Watford vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions
Watford meets Birmingham in one of the scheduled matches in the Championship on New Year’s Day. Recent good returns have lifted Watford into the top six, while Birmingham’s struggles have them in 15th spot. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
No team has matched Watford in the festive period, and the Hornets will want to carry on in the new year. A 1-0 win away to Norwich ensured they ended the year on a high.
The hosts are on three straight wins, with two clean sheets in the process. Returning home for this game will also offer them a lift. Out of their 38 points, Watford claimed 25 in home encounters.
Birmingham will be looking to complete a double over Watford, but their recent run of form hasn’t been very impressive. In the festive window, the Blues managed just two points from a possible nine.
Their 1-1 draw with Southampton last time out stretched their winless run to six matches. Three of those ended in defeat, and they have only registered two wins in the last 10 games.
The visitors have no clean sheet in their last 10 outings but only failed to score in one of the said 10 games. Across the last four meetings with Birmingham, they lost three times, failing to score in all those defeats.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Watford v Birmingham Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.24 | 3.35 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.28 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.24 | 3.32 | 3.13 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.25 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.4 | 3.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Watford and Birmingham?
Our prediction for the Watford vs Birmingham match is: Birmingham wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/01/2026 between Watford and Birmingham in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.02% for a win of Watford against Birmingham with odds of 2.3 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Watford vs Birmingham is 32.68% with odds of 3.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 11.29% chance ⭐ for a win of Birmingham vs Watford with odds of 3.4 at Melbet.
Watford - Birmingham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Watford Birmingham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Watford wins | 56.02% | 2.3 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.89 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Watford/Watford | 27.89% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Watford vs Birmingham Form
Watford and Birmingham's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
64 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | +1 |
|
16
|
57 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | -12 |
Watford and Birmingham Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
7 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
1 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
1 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
Watford vs Birmingham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Dec 2025 - Championship
16 Mar 2024 - Championship
Watford against Birmingham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
N. Baxter
DefenderJ. Petris
K. Keben
MidfielderM. Sissoko
N. Mendy
J. Morris
K. Baah
N. Irankunda
V. Semedo
R. Allsop
DefenderE. Cashin
M. Mazwi
MidfielderM. Leonard
L. Koumas
D. Isichei
K. Fujimoto
ForwardL. Dykes
M. Ducksch
Missing players
P. Dwomoh
R. Vata
L. Buchanan
Most goals and assists
Watford
Birmingham
L. Kjerrumgaard
(10 Goals)
J. Stansfield
(10 Goals)
, 
M. Ducksch
(10 Goals)
I. Louza
(9 Assists)
J. Stansfield
(7 Assists)
Watford - Birmingham Key Points
- Birmingham lost seven times across their last 10 meetings with Watford.
- Birmingham are winless in their last six matches, having lost three.
- Watford beat Birmingham three times in the last four meetings.
- Watford are coming off three straight wins.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Watford vs Birmingham Prediction
The momentum ahead of this New Year’s Day match is with the hosts. Watford have posted three straight wins and will want to sign off the festive period with another victory. The Hornets lost last time out against Birmingham but have had a great turnaround in form since then.
They are also doing well at home, and in this encounter, they face a struggling Birmingham side. The visitors are winless in six matches, losing half of them, and this will be a tricky affair. Our prediction for Watford v Birmingham is that Birmingham wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Watford Birmingham
| Watford vs Birmingham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watford wins | 2.4 | 2.3 | -4.2% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.5 | +6.1% |
| Birmingham wins | 3.05 | 3.4 | +11.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Watford is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.7% and is now 43.5% (1.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
