Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Eredivisie Predictions
NEC Nijmegen will look to carry their European form to the Eredivisie when they travel to the newly-promoted Willem II on matchday two of the 2026-27 campaign. This match on Saturday at Koning Willem II Stadion between the 17th-placed 'Super Pitchers' and the 11th-placed 'NEC' could live up to history, so our prediction is less than 3.5 goals.
After a 4-1 away defeat at Go Ahead Eagles on matchday one, Willem are second from bottom in the points tally, on goal difference. NEC also lost their opening game but are marginally better than their hosts, as they lost 2-1.
The 4-1 loss on matchday one was a sharp reminder of the challenge that lies ahead for the newly promoted side. Their run of three wins out of five friends (D1, L1) now looks far off.
The challenge for the hosts is to replicate their home form in the second division, when they finished with four victories from their last six home league games (D1, L1).
NEC won 2-1 away at Olympiacos in extra time on Tuesday to progress to the playoffs of the UEFA Champions League (UCL). That helped them bounce back from the 2-1 home loss to Telstar on matchday one, but they are still winless in their last five games within 90 minutes (D2, L3).
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Willem II v NEC Nijmegen Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.70 | 4.40 | 1.56 |
|
|
3.16 | 3.53 | 2.03 |
|
|
4.68 | 4.68 | 1.60 |
|
|
4.96 | 4.72 | 1.56 |
|
|
3.16 | 3.53 | 2.03 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Willem II and NEC Nijmegen?
Our prediction for the Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen match is: under 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/08/2026 between Willem II and NEC Nijmegen in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.49% for a win of Willem II against NEC Nijmegen with odds of 5 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen is 29.78% with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.74% chance ⭐ for a win of NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II with odds of 2.03 at 1xbet.
Willem II - NEC Nijmegen Prediction and Best Odds:
| Willem II NEC Nijmegen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Willem II wins | 48.49% | 5.00 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.98% | 1.83 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Willem II | 19.29% | 12.00 at Roobet |
Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen Form
Willem II and NEC Nijmegen's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
10 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 |
|
18
|
2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -17 |
Willem II and NEC Nijmegen Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
23 May 2026 - Eredivisie
20 May 2026 - Eredivisie
16 May 2026 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 May 2026 - Eredivisie
16 May 2026 - Eredivisie
9 May 2026 - Eredivisie
17 Apr 2026 - Eerste Divisie
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
23 May 2026 - Eredivisie
13 May 2026 - Eredivisie
5 May 2026 - Eredivisie
24 Apr 2026 - Eerste Divisie
6 Apr 2026 - Eerste Divisie
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Aug 2026 - Champions League
8 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Aug 2026 - Champions League
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Aug 2026 - Champions League
8 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Aug 2026 - Champions League
11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2026 - Eredivisie
25 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Apr 2026 - KNVB beker
Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
50 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 May 2025 - Eredivisie
22 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
22 Dec 2021 - Eredivisie
12 Sept 2021 - Eredivisie
Willem II against NEC Nijmegen Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 1 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
W. Van der Steen
T. Kotte
DefenderM. Lemmens
A. Et-Taibi
J. Mathijsen
H. Ter Avest
J. van Esdonk
ForwardT. Verheydt
F. Entius
N. Polster
DefenderG. Bras
N. Lebreton
A. Kabar
B. Nuytinck
T. Ouwejan
MidfielderI. Hansen-Aaroen
K. Kers
E. Mor
W. Willumsson
ForwardK. Sierhuis
Most goals and assists
Willem II
NEC Nijmegen
D. Haen
(3 Goals)
T. Chery
(4 Goals)
N. Tjoe-a-On
(2 Assists)
,
U. Van Alst
(2 Assists)
,
V. Van Crooij
(2 Assists)
T. Chery
(2 Assists)
,
P. Schuurs
(2 Assists)
Willem II - NEC Nijmegen Key Points
- Willem’s last 16 home league matches have all seen under 3.5 goals.
- Nijmegen’s last seven competitive games have seen fewer than four goals.
- Five of Nijmegen’s last six away Eredivisie games have produced three or fewer goals.
- Seven of the last eight Eredivisie games have produced two or fewer goals.
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Our Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction
Willem's return to the Eredivisie hasn't been a smooth affair on matchday one, with a 4-1 away defeat suggesting the difficulties ahead. NEC also had a losing start to the campaign at home against Telstar but have improved immediately in the win against Olympiacos in the Champions League qualification. The visitors still need to improve their away form in the league to get back their momentum before next week's Champions League fixture.
This fixture has historically been a low-scoring one, and that's likely to continue, so our Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen prediction is under 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Willem II NEC Nijmegen
| Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Willem II wins | 5.05 | 5.00 | -1.0% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.75 | +9.7% |
| NEC Nijmegen wins | 1.62 | 2.03 | +25.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Willem II is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 19.8% and is now 20.0% (0.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
