Sunderland vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Sunderland are yet to lose a home league game this season. The Black Cats are seventh in the Premier League but face a tough start to the new year as they host second-placed Manchester City. Read our match prediction below.
Could Sunderland make it into next season’s Champions League? A win here will take them into the top five. They have made an impressive start to their return to the Premier League with seven wins from 18 games. That is six fewer than their opponents have earned.
Manchester City are determined to regain their Premier League title. They are in great form at present and a win at Sunderland will make it seven successive league victories. The fragility shown last season seems to have been put behind them and they will be going all out to make a winning start to 2026.
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Sunderland v Manchester City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.2 | 4.9 | 1.46 |
|
|
6.95 | 4.98 | 1.41 |
|
|
7.4 | 4.96 | 1.4 |
|
|
7 | 5 | 1.42 |
|
|
7 | 4.7 | 1.42 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sunderland and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Sunderland vs Manchester City match is: two or three goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/01/2026 between Sunderland and Manchester City in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.5% for a win of Sunderland against Manchester City with odds of 7.56 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sunderland vs Manchester City is 22.25% with odds of 5.08 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 55.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Sunderland with odds of 1.46 at Stake.
Sunderland - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sunderland Manchester City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 55.25% | 1.46 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.98% | 1.81 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Manchester City/Manchester City | 28.26% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
Sunderland vs Manchester City Form
Sunderland and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
78 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 |
|
7
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 |
Sunderland and Manchester City Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
Sunderland vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
5 Mar 2017 - Premier League
Sunderland - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Sunderland are only a couple of points behind the top five and have this game in hand. Their current form isn’t that impressive though. Both of their last two league fixtures have been drawn, most recently a 1-1 stalemate with Leeds after leading.
Only two of their last nine league matches have been won, one via an own goal. Just six points have been earned from their last five games, nine fewer than their opponents have achieved. Not since 2013 have they beaten City with four of the last five meetings being lost.
City can't afford any slip-ups here.
Manchester City are second in the table, five points behind leaders Arsenal after their win over Aston Villa on Tuesday. The Citizens really can't afford any slip-ups from this game away to Sunderland.
City are on a great run at present. Their last eight games in all competitions have been won with at least two goals scored in each victory. Their most recent win was a 2-1 victory at Nottingham Forest.
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Sunderland against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
A. Patterson
DefenderL. Hjelde
MidfielderH. Jones
R. Mundle
D. Neil
C. Rigg
L. O'Nien
T. Tuterov
ForwardW. Isidor
J. Trafford
DefenderR. Lewis
A. Khusanov
J. Gvardiol
T. Reijnders
Rodri
D. Mukasa
ForwardJ. Doku
R. Heskey
Missing players
R. Mandava
A. Alese
M. Kovacic
Sunderland & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Sunderland are struggling to get wins at present. Their cause is not being helped by the fact six of their squad are currently playing in AFCON. That has left them with a depleted squad, not what you need when facing a side such as Manchester City.
Where are Sunderland's goals going to come from?
Only two goals have been scored in their last four matches and one of those was netted by their opponents. They lost the recent reverse fixture at Manchester City 3-0 and their unbeaten home league record is in great jeopardy here.
Manchester City do tend to go on long winning streaks and that is just what is happening at present. Their most recent game saw them win 2-1 at Nottingham Forest. That was a win achieved without Erling Haaland getting on the scoresheet, so they're not totally dependent on him.
Nor did Haaland score when City beat Sunderland 3-0 in the reverse fixture this season, so he must be due one here. They are only missing two players to international duty. Jeremy Doku and John Stones are both injury doubts.
Most goals and assists
Sunderland
Manchester City
B. Brobbey
(7 Goals)
E. Haaland
(27 Goals)
E. Le Fee
(7 Assists)
R. Cherki
(12 Assists)
Sunderland - Manchester City Key Points
- Either two or three goals have been scored in the last three games played between Sunderland and Manchester City.
- The last five Manchester City games have seen either two or three goals scored.
- Four of the last five Manchester City away games have seen either two or three goals scored.
- Two or three goals have been scored in three of Sunderland's last five matches.
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Our Sunderland vs Manchester City Prediction
Manchester City are in great form at present with eight straight victories in all competitions. 2025 hasn't been the best of years for them but City are certainly ending it in style and next year could be massive for them.
Sunderland began the season well and have no relegation fears. Their form has dipped in recent weeks but the Black Cats are still yet to lose a home league game this season. Our main Sunderland v Manchester City prediction is two or three goals to be scored.
Sunderland vs Manchester City Alternative Predictions
Erling Haaland to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sunderland Manchester City
| Sunderland vs Manchester City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland wins | 6.85 | 7.56 | +10.4% |
| Draw | 4.22 | 5.08 | +20.4% |
| Manchester City wins | 1.58 | 1.46 | -7.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 63.3% and is now 68.5% (5.2%)
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Sunderland vs Manchester City - FAQs
Manchester City are the away team in this Premier League game. They will be travelling to the Stadium of Light in Sunderland.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
