Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu | in Champions League Predictions
Arsenal will be looking to make home advantage count when they welcome Bayer Leverkusen for the return leg of their UEFA Champions League round of 16 clash. The two teams drew 1-1 in the first leg last week in Germany. The winner on the night in London will advance to the quarter-finals, where a two-legged tie against Bodo/Glimt or Sporting Lisbon will await. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Arsenal and Leverkusen are facing off in Europe’s premier club competition for the fourth time. Their first two meetings took place during the group stage of the 2001/02 season. The last time the Gunners hosted this match, they hammered Die Werkself 4-1.
They will seek a similar outcome as they hunt down a historic quadruple. Leverkusen will be out to extinguish this run as they further their own targets for the season. In their latest visit to England, Leverkusen claimed a 2-0 win against Man City.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Arsenal v Bayer Leverkusen Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.31 | 5.8 | 10 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.75 | 9 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.55 | 9.6 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.75 | 9 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.6 | 9.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Bayer Leverkusen?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/03/2026 between Arsenal and Bayer Leverkusen in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.44% for a win of Arsenal against Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 1.35 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen is 24.93% with odds of 5.8 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal with odds of 10.5 at LSbet.
Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arsenal Bayer Leverkusen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 58.44% | 1.35 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 50.59% | 3.25 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Arsenal | 30.43% | 4.1 at LSbet |
Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen Form
Arsenal and Bayer Leverkusen Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
18 Feb 2026 - Premier League
12 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen: Form Analysis
After the draw in North Rhine-Westphalia, Arsenal returned to EPL action, looking to extend their lead atop the standings. They did exactly that on Saturday thanks to a 2-0 win over Everton at home. It was a big win in a pivotal week ahead that could make or break their season.
Mikel Arteta’s men are chasing four titles. They are unbeaten in Europe this season and qualified for the knockout rounds after winning all eight of their league phase fixtures. Unbeaten in 13 games, Arsenal have qualified for at least the Champions League quarters in each of the last two seasons.
Arsenal have an 8-1-0 record with a +19 goal differential in the UCL this season.
Bayer Leverkusen played out another 1-1 draw when they faced Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga at the weekend, their fifth stalemate in the last six outings.
While a point against Bayern may seem like a good result, Leverkusen will be frustrated that they weren’t able to take all three given the Bavarians finished the match with nine men. Kasper Hjulmand’s men will play Bayern again next month in the DFB Pokal semis and will want to still be active in Europe.
The Germans are unbeaten in six matches, but with just one win. Leverkusen haven't had a consistent record in Europe; they failed to qualify for the quarters since 2001/02.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Arsenal against Bayer Leverkusen Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
K. Ranson
K. Arrizabalaga
DefenderR. Calafiori
C. Mosquera
M. Dowman
C. Norgaard
M. Lewis-Skelly
G. Martinelli
N. Madueke
K. Havertz
G. Jesus
J. Omlin
N. Lomb
DefenderT. Oermann
MidfielderM. Tillman
E. Fernandez
A. Tape
J. Hofmann
ForwardM. Culbreath
P. Schick
Missing players
J. Timber
MidfielderM. Merino
M. Flekken
DefenderL. Vazquez
L. Bade
Arthur
ForwardE. Ben Seghir
Arsenal & Bayer Leverkusen Squad Analysis
Arsenal skipper Martin Odegaard remains a doubt for this match as he struggles with a knee problem and hasn’t played in the last five fixtures. Leandro Trossard is also a doubt, after missing the last two fixtures. In defence, the Gunners encounter headwinds as Jurrien Timber was substituted in the first half injured against Everton, and his state is still unclear.
Viktor Gyokeres and teenage sensation Max Dowman came off the bench to score against Everton. Gyokeres, Arsenal’s top scorer with 16 goals, should return to the starting squad on Tuesday. Gabriel Martinelli, another sub against Everton, has netted six UCL goals and is another who will most likely start against Leverkusen.
Former Leverkusen man Kai Havertz scored in the first leg, his fifth UCL goal in six appearances.
Leverkusen, just like Arsenal, will want to finish off this match in 90 minutes. They have a duty to defend too, as Arsenal can be devastating at home. The Germans will, however, be without Arthur, who misses this game with an ankle injury.
Eliesse Ben Seghir, Mark Flekken, Loic Bade, and Lucas Vazquez are the other players ruled out of the trip to London. Martin Terrier and Aleix Garcia could join them after picking up knocks against Bayern Munich. Alejandro Grimaldo, who assisted Robert Andrich in the first leg, will be a key man here. He has been involved in seven Champions League goals this term.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
G. Martinelli
(6 Goals)
A. Grimaldo
(4 Goals)
, 
P. Schick
(4 Goals)
L. Trossard
(5 Assists)
A. Grimaldo
(3 Assists)
Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points
- Both teams found the net in the first leg meeting.
- Arsenal have found the net in 15 consecutive fixtures.
- Leverkusen have failed to score just twice in their last 14 games.
- In nine UCL outings this term, Leverkusen have conceded 15 times.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
Our prediction for Arsenal v Bayern Leverkusen is BTTS. Both teams found the net in a closely fought-out first leg match. We can expect the same as the two potent sides look to qualify for the quarter-finals.
Leverkusen are a strong attacking team, and aside from finding the net against the Champions League's best defence, they created the most chances in the first meeting. Defensively, though they have been inconsistent, facing an in-form team away from home will most likely see them stretched at the back.
Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen Alternative Predictions
Arsenal wins
In our second prediction, we pick Arsenal to win. The Gunners have been in exceptional form this season. They haven’t lost in 15 games, and at home, they have defeated their last six visitors.
They have also won eight of nine UCL matches, whereas their visitors have managed just one win in their last six outings.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arsenal Bayer Leverkusen
| Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 1.34 | 1.35 | +0.7% |
| Draw | 5.99 | 5.8 | -3.2% |
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 9.65 | 10.5 | +8.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 74.6% and is now 74.1% (-0.6%)
Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen - FAQs
The Arsenal v Bayer Leverkusen match will be played on Tuesday, 17 March.
The Arsenal v Bayer Leverkusen match will be played at Arsenal’s Emirates Stadium in London, England.
The Arsenal v Bayer Leverkusen match will have a live telecast on TNT Sports 1 and TNT Sports Ultimate for UK audiences. DAZN and Amazon Prime will air the match in Germany while Sportytrader will have detailed updates of this game and the rest of the UCL fixtures this week.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
