Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League

Australia - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
17/10/2026 22:00
Melbourne Victory FC

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions

Matchday 1 in the A-League will conclude with Wellington Phoenix playing host to Melbourne Victory on Sunday. Five goals were scored in this exact fixture last season, and our prediction is that both teams will get on the scoresheet in this one. 

Wellington Phoenix will be hoping for a better season this time around after finishing with 34 points, falling four points short of a place in the Finals Series last term. 

The Nix won four of their final six games last season. They scored 36 goals in their 26 regular season matches, but they conceded 48, which was the most of any team in the top flight. 

This week’s hosts took 17 points from their 13 home league games last season, but they have lost their last two encounters against this opponent at this venue. 

Meanwhile, Melbourne Victory finished last season in fourth place with 40 points from their 26 matches before bowing out of the Finals Series to Sydney FC at the first hurdle. 

The Big V should be the more match fit here, having reached the final of the Australian Cup, while also competing in the AFC Champions League 2 competition over the past two months. 

The visitors beat Seoul in the continental tournament 3-0 in midweek. They took 18 points from their 13 away games last term and were unbeaten in their final five (W3 D2).

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Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory FC Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.05 3.65 2.11
1xbet
3.09 3.84 2.21
Melbet
3.05 3.76 2.18
Betwinner
3.05 3.76 2.18
22bet
3.05 3.76 2.18
Check all Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory FC?

Our prediction for the Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/10/2026 between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory FC in A-League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 21.35% for a win of Wellington Phoenix against Melbourne Victory FC with odds of 3.3 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC is 26.83% with odds of 3.84 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 51.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix with odds of 2.21 at 1xbet.

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC Form

Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory FC Last Matches

Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix Last matches
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Apr 2026 - A-League

Macarthur FC
4 :  0
Wellington Phoenix

18 Apr 2026 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  1
Western Sydney Wanderers

12 Apr 2026 - A-League

Melbourne City
2 :  0
Wellington Phoenix

5 Apr 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
0 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

21 Mar 2026 - A-League

Brisbane Roar
1 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

13 Mar 2026 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  0
Perth Glory
D L L L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Apr 2026 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  1
Western Sydney Wanderers

13 Mar 2026 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  0
Perth Glory

28 Feb 2026 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  1
Sydney

20 Feb 2026 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  5
Auckland FC

6 Feb 2026 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  3
Melbourne Victory FC

30 Jan 2026 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  2
Melbourne City
D D W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Apr 2026 - A-League

Macarthur FC
4 :  0
Wellington Phoenix

12 Apr 2026 - A-League

Melbourne City
2 :  0
Wellington Phoenix

5 Apr 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
0 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

21 Mar 2026 - A-League

Brisbane Roar
1 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

6 Mar 2026 - A-League

Adelaide United
1 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

13 Feb 2026 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
2 :  2
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory FC
Melbourne Victory FC Last matches
D W W D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A

Melbourne Victory FC
3 :  0
FC Seoul

10 Oct 2026 - FFA Cup

South Melbourne FC
1 :  1
Melbourne Victory FC

16 Sept 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A

The Cong - Viettel FC
1 :  1
Melbourne Victory FC

9 Sept 2026 - FFA Cup

Sydney
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory FC

19 Aug 2026 - FFA Cup

APIA Leichhardt
0 :  1
Melbourne Victory FC

8 Aug 2026 - FFA Cup

Western Sydney Wanderers
1 :  1
Melbourne Victory FC
W W L D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A

Melbourne Victory FC
3 :  0
FC Seoul

2 May 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
0 :  1
Sydney

17 Apr 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
2 :  2
Newcastle United Jets

5 Apr 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
0 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

21 Mar 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
4 :  1
Central Coast Mariners

15 Mar 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
4 :  1
Macarthur FC
W D W W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - FFA Cup

South Melbourne FC
1 :  1
Melbourne Victory FC

16 Sept 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A

The Cong - Viettel FC
1 :  1
Melbourne Victory FC

9 Sept 2026 - FFA Cup

Sydney
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory FC

19 Aug 2026 - FFA Cup

APIA Leichhardt
0 :  1
Melbourne Victory FC

8 Aug 2026 - FFA Cup

Western Sydney Wanderers
1 :  1
Melbourne Victory FC

26 Jul 2026 - FFA Cup

Kingborough Lions United FC
0 :  4
Melbourne Victory FC

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Wellington Phoenix

33 %

Draw

0 %

Melbourne Victory FC

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

5 Apr 2026 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
0 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

6 Feb 2026 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  3
Melbourne Victory FC

29 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
5 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

12 Apr 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  3
Melbourne Victory FC

14 Feb 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
1 :  0
Wellington Phoenix

23 Nov 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory FC
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC Prediction

Players list

Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix
Goalkeeper

J. Oluwayemi

Defender

T. Payne

B. Tuiloma

I. Hughes

L. Kelly-Heald

C. Piper

Midfielder

P. Retre

K. Nagasawa

S. Kartum

F. Conchie

Forward

E. Ifeanyi

Melbourne Victory FC
Melbourne Victory FC
Goalkeeper

J. Duncan

Defender

J. Inserra

H. Shillington

P. Ziereis

B. Hamill

Midfielder

K. Jelacic

D. Genreau

J. Valadon

M. Grimaldi

Forward

G. May

H. Sawyer

Substitutes

Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix
Goalkeeper

A. Kelly-Heald

Defender

D. Edwards

M. Sheridan

Midfielder

R. Najjarine

S. Singh

L. Brooke-Smith

Forward

C. Armiento

Melbourne Victory FC
Melbourne Victory FC
Goalkeeper

J. Warshawsky

Defender

W. Kengni

T. Lockyer

F. Mamur

J. Davidson

Midfielder

C. Santos Rodrigus

J. Mihailidis

X. Stella

O. Dragicevic

Forward

M. Olukhale

M. Ghossaini

C. Nduka

Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory FC Key Points

  1. Wellington Phoenix only kept two clean sheets in their last 13 league games.
  2. Seven of Wellington Phoenix’s last 10 home games ended with both teams scoring.
  3. Seven of Melbourne Victory’s last 10 home games ended with both teams scoring.
  4. Both teams scored in three of the last four matches between these sides.
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Our Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC Prediction

Wellington Phoenix enjoyed a better season in 2025-26 compared to the previous campaign, but their major issue was a leaky defence, which conceded the most goals of any team in the division. 
 
Melbourne Victory are the clear favourites in this match, but they have played a fair number of games already over the past couple of months, and they may have to rotate their squad here, given that they were in action in midweek. Our Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory prediction is BTTS. 

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.