Watford vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Watford
01/01/2026 10:00
Birmingham

Prediction :

 

Watford wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions

Watford meets Birmingham in one of the scheduled matches in the Championship on New Year’s Day. Recent good returns have lifted Watford into the top six, while Birmingham’s struggles have them in 15th spot. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.

No team has matched Watford in the festive period, and the Hornets will want to carry on in the new year. A 1-0 win away to Norwich ensured they ended the year on a high.

The hosts are on three straight wins, with two clean sheets in the process. Returning home for this game will also offer them a lift. Out of their 38 points, Watford claimed 25 in home encounters. 

Birmingham will be looking to complete a double over Watford, but their recent run of form hasn’t been very impressive. In the festive window, the Blues managed just two points from a possible nine.

Their 1-1 draw with Southampton last time out stretched their winless run to six matches. Three of those ended in defeat, and they have only registered two wins in the last 10 games.

The visitors have no clean sheet in their last 10 outings but only failed to score in one of the said 10 games. Across the last four meetings with Birmingham, they lost three times, failing to score in all those defeats.

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The Best Betting Odds for Watford v Birmingham Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.25 3.3 3.05
Betfred
2.38 3.25 3
William Hill
2.3 3.2 2.9
Unibet
2.43 3.3 2.85
Betway
2.38 3.3 2.8
Check all Watford vs Birmingham odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Watford and Birmingham?

Our prediction for the Watford vs Birmingham match is: Birmingham wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/01/2026 between Watford and Birmingham in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.84% for a win of Watford against Birmingham with odds of 2.45 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Watford vs Birmingham is 32.63% with odds of 3.4 at Bwin.
  • Our prediction model gives a 11.54% chance ⭐ for a win of Birmingham vs Watford with odds of 3.05 at Bet365.

Watford vs Birmingham Form

Watford and Birmingham's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
Watford
Watford
38 24 10 8 6 5
15
Birmingham
Birmingham
31 24 8 7 9 1

Watford and Birmingham Last Matches

Watford
Watford Last matches
W D D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  1
Watford

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Leicester
1 :  2
Watford

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Stoke

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  2
Watford

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Sheffield Wednesday

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
3 :  2
Norwich
W D D W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Stoke

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Sheffield Wednesday

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
3 :  2
Norwich

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Preston North End

7 Nov 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Bristol City

1 Nov 2025 - Championship

Watford
3 :  0
Middlesbrough
D W L D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  1
Watford

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Leicester
1 :  2
Watford

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  2
Watford

1 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  1
Watford

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  3
Watford

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Ipswich Town
1 :  1
Watford
Birmingham
Birmingham Last matches
L L D L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Southampton

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Derby County

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
3 :  0
Birmingham

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

QPR
2 :  1
Birmingham

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Birmingham
W W W D D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Southampton

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Derby County

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  1
Charlton Athletic

1 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  1
Watford

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
4 :  1
Norwich

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
4 :  0
Millwall
L L D L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
3 :  0
Birmingham

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

QPR
2 :  1
Birmingham

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
3 :  1
Birmingham

26 Nov 2025 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  1
Birmingham

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Birmingham

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  0
Birmingham

Watford vs Birmingham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Watford

50 %

Draw

0 %

Birmingham

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (home team)
1
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

1 Dec 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
2 :  1
Watford

16 Mar 2024 - Championship

Birmingham
0 :  1
Watford

Watford vs Birmingham last Lineups

Watford

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
E. Selvik
2
J. Ngakia
6
M. Pollock
3
M. Alleyne
16
M. Bola
42
O. Maamma
5
H. Kyprianou
10
I. Louza
7
T. Ince
8
G. Chakvetadze
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
9
K. Furuhashi
28
J. Stansfield
18
W. Willumsson
16
P. Roberts
8
S. Paik
24
T. Iwata
41
E. Cashin
6
J. Robinson
5
P. Neumann
23
A. Sampsted
25
J. Beadle

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Birmingham

Missing players

Watford
Watford
Defender

C. Wiley

Midfielder

J. Grieves

R. Vata

P. Dwomoh

E. Kayembe

Forward

K. Baah

M. Doumbia

Birmingham
Birmingham
Goalkeeper

J. Beadle

Defender

L. Buchanan

E. Laird

A. Cochrane

Midfielder

S. Wright

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Watford
CD Huachipato Birmingham
Top Goalscorer
Denmark L. Kjerrumgaard (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Stansfield (9 Goals)
Best assists
Morocco I. Louza (7 Assists)
Best assists
Jamaica D. Gray (5 Assists)

Watford and Birmingham Stats in Championship

Watford
Watford
Birmingham
Birmingham
42%
Wins
33%
33%
Draw
29%
25%
Losses
38%
2.63
Total goals per match
2.63
1.42
Goals scored per match
1.33
1.21
Goals conceded per match
1.29
54%
Over 2.5
50%
46%
Under 2.5
50%
71%
BTTS
58%
13%
Clean Sheet
21%

Watford - Birmingham Key Points

  1. Birmingham lost seven times across their last 10 meetings with Watford.
  2. Birmingham are winless in their last six matches, having lost three.
  3. Watford beat Birmingham three times in the last four meetings.
  4. Watford are coming off three straight wins.
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Our Watford vs Birmingham Prediction

The momentum ahead of this New Year’s Day match is with the hosts. Watford have posted three straight wins and will want to sign off the festive period with another victory. The Hornets lost last time out against Birmingham but have had a great turnaround in form since then.

They are also doing well at home, and in this encounter, they face a struggling Birmingham side. The visitors are winless in six matches, losing half of them, and this will be a tricky affair. Our prediction for Watford v Birmingham is that Birmingham wins.

Prediction :

 

Watford wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Watford vs Birmingham Prediction