Wales vs Finland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Prediction published on 16/11/2020, 06:35  by Steve Ashfield | Modified on 16/11/2020 at 07:36 in UEFA Nations League Prediction

It's all come down to the last match in League B4 of the UEFA Nations League. Wales top the group by a point from opponents Finland and just need to avoid defeat to win promotion to League A. The Welsh side may have had a few problems off the pitch in recent weeks but continue to do well on the field of play. They top this group with 13 points from their five games and are yet to concede a goal in five matches. Goals have been rather sparce in their games though with just four scored in total. The most recent of those came on Sunday when they had a crucial 1-0 home win over Ireland. In-form David Brooks got the winner with 23 minutes remaining. They needed that win as Finland won 2-1 in Bulgaria to remain a point behind the group leaders. There have been ten games played in this group and just 13 goals scored. That 2-1 win for Finland on Sunday is the first in this group to have over 2.5 goals scored in it. Wales have won both their home games in this group 1-0 and also had victories by the same scoreline in Finland and Bulgaria, drawing the other 0-0 in Ireland. The Welsh side are unbeaten in their last four games. 16 of their last 19 internationals have had under 2.5 goals scored in them and eight of the last nine at home with clean sheets in seven of them.

Finland come into this final group match knowing exactly what they have to do. Nothing but a win will see them win the group and win promotion. They have already qualified for the next European Championships, their first ever finals. Last year saw them win promotion from League C, can they make it two straight promotions and be in League A for the next Nations League tournament? They have won four of their five group games, the other being that vital 1-0 home loss to Wales in their opening fixture. Finland have won five of their last six games, all with under 2.5 goals scored in them. The other one was a 5-1 loss in Poland in October of this year. Away form has seen Finland win three of the last four and that includes going to France last week and winning 2-0. A bet on under 2.5 goals looks the one to go for here.