Al Nasr vs Al Shabab Prediction & Betting Tips - Saudi Pro League
Saudi Arabia - Saudi Pro League
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Saudi Pro League Predictions
Al-Nassr and Al-Shabab are set to lock horns at King Saud University Stadium on matchday 16 of the Saudi Pro League. Al-Nassr are in second place in the league standings, while Al-Shabab are in 14th place. Here's our match prediction.
Al-Nassr was handed their third league defeat of the season against Al-Hilal. Despite Cristiano Ronaldo opening the scoring for his side in the 42nd minute, that wasn't enough to avert a 3-1 road defeat.
It definitely hasn't been a great start to the new year for the 2019 champions, who have now lost three consecutive matches. There have been some disciplinary concerns with two sendings-off across those games.
The Global One are at home this time around and are aiming for a positive outcome. They have been impressive in front of their home crowd, winning five of their last six games.
Al-Shabab are languishing in the bottom five of the Saudi Pro League standings and have maintained a two-point cushion over the relegation zone.
In contrast to their opponents, who have yet to secure a win since the turn of the year, they have managed just one win in three games.
The White Lions' recent match was against Neom SC. Despite being slight underdogs in that match, they secured a hard-fought 3-2 home victory. Before this, they had suffered two successive 2-0 defeats.
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Al Nasr v Al Shabab Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.36 | 5.2 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.38 | 5.05 | 7.7 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.3 | 6.3 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.33 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.2 | 7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Al Nasr and Al Shabab?
Our prediction for the Al Nasr vs Al Shabab match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Al Nasr and Al Shabab in Saudi Pro League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 72.87% for a win of Al Nasr against Al Shabab with odds of 1.42 at BC Game.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Al Nasr vs Al Shabab is 15.49% with odds of 5.5 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 11.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Al Shabab vs Al Nasr with odds of 8.25 at LSbet.
Al Nasr - Al Shabab Prediction and Best Odds:
| Al Nasr Al Shabab Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Al Nasr wins | 72.87% | 1.42 at BC Game |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.5% | |
| Both Team To Score | 57.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Al Nasr/Al Nasr | 46.24% | 2 at Bet365 |
Al Nasr vs Al Shabab Form
Al Nasr and Al Shabab's standings in the Saudi Pro League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
86 | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | +63 |
|
13
|
35 | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -13 |
Al Nasr and Al Shabab Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
8 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
2 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
30 Dec 2025 - Saudi Pro League
27 Dec 2025 - Saudi Pro League
24 Dec 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
27 Dec 2025 - Saudi Pro League
24 Dec 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A
23 Nov 2025 - Saudi Pro League
5 Nov 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A
1 Nov 2025 - Saudi Pro League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
2 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
30 Dec 2025 - Saudi Pro League
10 Dec 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Nov 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A
8 Nov 2025 - Saudi Pro League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
9 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
3 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
31 Dec 2025 - Saudi Pro League
27 Dec 2025 - Saudi Pro League
29 Nov 2025 - Kings Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
31 Dec 2025 - Saudi Pro League
8 Nov 2025 - Saudi Pro League
28 Oct 2025 - Kings Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Saudi Pro League
25 Sept 2025 - Saudi Pro League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
3 Jan 2026 - Saudi Pro League
27 Dec 2025 - Saudi Pro League
29 Nov 2025 - Kings Cup
23 Nov 2025 - Saudi Pro League
31 Oct 2025 - Saudi Pro League
Al Nasr vs Al Shabab Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
40 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Mar 2025 - Saudi Pro League
18 Oct 2024 - Saudi Pro League
25 Feb 2024 - Saudi Pro League
29 Aug 2023 - Saudi Pro League
14 Jan 2023 - Saudi Pro League
Al Nasr against Al Shabab Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
N. Al-Sharari
S. Alnajdi
M. Al Buainain
MidfielderS. Al Nasser
A. Al-Hassan
A. Yahya
M. Marran
A. Ghareeb
H. Camara
A. Rahma
Defender-. Sultan
H. Al-Sibyani
A. Makki
M. Al Shwirekh
F. Al-Sibyani
N. Al-Sadi
M. Abdullah
A. Al-Othman
Most goals and assists
Al Nasr
Al Shabab
Cristiano Ronaldo
(28 Goals)
Y. Carrasco
(18 Goals)
J. Felix
(13 Assists)
Y. Carrasco
(7 Assists)
Al Nasr - Al Shabab Key Points
- Both teams scored in each of Al-Nassr's last four league games.
- Al-Shabab have scored in four of their last six away matches against Al-Nassr.
- Al Nassr have kept two clean sheets in their last seven home league games.
- Al-Nassr and Al-Shabab have seen both teams score in each of their last four meetings.
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Our Al Nasr vs Al Shabab Prediction
Al-Nassr can't afford to drop points if they are to catch up with league leaders Al-Hilal in the standings. This might be their opportunity to slash the seven-point gap to four, but it's also an opportunity for them to record their first win of 2026.
Al-Shabab have struggled both in the league and in this fixture. They are winless in nine games, suffering six losses. However, there's reason to believe they can get on the scoreboard here, having done so in six of those outings. Our Al-Nassr vs Al-Shabab prediction: BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Al Nasr Al Shabab
| Al Nasr vs Al Shabab | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Nasr wins | 1.25 | 1.42 | +13.6% |
| Draw | 6.8 | 5.5 | -19.1% |
| Al Shabab wins | 8.2 | 8.25 | +0.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Al Nasr is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 70.4% (-9.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
