AEK Larnaca vs Legia Warsaw Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Europa League Predictions
AEK Larnaca have a tough test to their undefeated run ahead, as they host Legia Warsaw in the third qualifying round of the Europa League. The Cypriots won a friendly match pitting the two back in 2016, but here they’ll have it different. We have a prediction for the match below.
In shaky form, Larnaca have managed to negotiate their way past the last two rounds. They eliminated Partizan and Celje. Now they have a big one coming, and they’ll expect to conjure up another win across two legs.
In their latest match, the Cypriots claimed a 2-1 win over Celje, completing a 3-2 aggregate win.
Legia Warsaw, like their hosts, will also carry into this game a strong run, though their latest match didn’t reflect their recent realities. The Polish giants are coming off a 0-0 draw with Arka Gdynia.
That marked the first time this season that Legia failed to score, and it was only their second draw. Legia are unbeaten and will want to keep that going in this game.
While they have a good return in attack, things haven't been really great for them defensively. In the last round of this competition, they overcame the Czech side Banik Ostrava, 4-3 on aggregate.
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AEK Larnaca v Legia Warsaw Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.34 | 3.25 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.82 | 3.34 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.34 | 2.71 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.36 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between AEK Larnaca and Legia Warsaw?
Our prediction for the AEK Larnaca vs Legia Warsaw match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/08/2025 between AEK Larnaca and Legia Warsaw in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.04% for a win of AEK Larnaca against Legia Warsaw with odds of 2.82 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AEK Larnaca vs Legia Warsaw is 34.15% with odds of 3.36 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Legia Warsaw vs AEK Larnaca with odds of 2.93 at 888Starz.
AEK Larnaca - Legia Warsaw Prediction and Best Odds:
| AEK Larnaca Legia Warsaw Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca wins | 36.04% | 2.82 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.92% | 2.14 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 59.52% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AEK Larnaca | 17.56% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
AEK Larnaca vs Legia Warsaw Form
AEK Larnaca and Legia Warsaw Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
17 Jul 2025 - Europa League
10 Jul 2025 - Europa League
2 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
10 Jul 2025 - Europa League
28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - Cyprus Cup
12 May 2025 - Cypriot First Division
7 May 2025 - Cyprus Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
17 Jul 2025 - Europa League
2 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Cypriot First Division
30 Apr 2025 - Cyprus Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
27 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
17 Jul 2025 - Europa League
13 Jul 2025 - Super Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
10 Jul 2025 - Europa League
30 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - Ekstraklasa
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
17 Jul 2025 - Europa League
13 Jul 2025 - Super Cup
25 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Ekstraklasa
Players list
A. Paraskevas
DefenderE. Godswill
H. Milicevic
P. Ioannou
V. Roger Roberge
MidfielderC. Kyriakou
J. Miramon
A. Cardero
G. Naoum
ForwardR. Bajic
M. Gonzalez Rivas
O. Hindrich
DefenderK. Piatkowski
J. Leszczynski
R. Vinagre
MidfielderR. Augustyniak
K. Chodyna
B. Kapustka
J. Elitim
J. Zewlakow
ForwardJ. Nsame
R. Adamski
Substitutes
Z. Alomerovic
K. Komar
DefenderK. Stroutho
E. Saborit
A. Garcia Cabezali
MidfielderP. Pons
G. Ledes
C. Thoma
D. Gerasimou
C. Loukaidis
Jimmy
K. Tobiasz
DefenderR. Pankov
A. Jedrzejczyk
MidfielderD. Szymanski
K. Urbanski
H. Arreiol
W. Urbanski
ForwardS. Kovacik
A. Colak
M. Rajovic
E. Krasniqi
AEK Larnaca - Legia Warsaw Key Points
- Both teams scored in Larnaca’s last three matches.
- Legia scored in all their last four away matches.
- In five of Larnaca’s last 10 home matches, both teams scored.
- In three of Legia’s last six matches, both teams scored.
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Our AEK Larnaca vs Legia Warsaw Prediction
Two sides in really good shape face off here, and we expect a closely fought battle. AEK Larnaca have an additional edge in their home advantage, but Legia Warsaw are known to disrespect such bounds.
With the two sides showing good returns in attack, both sides will feel capable of claiming the spoils. These two have also shown signs of struggling a bit defensively. It is for this reason that our prediction for AEK Larnaca v Legia Warsaw is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AEK Larnaca Legia Warsaw
| AEK Larnaca vs Legia Warsaw | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca wins | 1.66 | 2.82 | +69.9% |
| Draw | 4.12 | 3.36 | -18.4% |
| Legia Warsaw wins | 5.12 | 2.93 | -42.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AEK Larnaca is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 69.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.2% and is now 35.5% (-24.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
