Watford vs Norwich Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup

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England - Carabao Cup

Watford
12/08/2025 14:45
Norwich

Prediction :

 

Norwich wins

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Carabao Cup Predictions

In one of the few interesting all-Championship ties, Watford will host Norwich in the first round of the 2025-26 EFL Cup, or the Carabao Cup, on Tuesday. This match will be played at Vicarage Road, and our prediction is a Norwich win.

Both teams were beaten at the weekend in their first match of the 2025-26 Championship campaign. Watford could reach no more than the third round in their last five EFL Cup campaigns, while Norwich exited in one of the first two rounds in four of their last six seasons in the league cup.

Watford lost 1-0 away to Charlton with a late goal deciding the game. That said, the Hornets were unable to create anything of note, and barring a few calls for penalties, they had little to showcase.

That defeat ended a run of two wins and draws each in the friendlies, but competitive results remain a concern. Watford were beaten in five of their last six competitive matches.

Norwich also started with a defeat on Saturday with a 2-1 home defeat against Millwall, conceding an 83rd-minute winner. It continued their poor performance, as the Canaries won just one of their last seven games (W1, D3, L3).

It’s the head-to-head record that could work in their favour, as Norwich won their last three games against Watford.

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Watford v Norwich Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.48 3.4 2.6
1xbet
1.83 8.23 2.5
Melbet
3.54 3.46 2.06
Betwinner
3.32 3.46 2.15
Bet365
3.8 3.4 2
Check all Watford vs Norwich odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Watford and Norwich?

Our prediction for the Watford vs Norwich match is: Norwich wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/08/2025 between Watford and Norwich in Carabao Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.66% for a win of Watford against Norwich with odds of 3.8 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Watford vs Norwich is 39.09% with odds of 8.23 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 22.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Norwich vs Watford with odds of 2.6 at Stake.

Watford - Norwich Prediction and Best Odds:

Watford Norwich Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 39.09% 8.23 at 1xbet
Under 2.5 61.86% 2.15 at 888Starz
Both Team To Score 51.25%
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw 20.99% 5.5 at Bet365

Watford vs Norwich Form

Watford and Norwich Last Matches

Watford
Watford Last matches
D W D D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  0
Watford

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Watford
1 :  0
La Coruna

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leyton Orient London
1 :  1
Watford

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Watford
1 :  1
Leyton Orient London

8 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Boreham Wood FC
0 :  2
Watford

3 May 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Sheffield Wednesday
D W L D D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Watford
1 :  0
La Coruna

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Watford
1 :  1
Leyton Orient London

3 May 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Sheffield Wednesday

18 Apr 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  2
Burnley

8 Apr 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Hull

29 Mar 2025 - Championship

Watford
0 :  0
Plymouth
L L L W D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  0
Watford

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leyton Orient London
1 :  1
Watford

8 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Boreham Wood FC
0 :  2
Watford

26 Apr 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
2 :  1
Watford

21 Apr 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  0
Watford

12 Apr 2025 - Championship

West Brom
2 :  1
Watford
Norwich
Norwich Last matches
D D L D W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
Millwall

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Norwich
2 :  0
NAC Breda

25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

ADO The Hague
0 :  0
Norwich

25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Olympiacos
3 :  0
Norwich

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Zulte Waregem
1 :  1
Norwich

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Norwich
1 :  1
Volendam
L W W D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
Millwall

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Norwich
2 :  0
NAC Breda

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Norwich
1 :  1
Volendam

12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Norwich
3 :  1
Northampton Town

3 May 2025 - Championship

Norwich
4 :  2
Cardiff

18 Apr 2025 - Championship

Norwich
3 :  5
Portsmouth
L L D D L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

ADO The Hague
0 :  0
Norwich

25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Olympiacos
3 :  0
Norwich

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Zulte Waregem
1 :  1
Norwich

26 Apr 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Norwich

21 Apr 2025 - Championship

Millwall
3 :  1
Norwich

11 Apr 2025 - Championship

Burnley
2 :  1
Norwich

Watford vs Norwich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Watford

50 %

Draw

0 %

Norwich

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Watford
0 :  1
Norwich

21 Sept 2024 - Championship

Norwich
4 :  1
Watford

13 Feb 2024 - Championship

Norwich
4 :  2
Watford

28 Nov 2023 - Championship

Watford
3 :  2
Norwich

2 Jan 2023 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  1
Watford

15 Oct 2022 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Norwich

Watford vs Norwich last Lineups

Watford

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

66
N. Irankunda
68
M. Alleyne
43
J. Grieves
18
V. Semedo
45
R. Andrews
1
E. Selvik
16
M. Bola
7
T. Ince
24
T. Dele-Bashiru
5
H. Kyprianou
39
E. Kayembe
9
J. Sargent
22
M. Topic
14
B. Chrisene
5
J. Medic
6
H. Darling
11
E. Marcondes
32
D. Grimshaw
29
O. Schwartau
19
P. Diallo
35
K. Fisher
26
M. Nunez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Norwich

Substitutes

Watford
Watford
Goalkeeper

N. Baxter

Defender

K. Keben

T. Dele-Bashiru 46'

J. Ngakia

J. Grieves 46'

J. Mullins

Midfielder

M. Sissoko

I. Louza

R. Andrews 46'

Forward

M. Doumbia

L. Kjerrumgaard

V. Semedo 80'

K. Baah

T. Ince 62'

Norwich
Norwich
Goalkeeper

L. Moulden

Defender

R. McConville

J. Cordoba

S. Duffy

Midfielder

L. Gibbs

O. Schwartau 73'

M. Jurasek

K. Fisher 82'

J. Wright

M. Topic 46'

J. Schlupp

P. Diallo 62'

Forward

J. Makama

J. Sargent 62'

Missing players

Watford
Watford
Midfielder

G. Chakvetadze

P. Dwomoh

Norwich
Norwich
Defender

L. Mahovo

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Watford
CD Huachipato Norwich
Top Goalscorer
England K. Baah (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
USA J. Sargent (1 Goals) ,  Chile M. Nunez (1 Goals)
Best assists
Morocco I. Louza (1 Assists)
Best assists
Senegal P. Diallo (1 Assists)

Watford - Norwich Key Points

  1. Watford lost five of their last six matches in all competitions, not including friendlies.
  2. Watford failed to win three of their four latest games including friendlies.
  3. Norwich won their last three matches against Watford.
  4. Norwich kept a clean sheet in two of their last four games.
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Our Watford vs Norwich Prediction

Both Watford and Norwich are coming off defeats in their matchday one fixtures of the Championship. Watford failed to create anything of note and looked short of creativity in the final third. Norwich made the most of their captain Josh Sargent’s presence, who scored their only goal at the weekend and also was the core of their attacks. He also scored the winner when the sides last met in February, leading Norwich to a 1-0 victory here.

That could be the result again, and our Watford vs Norwich prediction is Norwich wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Norwich wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Watford Norwich

Watford vs Norwich Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Watford wins 2.5 3.8 +52.0%
Draw 3.6 8.23 +128.6%
Norwich wins 2.6 2.6 0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 128.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 27.8% and is now 12.2% (-15.6%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Watford vs Norwich Prediction