Manchester City vs Sunderland Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Manchester City will look to continue their strong start to the Premier League season when they host Sunderland at the Etihad Stadium on Sunday afternoon. The Citizens won this fixture 3-0 last season, and we’re going for a similar outcome as our main prediction in this match.
After Pep Guardiola’s departure and with the team losing the Community Shield 3-0 to Arsenal, there were serious concerns surrounding Man City’s title chances this season. However, those concerns are now starting to fade, with Enzo Maresca leading his new side to six consecutive wins across all competitions coming into this weekend’s clash.
The Black Cats start Matchday 5 in 14th place with four points following a 2-0 defeat to the Gunners at home last week. While they did take a point off this opponent at home last term, they have failed to score against City in their last three encounters and have not beaten the Sky Blues on the road since 1998, when both teams were still in the EFL Championship. To the key stats!
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Manchester City v Sunderland Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.29 | 5.8 | 9.2 |
|
|
1.32 | 6.03 | 10.9 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.8 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.8 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.8 | 10.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Sunderland?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Sunderland match is: Manchester City to score 2-4 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/09/2026 between Manchester City and Sunderland in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.24% for a win of Manchester City against Sunderland with odds of 1.32 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Sunderland is 16.62% with odds of 6.03 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Sunderland vs Manchester City with odds of 10.9 at 1xbet.
Manchester City vs Sunderland Form
Manchester City and Sunderland's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +6 |
|
14
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
Manchester City and Sunderland Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2026 - Premier League
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
28 Aug 2026 - Premier League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Premier League
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
28 Aug 2026 - Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Community Shield
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Sept 2026 - Europa League
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
8 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
22 Aug 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Sept 2026 - Europa League
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
8 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
22 Aug 2026 - Premier League
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Manchester City vs Sunderland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
5 Mar 2017 - Premier League
Manchester City - Sunderland: Form Analysis
With a major slice of luck and plenty of controversy, Manchester City kept their perfect start to the Premier League season intact by beating cross-town rivals Manchester United 1-0 last weekend.
However, the Citizens needed no assistance to progress to the fourth round of the Carabao Cup on Thursday night, as they completely dominated Norwich City en route to a commanding 5-0 victory.
The hosts have won all three of their home games across all competitions this season and have only suffered one loss at the Etihad Stadium in their last nine competitive games since mid-March (W8).
Man City are unbeaten in their last 14 EPL matches against Sunderland (W12 D2)!
Meanwhile, despite losing 2-0 to Arsenal last week, the scoreline did not tell the full story about Sunderland’s performance, as they recorded 1.80 xG and created three big chances against the Gunners.
The Black Cats then got their first taste of the Europa League in midweek and marked the occasion with a memorable result, beating AZ Alkmaar 1-0, though they did underperform their 2.96 xG.
However, most of Sunderland’s best work over the past two seasons has been done at home. They have taken one point from their two away games this term and managed just five league wins on the road last season.
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Players list
G. Rulli
DefenderV. Reis
R. Ait-Nouri
A. Khusanov
N. O'Reilly
R. Lewis
MidfielderF. Samba
A. Bouaddi
M. Kovacic
R. Cherki
ForwardA. Elias
R. Roefs
DefenderN. Mukiele
K. Danso
O. Alderete
R. Mandava
T. Hume
MidfielderG. Xhaka
N. Sadiki
E. Le Fee
ForwardM. Fofana
W. Isidor
Substitutes
G. Donnarumma
DefenderK. Braithwaite
M. Guehi
MidfielderR. McAidoo
A. Semenyo
M. Nunes
E. Fernandez
E. Anderson
ForwardI. Ndiaye
S. Moore
DefenderT. Meunier
D. Ballard
D. Methalie
J. Jones
MidfielderJ. Ahoka
T. Tuterov
L. O'Nien
T. Proctor
C. Rigg
ForwardB. Brobbey
N. Angulo
Missing players
P. Foden
ForwardJ. Doku
R. Mundle
H. Diarra
Manchester City & Sunderland Squad Analysis
Maresca opted for wholesale changes against Norwich, which included handing debuts to Floyd Samba and Allan Elias. Both players got on the scoresheet in that match, but neither are expected to make the starting 11 this weekend.
Erling Haaland netted the winner against Man United last week and leads the EPL with four goals. Notably, of the 25 teams he has faced in the English top flight, Sunderland is the only side he has not scored against, and the Norwegian will want to change that this weekend.
Phil Foden was shown a straight red in the Manchester derby and will begin his suspension this week. Jeremy Doku has not featured since the Community Shield due to injury, but could return to the bench here.
Haaland has scored four goals from nine shots on target in the EPL this season!
Regis Le Bris gave Wilson Isidor a start in the Europa League in midweek, but Brian Brobbey should return to lead the line here. The Dutchman was a handful for the Gunners' defence last week, especially with his physicality that led to 10 duels won.
Keep an eye on Nordi Mukiele. The French fullback was extremely attacking last weekend and ended the game against Arsenal with 0.70 xG and four shots, three of which were from inside the box
The visitors have three confirmed absentees for this trip to the Etihad, with Romaine Mundle and Habib Diarra ruled out through injury, while Reinildo Mandava is suspended until after the international break.
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Sunderland
E. Haaland
(4 Goals)
N. Angulo
(1 Goals)
, 
W. Isidor
(1 Goals)
, 
E. Le Fee
(1 Goals)
R. Cherki
(2 Assists)
, 
P. Foden
(2 Assists)
, 
A. Semenyo
(2 Assists)
H. Diarra
(1 Assists)
Manchester City and Sunderland Stats in Premier League
Manchester City - Sunderland Key Points
- Manchester City are averaging two goals per game in the Premier League this season.
- Manchester City have recorded 1.92 xG per 90 in the league this season.
- Manchester City have scored two or more goals in seven of their last nine home matches.
- Manchester City have scored between 2 and 4 goals in each of their last seven home league games against Sunderland.
- Sunderland have not kept a clean sheet in their last six away league games.
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Our Manchester City vs Sunderland Prediction
Barring the loss to Ipswich on the opening weekend, Sunderland have looked good over the early stages of the season, but it will be interesting to see how they fare from here on with European competition now in full swing.
Manchester City were able to give their big hitters the night off in midweek, meaning they will enter this match well-rested and ready to go. The Citizens have dominated this fixture over the years, and we fancy them to bag at least a couple of goals en route to a victory. Our Manchester City vs Sunderland prediction is Manchester City to score 2-4 goals.
Manchester City vs Sunderland Alternative Predictions
Erling Haaland to score anytime
Manchester City wins
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Manchester City vs Sunderland - FAQs
The Premier League match between Manchester City and Sunderland will be broadcast live on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
