Wolves vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
It's only a matter of time before Wolves are relegated from the Premier League. They are rock bottom of the table and on Saturday are home to third-placed Aston Villa. Can the Villans get a vital away win? Read our match prediction below.
Wolves are 17 points from safety but it's virtually 18 because of their appalling -33 goal difference. They have struggled all season and are already preparing themselves for next season and a bid to win promotion back to the EPL. With just one league win this season, it's been a miserable campaign.
Aston Villa were in the relegation zone with Wolves at the start of the season. Unlike their local rivals, they didn't panic and sack their coach. It's paid dividends and a return to the Champions League is looking very likely. Recent results haven't been great but the Lions will see this match against Wolves at Molineux as a good opportunity to earn three more valuable points.
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Wolves v Aston Villa Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.4 | 3.75 | 1.79 |
|
|
4.48 | 3.76 | 1.77 |
|
|
4.48 | 3.82 | 1.76 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.75 | 1.8 |
|
|
4.3 | 3.65 | 1.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Wolves and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Wolves vs Aston Villa match is: Aston Villa wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/02/2026 between Wolves and Aston Villa in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.76% for a win of Wolves against Aston Villa with odds of 4.7 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wolves vs Aston Villa is 30.43% with odds of 3.97 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Wolves with odds of 1.82 at 888Starz.
Wolves - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Wolves Aston Villa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 44.81% | 1.82 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 56.16% | 2.09 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 53.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Aston Villa/Aston Villa | 20.8% | 2.88 at Bet365 |
Wolves vs Aston Villa Form
Wolves and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
65 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 |
|
20
|
20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -41 |
Wolves and Aston Villa Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
18 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
Wolves vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
21 Sept 2024 - Premier League
30 Mar 2024 - Premier League
8 Oct 2023 - Premier League
6 May 2023 - Premier League
Wolves - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Just one league win has been achieved by Wolves this season. That was a 3-0 home victory over West Ham on January 3. Although they are still in the FA Cup, Wolves have failed to build on that sole league victory. Only three points have been earned from their last seven EPL fixtures.
Relegation is just around the corner for The Old Gold. 51 league goals have already been conceded this season with only 18 scored themselves. Their most recent league fixture saw them lose 1-0 at struggling Crystal Palace.
Improvement but still no more wins.
Home form has produced just six points with ten defeats. Only two points have been earned from the four games at Molineux since that win over West Ham. There's been some improvement but the wins still elude them.
Aston Villa drew 1-1 at home with Leeds United last weekend. They are third in the table and only five points behind the top two. Only one of their last four league and cup games has been won so getting back into winning ways is really important for them.
Their last two away league fixtures have produced four points. Over the last ten EPL away games, Villa have earned 20 points, the best record in the division. They won the reverse fixture against Wolves 1-0.
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Wolves against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
S. Johnstone
DefenderS. Olagunju
D. Wolfe
P. Lima
M. Doherty
MidfielderA. Gomes
T. Edozie
ForwardT. Arokodare
R. Gomes
M. Bizot
DefenderI. Maatsen
T. Mings
V. Lindelof
MidfielderL. Bogarde
R. Barkley
Alysson
L. Bailey
T. Abraham
Missing players
J. McGinn
Y. Tielemans
B. Kamara
Wolves & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
Wolves have been struggling to score goals all season and they will be without Hwang Hee-chan for the visit of Aston Villa. They will also be missing Ladislav Krejci after he was sent off in last weekend's defeat at Crystal Palace.
It all adds to the woes that the Premier League's basement club have at present. Angel Gomes may well be included up front for this fixture with Mateus Mane (unlikely to be at the club next season) also in the starting line-up.
Aston Villa have a few injury problems ahead of this trip to Molineux. John McGinn has been an important player for them this term but he won't be playing on Friday. Boubacar Kamara and Harvey Elliott are also going to be absent.
Abraham has been a great signing.
The signing of Tammy Abraham has given Villa a boost. He's been on the scoresheet in both of their last two games and rescued a point against Leeds last weekend. He may be on the bench at the start of the game with Ollie Watkins starting.
Villa have a strong bench with Barkley and Sancho also coming on against Leeds last weekend. If Villa do have problems in this game then they will have a lot more options to improve their side than the home team.
Most goals and assists
Wolves
Aston Villa
R. Gomes
(3 Goals)
, 
S. Bueno
(3 Goals)
, 
T. Arokodare
(3 Goals)
, 
M. Mane
(3 Goals)
O. Watkins
(16 Goals)
D. Wolfe
(2 Assists)
, 
H. Hee-chan
(2 Assists)
, 
H. Bueno
(2 Assists)
,
A. Armstrong
(2 Assists)
L. Digne
(6 Assists)
,
M. Rogers
(6 Assists)
Wolves - Aston Villa Key Points
- Wolves have only won one league game this season.
- Aston Villa have won three of their last four games against Wolves.
- Wolves are 41 points behind their opponents.
- Over the last ten away league games, Villa have the best record with six victories.
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Our Wolves vs Aston Villa Prediction
Wolves have had some good home results against their local rivals in recent seasons. However, this is no normal season for the Black Country side as they count down the days until their relegation is confirmed.
There's been some improvement but it'd have been harder for them to get any worse. Aston Villa won the reverse fixture and have won six of their last ten away league games and will be confident of a victory on Friday. Our main Wolves v Aston Villa prediction is Aston Villa wins.
Wolves vs Aston Villa Alternative Predictions
Tammy Abraham to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Wolves Aston Villa
| Wolves vs Aston Villa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves wins | 4.5 | 4.7 | +4.4% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.97 | +10.3% |
| Aston Villa wins | 1.75 | 1.82 | +4.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 54.9% (-2.2%)
Wolves vs Aston Villa - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
