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by Daniel Ngulu | in Bundesliga Predictions
Mainz have failed to win the opening three Bundesliga games in the last two seasons. They hope to stop that from happening a third straight season when they host Leipzig on Saturday. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Mainz headed into the international break off the back of a 1-1 draw at Wolfsburg. Rising star Nadiem Amiri scored right on 90 minutes to level the scores.
That marked a positive end to the month of August, in which they also confirmed their place in the Conference League main draw. Now Mainz will look to address a poor run that has left them with one win in 11 league games.
Leipzig had a win in the league before heading into the international break, beating Heidenheim 2-0. One ingredient that has lacked in their 2025 is consecutive wins.
Should they get three points here, it will be only the second time they record back-to-back wins in 2025. The only other time this happened was in April, when they beat Hoffenheim and Wolfsburg.
It wasn’t a great start to the Bundesliga season for Leipzig, as they were hammered 6-0 by Bayern Munich. Coming back from the international break, new manager Ole Werner will hope to guide his team to a second victory in 12 away league games.
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The Best Betting Odds for 1 Fsv Mainz 05 v Leipzig Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 3.8 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.6 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.5 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.6 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.37 | 3.6 | 2.75 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Leipzig?
Our prediction for the 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Leipzig match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/09/2025 between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Leipzig in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.18% for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Leipzig with odds of 2.37 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Leipzig is 24.02% with odds of 3.8 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.8% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 2.9 at Bet365.
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Leipzig Prediction and Best Odds:
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Leipzig Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 42.18% | 2.37 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.04% | 1.59 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 46.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: 1 Fsv Mainz 05 | 19.09% | 6.1 at Unibet |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Leipzig Form
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Leipzig's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
19 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
|
16
|
4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Leipzig Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
18 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
18 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
3 May 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Leipzig Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
4 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga
1 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
8 Oct 2022 - Bundesliga
Players list
R. Zentner
DefenderD. da Costa
A. Hanche-Olsen
S. Widmer
N. Veratschnig
MidfielderD. Kohr
K. Sano
N. Amiri
A. Sieb
ForwardS. Kawasaki
N. Weiper
P. Gulacsi
DefenderW. Orban
C. Lukeba
D. Raum
MidfielderR. Baku
N. Seiwald
K. Kampl
E. Banzuzi
ForwardC. Harder
Romulo
Y. Diomande
Substitutes
L. Riess
DefenderM. Leitsch
A. Hanche-Olsen
S. Widmer
N. Veratschnig
L. Maloney
S. Kawasaki
B. Bobzien
A. Sieb
M. Vandevoordt
DefenderE. Bitshiabu
M. Finkgrafe
K. Nedeljkovic
MidfielderK. Kampl
E. Banzuzi
A. Ouedraogo
ForwardC. Harder
Y. Diomande
Missing players
M. Dal
MidfielderP. Nebel
L. Jae-sung
ForwardB. Hollerbach
B. Henrichs
Most goals and assists
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Leipzig
N. Amiri
(5 Goals)
C. Baumgartner
(7 Goals)
N. Amiri
(1 Assists)
, 
K. Sano
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Hanche-Olsen
(1 Assists)
D. Raum
(3 Assists)
, 
Romulo
(3 Assists)
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Leipzig Key Points
- Leipzig’s had just two wins in their last 14 away games.
- Mainz posted three draws in their last five league matches.
- In their last 11 Bundesliga games, Mainz won just once.
- Three of Leipzig’s last seven league matches ended in draws.
- Leipzig drew five of the last nine away league outings.
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Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Leipzig Prediction
Each of these teams won once in their last three meetings, breaking Mainz’s recent dominance in this fixture. In their recent league games, both sides haven't had great runs, with a good number of them ending in draws.
Mainz posted one win in their last 11 Bundesliga games, while Leipzig recorded five draws in their last nine league matches on the road. There are all the indications these teams might share spoils. Our prediction for Mainz v Leipzig is for the match to end in a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Leipzig
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Leipzig | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 2.4 | 2.25 | -6.3% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.8 | +5.6% |
| Leipzig wins | 2.7 | 2.9 | +7.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.7% and is now 44.4% (2.8%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs. Leipzig game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Leipzig when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Bundesliga!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
