Zebre vs Ospreys Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup
Europe - Challenge Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Challenge Cup Predictions
Ospreys will travel to face United Rugby Championship (URC) rivals Zebre in this 2025–26 Challenge Cup Group 1 round three fixture on Sunday. They are joint-group leaders with the maximum 10 points, while Zebre are fourth with five points. Check out our prediction for the match below.
Ospreys produced one of the biggest comebacks in the 2025–26 Challenge Cup round one by overturning a 16-point halftime deficit to defeat Connacht Rugby 24–21. Mark Jones’ charges outscored the URC rivals with 19 unanswered points in the second half to seal the victory.
They defeated French side Montauban 33–22 in their second fixture to cap a stellar start to their campaign. The Swansea-based outfit have won four of their last five matches across all competitions, including a 33–22 URC win over Cardiff Rugby the last time out.
Zebre got off to a promising start in their Challenge Cup opener, defeating Montauban by 24 points, but fell 31–7 to Montpellier HR in their second match. Their most recent outing ended in a heavy 47–10 URC defeat to Glasgow Warriors, extending their losing streak to four matches across all competitions. They have suffered defeat in five of their last six encounters against Ospreys.
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The Best Betting Odds for Zebre v Ospreys Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.63 | 21 | 1.53 |
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2.9 | 25 | 1.41 |
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2.9 | 23 | 1.45 |
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2.87 | 21 | 1.44 |
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2.7 | 21 | 1.39 |
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Zebre vs Ospreys Form
Zebre and Ospreys Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
3 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
27 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
20 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
12 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
27 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
18 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
5 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
27 Sept 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
3 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
20 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
12 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
25 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
11 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
10 May 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
26 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
20 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
7 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
20 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
7 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
18 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
11 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
26 Apr 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
26 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
25 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
3 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
27 Sept 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
Zebre vs Ospreys Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
11 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
Zebre - Ospreys Key Points
- Ospreys have won their opening two Challenge Cup matches.
- Ospreys have won four of their last five matches.
- Zebre have lost their last four matches across all competitions.
- Zebre have lost five of their last six matches against Ospreys.
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Our Zebre vs Ospreys Prediction
Ospreys have racked up maximum points in their opening two Challenge Cup matches and will look to maintain their perfect start to the campaign. They also head into this match in fine form, having won four of their last five fixtures.
In contrast, Zebre enter Sunday's clash on the back of a four-match losing streak and have struggled for results in their last six encounters with Ospreys, losing five. Hence, we tip Ospreys to win by at least three points. Our Zebre vs Ospreys prediction is Ospreys -2.5 handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.