Zebre vs Ospreys Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup

Europe - Challenge Cup

Zebre
11/01/2026 08:00
Ospreys

Prediction :

 

Ospreys -2.5 handicap

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Challenge Cup Predictions

Ospreys will travel to face United Rugby Championship (URC) rivals Zebre in this 2025–26 Challenge Cup Group 1 round three fixture on Sunday. They are joint-group leaders with the maximum 10 points, while Zebre are fourth with five points. Check out our prediction for the match below. 

Ospreys produced one of the biggest comebacks in the 2025–26 Challenge Cup round one by overturning a 16-point halftime deficit to defeat Connacht Rugby 24–21. Mark Jones’ charges outscored the URC rivals with 19 unanswered points in the second half to seal the victory.

They defeated French side Montauban 33–22 in their second fixture to cap a stellar start to their campaign. The Swansea-based outfit have won four of their last five matches across all competitions, including a 33–22 URC win over Cardiff Rugby the last time out.

Zebre got off to a promising start in their Challenge Cup opener, defeating Montauban by 24 points, but fell 31–7 to Montpellier HR in their second match. Their most recent outing ended in a heavy 47–10 URC defeat to Glasgow Warriors, extending their losing streak to four matches across all competitions. They have suffered defeat in five of their last six encounters against Ospreys. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Zebre v Ospreys Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.63 21 1.53
Unibet
2.9 25 1.41
Betway
2.9 23 1.45
Ladbrokes
2.87 21 1.44
NetBet
2.7 21 1.39
Check all Zebre vs Ospreys odds

Zebre vs Ospreys Form

Zebre and Ospreys Last Matches

Zebre
Zebre Last matches
L W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

3 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Glasgow Warriors
47 :  10
Zebre

27 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Zebre
23 :  37
Benetton Treviso

20 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Benetton Treviso
21 :  15
Zebre

12 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
31 :  7
Zebre

6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Zebre
41 :  17
US Montalbanaise

29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Zebre
14 :  29
Cardiff Rugby
W W L L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

27 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Zebre
23 :  37
Benetton Treviso

6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Zebre
41 :  17
US Montalbanaise

29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Zebre
14 :  29
Cardiff Rugby

18 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Zebre
13 :  31
Stormers

5 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Zebre
22 :  20
Lions

27 Sept 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Zebre
31 :  28
Edinburgh Rugby
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

3 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Glasgow Warriors
47 :  10
Zebre

20 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Benetton Treviso
21 :  15
Zebre

12 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
31 :  7
Zebre

25 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Leinster
50 :  26
Zebre

11 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
24 :  0
Zebre

10 May 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Leinster
76 :  5
Zebre
Ospreys
Ospreys Last matches
L W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

1 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
33 :  22
Cardiff Rugby

26 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
19 :  26
Ospreys

20 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
10 :  26
Munster

13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

US Montalbanaise
22 :  33
Ospreys

7 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
24 :  21
Connacht Rugby

29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Edinburgh Rugby
19 :  17
Ospreys
W W L W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

1 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
33 :  22
Cardiff Rugby

20 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
10 :  26
Munster

7 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
24 :  21
Connacht Rugby

18 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
17 :  42
Glasgow Warriors

11 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
24 :  0
Zebre

26 Apr 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
57 :  24
Dragons
L L D L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

26 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
19 :  26
Ospreys

13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

US Montalbanaise
22 :  33
Ospreys

29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Edinburgh Rugby
19 :  17
Ospreys

25 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Dragons
19 :  19
Ospreys

3 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Stormers
26 :  10
Ospreys

27 Sept 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Bulls
53 :  40
Ospreys

Zebre vs Ospreys Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

11 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
24 :  0
Zebre

Zebre - Ospreys Key Points

  1. Ospreys have won their opening two Challenge Cup matches.
  2. Ospreys have won four of their last five matches.
  3. Zebre have lost their last four matches across all competitions.
  4. Zebre have lost five of their last six matches against Ospreys.
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Our Zebre vs Ospreys Prediction

Ospreys have racked up maximum points in their opening two Challenge Cup matches and will look to maintain their perfect start to the campaign. They also head into this match in fine form, having won four of their last five fixtures. 

In contrast, Zebre enter Sunday's clash on the back of a four-match losing streak and have struggled for results in their last six encounters with Ospreys, losing five. Hence, we tip Ospreys to win by at least three points. Our Zebre vs Ospreys prediction is Ospreys -2.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Ospreys -2.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Zebre vs Ospreys Prediction