Ajax vs Willem II Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Eredivisie Predictions
Willem are still searching for their first win of the 2026-27 Eredivisie competition, but that’s unlikely to change when they face Ajax in this rescheduled matchday three fixture. This match on Tuesday at the Johan Cruijff Arena in Amsterdam between the fifth-placed ‘Lancers’ and the 17th-placed ‘Super Pitchers’ is likely to be an entertaining affair with over 3.5 goals, our match prediction.
After Saturday’s matches, Ajax’s ten points (W3, D1, L1) put them three points behind third. Willem’s two points (D2, L3) see them start this round in the relegation zone.
Ajax thrashed Sittard 5-1 away from home last weekend, making it a fourth win in their last five competitive games (L1). The lone defeat came in the league, though, beaten 3-1 by PSV in the previous round. That result came at home, but otherwise, Ajax have enjoyed playing here, winning three of their last four competitive matches in Amsterdam (D1).
Willem’s return to the league continues to be rocky, although they held AZ to a 1-1 away draw last Friday. They are still winless in the league, though, being one of the only three teams yet to win before Sunday’s matches (D2, L3). One of those defeats came on the road for the ‘Super Pitchers’, who scored exactly once in their last two away league games (D1, L1).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Ajax v Willem II Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.16 | 7.8 | 11 |
|
|
1.16 | 8.7 | 15.5 |
|
|
1.14 | 8.6 | 15 |
|
|
1.15 | 8.5 | 14.5 |
|
|
1.15 | 8.6 | 14.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and Willem II?
Our prediction for the Ajax vs Willem II match is: over 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/09/2026 between Ajax and Willem II in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.92% for a win of Ajax against Willem II with odds of 1.2 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs Willem II is 15.96% with odds of 8.7 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Willem II vs Ajax with odds of 16.5 at Betsson.
Ajax vs Willem II Form
Ajax and Willem II's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +8 |
|
17
|
2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -9 |
Ajax and Willem II Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
27 Aug 2026 - Conference League
20 Aug 2026 - Conference League
16 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
27 Aug 2026 - Conference League
16 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
6 Aug 2026 - Conference League
30 Jul 2026 - Conference League
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
20 Aug 2026 - Conference League
13 Aug 2026 - Conference League
9 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 May 2026 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
23 May 2026 - Eredivisie
13 May 2026 - Eredivisie
5 May 2026 - Eredivisie
24 Apr 2026 - Eerste Divisie
Ajax vs Willem II Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
27 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
19 Feb 2022 - Eredivisie
2 Dec 2021 - Eredivisie
23 Dec 2020 - Eredivisie
6 Dec 2019 - Eredivisie
Ajax vs Willem II last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Paes
J. Heerkens
DefenderO. Wijndal
L. Rosa
D. Janse
J. Torrents
MidfielderA. Ouazane
D. Klaassen
O. Gloukh
ForwardV. Tsygankov
K. Dolberg
M. Leonardo
K. De Leeuw
W. Van der Steen
DefenderJ. Mathijsen
A. Ciranni
A. Et-Taibi
M. Lemmens
MidfielderE. Gurbuz
K. Boogaard
ForwardC. Obi-Martin
T. Verheydt
Missing players
D. Blind
A. Bouwman
MidfielderR. Bounida
ForwardS. Adingra
T. Didillon
DefenderJ. Hoogma
A. Lachkar
MidfielderJ. Schuurman
V. Van Crooij
T. Muller
A. Zarrouk
ForwardA. Culum
Most goals and assists
Ajax
Willem II
J. Brandt
(2 Goals)
, 
D. Klaassen
(2 Goals)
, 
T. Arokodare
(2 Goals)
D. Haen
(3 Goals)
S. Berghuis
(2 Assists)
, 
O. Gloukh
(2 Assists)
N. Tjoe-a-On
(2 Assists)
Ajax and Willem II Stats in Eredivisie
Ajax - Willem II Key Points
- Ajax’s last seven matches have produced over 3.5 goals.
- At home, Ajax’s last five games have seen at least four goals scored.
- Three of Willem’s last five league games have seen four or more goals scored.
- Ajax have scored at least four goals in four of their last five matches.
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Our Ajax vs Willem II Prediction
It hasn’t been a joyful return to the Eredivisie for Willem, who find themselves just above the basement after five rounds. They started Sunday as one of the three teams yet to win a game this league campaign, and that’s unlikely to change here against Ajax. The hosts are keeping pace with the top four and could move up the table with three points.
Ajax are hot favourites to make it a sixth consecutive win over Willem, but value is in the goals market. Our Ajax vs Willem II prediction is over 3.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
