Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Adelaide

WTA - WTA Adelaide

WTA 18 Canada
Victoria Mboko
14/01/2026 22:50
WTA 7 USA
Madison Keys

Prediction :

 

Madison Keys wins

1.57
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Defending champion Madison Keys is going well again in the outdoor hard court Adelaide International. The quarter-finals see her take on eighth seed Victoria Mboko. Will Keys be dethroned? Read our match prediction?

For the winner, there's a semi-final against either unseeded Jaqueline Cristian or wild card Kimberly Birrell.

Keys is seeded second for this tournament but top seed Jessica Pegula withdrew before it began. The American won this title last year and then went on to win the Australian Open. Injury then disrupted her season but Keys is back to full fitness now.

Last week saw the world number nine lose to Aryna Sabalenka in the Brisbane quarter-finals. One match has been played in Adelaide with a straight sets victory over qualifier Tereza Valentova.

Victoria Mboko will want to build on her breakthrough 2025. After winning five lower level tournaments, the 19-year-old won WTA Tour events played in Montreal and Hong Kong. The Canadian is currently 17th in the live rankings.

All of her four previous matches this year have gone to three sets. One match was lost to Zhu Lin in the United Cup. In Adelaide, Beatriz Haddad Maia was beaten in round one. Mboko then needed to save two match points to get past Anna Kalinskaya. 

We tip Keys to win.

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Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365

The Best Betting Odds for Victoria Mboko v Madison Keys Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.38 1.57
Melbet
2.41 1.57
BC Game
2.32 1.56
Tonybet
2.4 1.53
888Starz
2.41 1.57
Check all Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys odds

Who will win the Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys match is: Madison Keys wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys game on 14/01/2026 of the current WTA Adelaide season:

  • Victoria Mboko has a 55.83% chance to win against Madison Keys according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.41.
  • Madison Keys has a 44.17% probability of winning facing Victoria Mboko ⭐ with odds of 1.6 at Shangrila.

Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Victoria Mboko has a 55.83 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Victoria Mboko55.83 %
Madison Keys44.17 %

Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys Form

Victoria Mboko and Madison Keys Last Matches

Victoria Mboko Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

13 Jan 2026 - WTA Adelaide

Victoria Mboko
2 :  1
Anna Kalinskaya

11 Jan 2026 - WTA Adelaide

Victoria Mboko
2 :  1
Beatriz Haddad Maia

5 Jan 2026 - United Cup

Victoria Mboko
1 :  2
Elise Mertens

4 Jan 2026 - United Cup

Victoria Mboko
2 :  1
Lin Zhu

16 Nov 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Victoria Mboko
2 :  0
Renata Zarazua

15 Nov 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Victoria Mboko
2 :  0
Johanne Christine Svendsen
Madison Keys Last matches
L L W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

13 Jan 2026 - WTA Adelaide

Tereza Valentova
0 :  2
Madison Keys

8 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Madison Keys

8 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane

Diana Shnaider
1 :  2
Madison Keys

5 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane

McCartney Kessler
0 :  2
Madison Keys

3 Nov 2025 - WTA Finals

Amanda Anisimova
2 :  1
Madison Keys

1 Nov 2025 - WTA Finals

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Madison Keys

Victoria Mboko - Madison Keys Key Points

  1. Keys is the defending champion in this tournament.
  2. Keys is eight places above her opponent.
  3. Mboko has had to go to three sets in all four of her matches this year.
  4. Mboko had to save two match points to win her second round match.
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Our Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys Prediction

It's a big month for Madison Keys with this title and then the Australian Open to defend. One match has been won by the second seed so far this week. Keys didn't serve well in set one but improved as the match progressed, only dropping one game in the second.

Victoria Mboko has taken four-and-a-half hours to win her two matches this week. Both went to three sets and the Canadian survived two match points against her in round two. Our Victoria Mboko v Madison Keys prediction is Madison Keys wins.

Prediction :

 

Madison Keys wins

1.57
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Use £/€50 free bets for the Victoria Mboko vs. Madison Keys game!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys Prediction