Melbourne Victory FC vs Melbourne City Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
Saturday in the A-League brings us the first Melbourne Derby of the season, with Melbourne Victory taking on Melbourne City. These cross-town rivals conceded five goals combined on MD1, and our prediction is that both teams will get on the scoresheet in this match.
After finishing as runners-up in the Australia Cup, Melbourne Victory’s 2026-27 top-flight season began on a disappointing note, as they suffered a 2-1 defeat on the road to Wellington Phoenix.
That match came just four days after their AFC Champions League 2 fixture against Seoul. They finished with just 0.92 xG despite having 63% possession and creating four big chances across the 90.
With both sides sharing AAMI Park as their home ground, home advantage counts for little here, but the Big V have won the last two matches against this opponent at this venue.
Meanwhile, Melbourne City bowed out of the Australian Cup in the round of 16 to the Queensland Lions, and lost their opening match of the league season 3-1 to Auckland last week.
City dominated possession against the Black Knights but struggled to create many clear-cut chances. They ended the match with 0.69 xG and conceded three times despite giving up just 0.81 xGA.
While Hearts lost their last two matches at this venue against their local rivals, they were unbeaten in the four preceding Melbourne Derbies.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Melbourne Victory FC v Melbourne City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.48 | 3.50 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.54 | 3.57 | 2.76 |
|
|
2.50 | 3.50 | 2.72 |
|
|
2.50 | 3.50 | 2.72 |
|
|
2.50 | 3.50 | 2.72 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory FC and Melbourne City?
Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory FC vs Melbourne City match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/10/2026 between Melbourne Victory FC and Melbourne City in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.88% for a win of Melbourne Victory FC against Melbourne City with odds of 2.57 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory FC vs Melbourne City is 25.78% with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory FC with odds of 2.76 at 1xbet.
Melbourne Victory FC vs Melbourne City Form
Melbourne Victory FC and Melbourne City's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
|
12
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Melbourne Victory FC and Melbourne City Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - A-League
14 Oct 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
10 Oct 2026 - FFA Cup
16 Sept 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
9 Sept 2026 - FFA Cup
19 Aug 2026 - FFA Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
2 May 2026 - A-League
17 Apr 2026 - A-League
5 Apr 2026 - A-League
21 Mar 2026 - A-League
15 Mar 2026 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - A-League
10 Oct 2026 - FFA Cup
16 Sept 2026 - AFC Cup, Group A
9 Sept 2026 - FFA Cup
19 Aug 2026 - FFA Cup
8 Aug 2026 - FFA Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - A-League
11 Aug 2026 - FFA Cup
7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2026 - FFA Cup
2 May 2026 - A-League
26 Apr 2026 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Apr 2026 - A-League
12 Apr 2026 - A-League
7 Apr 2026 - A-League
4 Apr 2026 - A-League
3 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - A-League
11 Aug 2026 - FFA Cup
26 Jul 2026 - FFA Cup
2 May 2026 - A-League
18 Apr 2026 - A-League
22 Mar 2026 - A-League
Melbourne Victory FC vs Melbourne City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
31 May 2025 - A-League
22 Feb 2025 - A-League
21 Dec 2024 - A-League
Melbourne Victory FC vs Melbourne City last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Warshawsky
DefenderB. Hamill
T. Lockyer
H. Shillington
MidfielderK. Jelacic
X. Stella
ForwardM. Ghossaini
J. Nieuwenhuizen
DefenderP. Antoniou
MidfielderL. Wong
M. Caputo
ForwardM. Leckie
R. Ballah
T. Kanamori
Most goals and assists
Melbourne Victory FC
Melbourne City
C. Nduka
(1 Goals)
Q. MacNicol
(1 Goals)
K. Rahmani
(1 Assists)
Melbourne Victory FC - Melbourne City Key Points
- Three of Melbourne Victory’s last four games ended with both teams scoring.
- Melbourne Victory have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last seven home league games.
- Melbourne City have conceded two or more goals in three of their last four games.
- Six of the last nine matches between these sides ended with both teams scoring.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Melbourne Victory FC vs Melbourne City Prediction
While Melbourne Victory lost their season opener to Wellington Phoenix, that match came after a short turnaround from the ACL2 competition, and they will be expecting better here, having had a full week’s rest.
However, Melbourne City will also be eager to get their first points of the season, and where better to do so than in the Melbourne Derby. Both teams will go all-out here, and we’re expecting to see goals at both ends. Our Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City prediction is BTTS.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Melbourne Victory FC vs. Melbourne City game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Melbourne Victory FC and Melbourne City? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's A-League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
