
Chelsea

21 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Arsenal

2 May 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Chelsea

6 Nov 2022 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Arsenal

23 Jul 2022 - Florida Cup

Arsenal
4 :  0
Chelsea
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Arsenal - Chelsea: Form Analysis

While they still have a game in hand, Arsenal saw the gap to league leaders Liverpool widen to 15 points last week when they were held to a 1-1 draw by Manchester United at Old Trafford. 

The Gunners have now failed to win any of their last three league games (W0 D2 L1), a notable downturn after going 15 matches unbeaten between November and mid-February (W10 D5 L0). 

The hosts lost their last home game 1-0 to West Ham United - they have never lost back-to-back London Derby matches at the Emirates, However, they did lose to Chelsea and the Irons at Highbury in 2005-06.

Arsenal have won six of their last nine Premier League games against Chelsea (W6 D2 L1)!

Meanwhile, Chelsea moved back into the Champions League qualification zone last weekend when they managed a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Leicester City at Stamford Bridge. 

That victory marked the Blues' second clean sheet in succession - they have only kept consecutive clean sheets on one other occasion this season, back in mid-September.  

However, the visitors have been very poor on the road of late, currently riding a three-match losing streak and winless in their last six (W0 D2 L4), dating back to the start of December. 

Up to $200 to bet on Arsenal - Chelsea! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Players list

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

D. Raya

Defender

J. Timber

W. Saliba

G. Magalhaes

Midfielder

M. Lewis-Skelly

K. Tierney

T. Partey

D. Rice

M. Merino

L. Trossard

Forward

E. Nwaneri

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

R. Sanchez

Defender

M. Gusto

T. Adarabioyo

L. Colwill

M. Cucurella

R. Lavia

Midfielder

M. Caicedo

E. Fernandez

Forward

T. George

K. Dewsbury Hall

P. Neto

Substitutes

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

Neto

Defender

J. Kiwior

R. Calafiori

B. White

K. Tierney

M. Odegaard

O. Zinchenko

Midfielder

Jorginho

N. Butler-Oyedeji

Forward

E. Nwaneri

G. Martinelli

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

F. Jorgensen

M. Bettinelli

Defender

T. Chalobah

T. Adarabioyo

B. Badiashile

J. Acheampong

M. Gusto

W. Fofana

Midfielder

R. Lavia

R. James

K. Dewsbury Hall

C. Nkunku

T. George

J. Sancho

Missing players

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

T. Tomiyasu

Forward

B. Saka

G. Jesus

K. Havertz

R. Sterling

Chelsea
Chelsea
Forward

O. Kellyman

M. Mudryk

N. Jackson

M. Guiu

N. Madueke

Arsenal & Chelsea Squad Analysis

Arsenal have been ravaged by injury, particularly in attack, this season, which has allowed Ethan Nwaneri to receive an extended run in the team. 

The 17-year-old has scored eight goals across all competitions and was rested for the side’s midweek clash against PSV, which could mean he will be part of the attacking trio this weekend. 

Centre-forward has been a problematic spot for Mikel Arteta since Kai Havertz’s season-ending injury. Mikel Merino has led the line in recent times, but Leandro Trossard is also an option this week. 

Cole Palmer has gone over 600 minutes without scoring in the Premier League!

Indeed, the England international has been performing well below the levels we saw at the start of the season, when he had 20 direct goal contributions in 20 games (14 goals, 6 assists).

Marc Cucurella has been invaluable to the Blues in recent weeks. He has scored in his last two starts for his team, taking his goal tally to four for the season. The Spaniard is now the second-highest-scoring defender in the top flight behind Josko Gvardiol (5). 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Arsenal
CD Huachipato Chelsea
Top Goalscorer
Germany K. Havertz (15 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England C. Palmer (14 Goals)
Best assists
England B. Saka (13 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina E. Fernandez (10 Assists)

Arsenal - Chelsea Key Points

  1. Arsenal are winless in their last three league games.
  2. Arsenal have only won two of their last nine league games by two clear goals.
  3. Arsenal have only won one of their last six home games by two clear goals.
  4. Chelsea have only lost one of their last five league games by two clear goals.
  5. Chelsea are on a four-match win streak across all competitions.
Up to $200 to bet on Arsenal - Chelsea! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction

Arsenal have dominated this fixture at this venue in recent seasons, but it’s difficult to overlook their attacking issues. The side is lacking a specialist number nine and has failed to score in two of their last three league games. 

Chelsea, on the other hand, scored five goals in their last two league games, but more impressively, they kept clean sheets in both those matches. The hosts are still expected to win this match, but we feel it will not be by more than one goal. Our Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction is Chelsea +1. 

Prediction :

 

Chelsea +2 European handicap

 
Exclusive Offer
$200 offered for betting!

Arsenal vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions

Under 2.5 goals

Odds 1.9
Arsenal have the highest under 2.5 goals rate in the league at 61% with 17 of their 28 Premier League fixtures staying under the mark. They also sport the league's best defense with only 24 goals allowed. Chelsea, meanwhile, are on a nice defensive run of their own with clean sheets in back-to-back outings.
$200 offered for betting!

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arsenal Chelsea

Arsenal vs Chelsea Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Arsenal wins 1.75 1.7 -2.9%
Draw 3.8 3.6 -5.3%
Chelsea wins 4.5 5.25 +16.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Arsenal is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 58.8% (1.7%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the Arsenal vs. Chelsea game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Arsenal and Chelsea? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's Premier League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

Bet on Premier League at Bet365!

Arsenal vs Chelsea match : Frequently asked questions

The Premier League match between Arsenal and Chelsea will be played on March 16 at 13:30 GMT.

The Premier League match between Arsenal and Chelsea will take place at the Emirates Stadium in London.

The Premier League match between Arsenal and Chelsea will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.

Alternatively, you can keep up to the minute with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction
Up to $200 to bet on Arsenal - Chelsea! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Please Gamble Responsibly

logo footer