Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
Real Madrid will hope to end their wait for a win as they travel to Alaves for a La Liga matchday 31 fixture. This match at the Mendizorrotza Stadium on Sunday between the 18th-placed Babazorros and the second-placed Los Blancos comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Alaves started this round just outside the relegation zone, with their 30 points giving a two-point cushion. Madrid (63) are four points behind leaders Barcelona and three above city rivals Atletico Madrid.
A gritty 1-0 away win over Girona last week boosted Alaves’ hopes of beating the drop. They have won eight points over their last five league games, winning and drawing two matches each.
They still remain one of the unattractive sides in home matches, as their La Liga fixtures here have returned 1.86 goals on average.
Madrid are humbled 3-0 away at Arsenal in their midweek Champions League quarter-final first leg. That made it two losses and a draw over the last three matches.
With a crucial second leg against Arsenal coming up, Madrid will be in a dilemma about their priorities. Crucially, their recent form on the road has seen them score multiple goals only once in the last six competitive trips.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alavés v Real Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 | 3.8 | 1.73 |
|
|
5 | 4 | 1.67 |
|
|
4.4 | 2.7 | 1.91 |
|
|
5 | 3.9 | 1.65 |
|
|
5.2 | 3.91 | 1.71 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Alavés and Real Madrid?
Our prediction for the Alavés vs Real Madrid match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/04/2025 between Alavés and Real Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.19% for a win of Alavés against Real Madrid with odds of 5.5 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Alavés vs Real Madrid is 19.93% with odds of 4.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Alavés with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
Alavés - Real Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Alavés Real Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 52.89% | 1.91 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 59.79% | 2.15 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 40.42% | 1.83 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time: Real Madrid/Real Madrid | 20.7% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
Alavés vs Real Madrid Form
Alavés and Real Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
72 | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 35 |
|
17
|
34 | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | -11 |
Alavés and Real Madrid Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
27 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
11 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
1 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
1 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
Alavés vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
14 May 2024 - LaLiga
21 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2022 - LaLiga
14 Aug 2021 - LaLiga
23 Jan 2021 - LaLiga
Players list
J. Owono
DefenderF. Tenaglia
M. Diarra
S. Mourino
MidfielderM. Sanchez
A. Guevara
C. Benavidez
P. Cabanes
ForwardC. Vicente
T. Martinez
K. Garcia
T. Courtois
DefenderL. Vazquez
R. Asencio
A. Rudiger
B. Diaz
MidfielderD. Ceballos
A. Tchouameni
E. Camavinga
ForwardVinicius Junior
K. Mbappe
J. Bellingham
Substitutes
A. Rodriguez
DefenderH. Novoa
A. Pica
A. Sedlar
M. Diarra
F. Garces
MidfielderA. Guevara
C. Benavidez
A. Villalibre
P. Cabanes
T. Martinez
F. Gonzalez
S. Mestre
DefenderD. Alaba
J. Vallejo
MidfielderL. Modric
D. Ceballos
J. Bellingham
B. Diaz
Vinicius Junior
Endrick
Most goals and assists
Alavés
Real Madrid
K. Garcia
(12 Goals)
K. Mbappe
(29 Goals)
C. Vicente
(5 Assists)
J. Bellingham
(9 Assists)
Alavés - Real Madrid Key Points
- Alaves have seen under 2.5 goals in their last nine home league matches.
- Home and away, eight of the last ten league matches involving Alaves have seen fewer than three goals.
- Alaves average 1.86 goals in their matches at home, with only Getafe averaging fewer.
- Real Madrid scored one or fewer goals in five of their last six away matches in all competitions.
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Our Alavés vs Real Madrid Prediction
It’s a crisis if Real Madrid loses two matches in a row, and that’s the position they are in! With no wins in three matches in all competitions, Madrid face an uphill task in a crucial week. They can’t afford to lose here to Alaves and surrender their title chances, while they can’t take their eyes off the reverse fixture against Arsenal next week in the Champions League. That gives a chance for Alaves to keep things quiet, and our Alaves vs Real Madrid prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Alavés Real Madrid
| Alavés vs Real Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés wins | 9.5 | 4.75 | -50.0% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 3.8 | -20.0% |
| Real Madrid wins | 1.36 | 1.73 | +27.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 27.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 57.8% (-15.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Alavés vs. Real Madrid game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Alavés and Real Madrid? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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