Atletico Madrid vs Alavés Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
A return to winning ways in La Liga will dominate Atletico Madrid’s agenda when they welcome Alaves at the Wanda Metropolitano. The two sides are 19 points apart, with Atletico in fourth spot and Alaves 16th. Below is our match prediction.
Atletico overcame Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 after enduring a two-match winless run. In that period they suffered a 2-1 loss to Real Madrid in the Super Cup and had earlier drawn 1-1 with Real Sociedad.
It was their fifth draw this season and left a massive dent in their title push. The hosts now enter this round trailing leaders Barcelona by 11 points. They are, however, on a good run at home, winning eight of their nine league matches there.
Alaves have posted six wins less than Atletico and are battling in the lower reaches of the league hierarchy. After 19 matches, they’ve managed as many points, and that places them just two points above the relegation zone.
The visitors warmed up for this encounter with a 2-0 home win at Rayo Vallecano in the Copa del Rey. That brought to a halt their three-match winless streak, having suffered two defeats in that period.
This may not end well for Alaves, who have only managed three wins in the last 10 away encounters. Only one of those wins was in La Liga.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Atletico Madrid v Alavés Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.37 | 4.9 | 9.2 |
|
|
1.37 | 4.76 | 9 |
|
|
1.34 | 4.94 | 9.4 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.75 | 8 |
|
|
1.34 | 4.8 | 8.8 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Alavés?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Alavés match is: Atletico Madrid to win with a clean sheet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/01/2026 between Atletico Madrid and Alavés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 66.83% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Alavés with odds of 1.4 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Alavés is 10.98% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Alavés vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 10 at LSbet.
Atletico Madrid - Alavés Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Alavés Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 66.83% | 1.4 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.69% | 1.93 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 55.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Atletico Madrid/Atletico Madrid | 29.25% | 2.05 at Bet365 |
Atletico Madrid vs Alavés Form
Atletico Madrid and Alavés's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
69 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 |
|
14
|
43 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -12 |
Atletico Madrid and Alavés Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
8 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
30 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
Atletico Madrid vs Alavés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
3 May 2025 - LaLiga
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
29 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
2 Apr 2022 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid against Alavés Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
S. Esquivel
J. Musso
DefenderR. Belaid
R. Le Normand
N. Molina
J. Gimenez
MidfielderA. Monserrate
Koke
A. Griezmann
A. Baena
R. Fernandez
DefenderY. Enriquez
MidfielderCalebe
C. Protesoni
D. Suarez
A. Guevara
L. Boye
A. Rebbach
A. Manas
Missing players
C. Lenglet
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Alavés
A. Sorloth
(13 Goals)
T. Martinez
(14 Goals)
G. Simeone
(6 Assists)
C. Alena
(4 Assists)
, 
A. Rebbach
(4 Assists)
,
A. Perez
(4 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Alavés Key Points
- Alaves lost all their last six away games in La Liga.
- In nine La Liga away matches, Alaves scored just four goals.
- Atletico Madrid have won eight straight league games at home.
- Alaves failed to score in four of their last eight away matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Atletico Madrid vs Alavés Prediction
Alaves are among the poor performers in the league, and yet here they face off with a title contender. This looks like it will be a one-sided affair. The visitors avoided defeat in the last two matches against Atletico, both ending in draws.
Their recent form doesn’t depict a side that can pull off another such result against Atletico. Alaves are winless away from home in La Liga, while Atletico are unbeaten at home in the league. Our prediction for Atletico Madrid v Alaves is for Atletico Madrid to win with a clean sheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Madrid Alavés
| Atletico Madrid vs Alavés | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.36 | 1.4 | +2.9% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 5.2 | +20.1% |
| Alavés wins | 9 | 10 | +11.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 71.4% (-2.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Atletico Madrid vs. Alavés game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Atletico Madrid and Alavés? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
