Wolves vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Wolves
03/03/2026 15:15
Liverpool

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions

The final curtain on a stacked Tuesday night in the Premier League will drop at the Molineux Stadium, where Wolverhampton Wanderers will host Liverpool on Matchday 29. Wolves are rooted to the bottom of the table, while the Reds are in fifth place after 28 games. Check out our match prediction below!

Wolves pulled off arguably the biggest upset of the weekend here in Black Country, but it still feels like it’s too late for the Old Gold to survive the drop. Rob Edwards’ side have nine games left to play and need five wins to have any chance of survival, but even that would require Forest - the first side above the dotted line - to lose every match from now until the end of the season. 

Arne Slot’s team enter this match following a seven-goal spectacle at home this past weekend, a result that saw them leapfrog Chelsea into fifth. The Merseysiders are now three points behind third and fourth place and could break into the Champions League qualification zone with a victory this week. Let’s get into the key stats!

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Wolves v Liverpool Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
6.4 4.8 1.48
Melbet
7.1 4.88 1.41
Betwinner
6.75 4.92 1.43
Bet365
6.5 4.75 1.42
Roobet
6.6 4.6 1.43
Check all Wolves vs Liverpool odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Wolves and Liverpool?

Our prediction for the Wolves vs Liverpool match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/03/2026 between Wolves and Liverpool in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 21.1% for a win of Wolves against Liverpool with odds of 7.1 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wolves vs Liverpool is 25.51% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 53.39% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Wolves with odds of 1.5 at LSbet.

Wolves - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:

Wolves Liverpool Prediction Probability Odds
Liverpool wins 53.39% 1.5 at LSbet
Over 2.5 goals 54.9% 1.62 at Melbet
Both Team To Score: No 54.58%
Half-time / Full-time: Liverpool/Liverpool 21.83% 2.15 at LSbet

Wolves vs Liverpool Form

Wolves and Liverpool's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Liverpool
60 38 17 9 12 +10
20 Wolves
20 38 3 11 24 -41

Wolves and Liverpool Last Matches

Wolves
Wolves Last matches
L D W D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

27 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  0
Aston Villa

22 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  0
Wolves

18 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  2
Arsenal

15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Grimsby Town
0 :  1
Wolves

11 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Wolves

7 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Chelsea
W D L L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  0
Aston Villa

18 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  2
Arsenal

7 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Chelsea

31 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  2
Bournemouth

18 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  0
Newcastle

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Wolves
6 :  1
Shrewsbury Town
D D L D W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  0
Wolves

15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Grimsby Town
0 :  1
Wolves

11 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Wolves

24 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Wolves

7 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Wolves

30 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Wolves
Liverpool
Liverpool Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
5 :  2
West Ham

22 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  1
Liverpool

14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Liverpool
3 :  0
Brighton

11 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  1
Liverpool

8 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Manchester City

31 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  1
Newcastle
D W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
5 :  2
West Ham

14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Liverpool
3 :  0
Brighton

8 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Manchester City

31 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  1
Newcastle

28 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
6 :  0
Qarabag FK

17 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Burnley
D D W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  1
Liverpool

11 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  1
Liverpool

24 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
3 :  2
Liverpool

21 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  3
Liverpool

8 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Liverpool

4 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  2
Liverpool

Wolves vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Wolves

0 %

Draw

0 %

Liverpool

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
2.17
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

27 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Wolves

16 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Wolves

28 Sept 2024 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  2
Liverpool

19 May 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Wolves

16 Sept 2023 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Liverpool

1 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Wolves

Wolves - Liverpool: Form Analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers picked up only their second Premier League win of the season on Friday night when they stunned Aston Villa 2-0, marking just their third clean sheet of the campaign. 

The Old Gold have now earned five points from their last four league games (W1 D2) and scored four goals in their last three matches, which accounts for 20% of their goal tally this season. 

Both of Wolves' wins this season have come at Molineux, but they have still only earned nine points from 15 home games this term (W2 D3 L10), which is the worst return of any team in the division. 

Wolves have lost each of their last six EPL games against this opponent!

Meanwhile, Liverpool featured in a goal-fest at Anfield over the weekend and came out as 5-2 winners over a plucky West Ham United, marking their fourth straight victory across all competitions. 

During this period, the Reds also defeated Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0 in the fourth round of the FA Cup, and they will face their upcoming opponents in round five, less than three days after this fixture. 

The visitors have won their last two EPL away games ahead of this one and have kept clean sheets in four of their last five on the road across all competitions. Their away league record for the season reads as W6 D3 L5. 

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Wolves against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11

Wolves

Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1

1
J. Sa
2
M. Doherty
4
S. Bueno
37
L. Krejci
38
J. Tchatchoua
36
M. Mane
7
Andre
8
J. Gomes
6
D. Wolfe
47
A. Gomes
9
A. Armstrong
22
H. Ekitike
18
C. Gakpo
8
D. Szoboszlai
11
M. Salah
10
A. Mac Allister
38
R. Gravenberch
6
M. Kerkez
4
V. Van Dijk
5
I. Konate
30
J. Frimpong
1
Alisson

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Liverpool

Substitutes

Wolves
Wolves
Goalkeeper

S. Johnstone

Defender

T. Gomes

Y. Mosquera

M. Doherty 59'

H. Bueno

D. Wolfe 79'

P. Lima

Midfielder

J. Bellegarde

A. Gomes 60'

H. Hee-chan

Forward

T. Arokodare

A. Armstrong 60'

R. Gomes

M. Mane 70'

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

G. Mamardashvili

Defender

C. Ramsay

J. Gomez

J. Frimpong 72'

A. Robertson

M. Kerkez 65'

Midfielder

C. Jones

R. Gravenberch 46'

K. Morrison

T. Nyoni

F. Chiesa

I. Konate 79'

Forward

R. Ngumoha

C. Gakpo 65'

Missing players

Wolves
Wolves
Forward

E. Gonzalez

Liverpool
Liverpool
Defender

C. Bradley

S. Bajcetic

G. Leoni

Midfielder

W. Endo

Wolves & Liverpool Squad Analysis

Given Wolves' current league situation, many expect Rob Edwards to prioritise the FA Cup match on Friday, especially when considering that Liverpool may look to rotate their squad for that fixture. 

Thus, the Wolves boss may opt to make a few changes here, which could open the door for Tolu Arokodare to make the starting lineup, potentially in place of Adam Armstrong or Jean-Ricner Bellegarde. 

Brazilian midfielder Andre picked up a knock on Friday night and could be replaced by Angel Gomes in the engine room. Hee-chan Hwang is ruled out, while Ladislav Krejci is now back from suspension. 

“The game tomorrow will probably come too soon, and maybe the game at the weekend as well!”

Those were the words of Arne Slot regarding the fitness of German international Florian Wirtz, who pulled out of the Reds squad after sustaining an injury to his back ahead of their match against Forest last week. 

As a result, Dominik Szoboszlai will likely continue in the number 10 role. The Hungarian has 18 goal contributions across all competitions this season, including four in his last five EPL matches. 

Jeremie Frimpong returned from injury in the last match, a massive boost for the Reds. However, Wataru Endo, Alexander Isak, Conor Bradley and young Giovanni Leoni are still sidelined. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Wolves
CD Huachipato Liverpool
Top Goalscorer
Portugal R. Gomes (3 Goals)
Uruguay S. Bueno (3 Goals)
Nigeria T. Arokodare (3 Goals)
England M. Mane (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France H. Ekitike (11 Goals)
Best assists
Norway D. Wolfe (2 Assists)
South Korea H. Hee-chan (2 Assists)
Spain H. Bueno (2 Assists)
England A. Armstrong (2 Assists)
Best assists
Egypt M. Salah (7 Assists)
Hungary D. Szoboszlai (7 Assists)

Wolves - Liverpool Key Points

  1. Wolves have scored in each of their last three home games.
  2. Wolves are averaging 1.49 xGA per 90 this season.
  3. Liverpool have only failed to score in one of their last 10 away games.
  4. Liverpool have scored two or more goals in six of their last nine matches.
  5. Three or more goals have been scored in four of the last five matches between these sides.
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Our Wolves vs Liverpool Prediction

While Wolves are extremely unlikely to survive the drop this season, they have been performing much better in recent weeks, having taken four points off two of the top four teams in the league in the last three gameweeks. 

However, there is a strong likelihood that this week’s hosts will look to prioritise the FA Cup clash on Friday, while Liverpool are expected to be at full strength as they look to pressure the teams above them. Thus, it would not be a surprise if we saw another high-scoring encounter in this match. Our Wolves vs Liverpool prediction is more than 2.5 goals. 

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Wolves vs Liverpool Alternative Predictions

BTTS

Odds 1.75

Wolves have scored in each of their last three home games, while Liverpool have only failed to score in one of their last 10 away matches. Additionally, both teams scored in four of the last five matches between these sides.

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Liverpool wins

Odds 1.4

Wolves have still only won two league games this season, while Liverpool are on a four-match win streak across all competitions and have won six in a row against this opponent. 

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Wolves Liverpool

Wolves vs Liverpool Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Wolves wins 5.55 7.1 +27.9%
Draw 4.26 5.2 +22.1%
Liverpool wins 1.56 1.5 -3.8%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Liverpool is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 64.1% and is now 66.7% (2.6%)

Wolves vs Liverpool - FAQs

The Premier League match between Wolves and Liverpool will take place on March 3 at 20:15 GMT. 

The Premier League match between Wolves and Liverpool will be played at Molineux Stadium in Wolverhampton.

The Premier League match between Wolves and Liverpool will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK. 

Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Wolves vs Liverpool Prediction