Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Celta Vigo are on a purple patch and will hope to carry on when they host Rayo Vallecano next in La Liga. Goal difference places Celta Vigo just outside the top six, while Rayo are seven points back, in 11th spot. Below is our analysis of the match and a prediction.
Celta weren’t strong starters to the season but have slowly caught up and are knocking at the top six. This could be the weekend they break into the top six.
They are unbeaten in the last five league matches, winning four of them, the latest being a 1-0 victory against Sevilla. This run is only tampered with by Real Oviedo, who forced a 0-0 draw.
Rayo Vallecano will be determined to return to winning ways following their Copa del Rey elimination. The visitors are coming off a 2-0 defeat at Elche, which halted their three-game undefeated run.
They are unbeaten in their last two league matches, though, the latest being a 2-1 win at home to Mallorca. Rayo poses a big threat to Celta Vigo’s ambition for three straight league wins, as they are unbeaten in this fixture in the last five meetings.
In that stretch, though, they won just twice. Also, away from home, Rayo have struggled a bit in the run-up to this game; they are winless in four in the league.
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Celta Vigo v Rayo Vallecano Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.93 | 3.5 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.28 | 4.48 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.34 | 4.44 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.3 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.3 | 4.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Celta Vigo and Rayo Vallecano?
Our prediction for the Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano match is: Celta Vigo wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/01/2026 between Celta Vigo and Rayo Vallecano in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.45% for a win of Celta Vigo against Rayo Vallecano with odds of 1.95 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano is 16.84% with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.
Celta Vigo - Rayo Vallecano Prediction and Best Odds:
| Celta Vigo Rayo Vallecano Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 41.7% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.72% | 2.28 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 57.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Rayo Vallecano | 20.98% | 9.75 at LSbet |
Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano Form
Celta Vigo and Rayo Vallecano's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +5 |
|
8
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | -3 |
Celta Vigo and Rayo Vallecano Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
11 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
6 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
2 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
2 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
15 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
1 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
6 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
10 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
31 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
11 Mar 2023 - LaLiga
Celta Vigo against Rayo Vallecano Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
I. Villar
DefenderC. Dominguez
J. Rueda
Y. Lago
M. Fernandez
J. Aidoo
MidfielderH. Burcio
W. Swedberg
J. El-Abdellaoui
M. Roman Gonzalez
I. Aspas
B. Iglesias
D. Cardenas
A. Molina
DefenderJ. Vertrouwd
M. de las Sias
MidfielderF. Perez
S. Becerra
ForwardR. Nteka
Alemao
O. Trejo
Missing players
P. Ciss
O. Valentin
D. Mendez
Most goals and assists
Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
B. Iglesias
(14 Goals)
J. de Frutos
(10 Goals)
J. Rueda
(6 Assists)
A. Garcia
(5 Assists)
Celta Vigo - Rayo Vallecano Key Points
- Celta Vigo are coming off their first two league wins at home.
- Rayo lost four times in their last seven visits to Celta Vigo.
- Rayo are winless in their last four league matches, losing three.
- In their last five league matches, Celta are unbeaten, with four wins.
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Our Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
With four wins and a draw in their last five league outings, Celta Vigo seem to have shaken off their early-season wobble. This game holds a key to them breaking into the top six, and the hosts will want to make the most of the chance.
At home, they have registered their first two wins of the league campaign, and there is a strong possibility they could make it three here. Rayo Vallecano are winless in their last four league matches, three ending in defeat, and this will be another tough encounter. Our prediction for Celta Vigo v Rayo Vallecano is that Celta Vigo wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Celta Vigo Rayo Vallecano
| Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo wins | 2.2 | 1.95 | -11.4% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.55 | +14.5% |
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 3.7 | 4.75 | +28.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Rayo Vallecano is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 28.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.0% and is now 21.1% (-6.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
