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by Devesh Jaganath | in World Cup Predictions
The final round of matches at the CONMEBOL FIFA World Cup Qualifiers will see Venezuela play host to Colombia on Tuesday night. La Vinotinto are seventh in the standings, while La Tricolour are in fifth place after 17 games. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Venezuela’s hopes of reaching their first-ever World Cup are hanging by a thread. With 18 points so far, they cannot qualify directly, but a win here will allow them to enter the inter-confederation play-offs.
La Vinotinto conceded their seventh defeat in this competition (W4 D6 L7) on Friday night when they were beaten by Argentina 3-0. That was also the second consecutive match they failed to score in.
However, the one major positive for the hosts has been their performances at home, where they have not tasted defeat in this competition (W4 D4).
Meanwhile, after failing to qualify for the 2022 World Cup, Colombia have already booked their spot in the 2026 edition with 25 points from their 17 matches in this competition.
The Coffee Growers clinched a 3-0 victory over Bolivia at home last week. Luis Diaz picked up an assist in the match and now has five goal involvements in his last five WCQ matches.
However, the visitors have only won one of their eight away games in this competition (W1 D4 L3) but are unbeaten in their last nine matches against this opponent (home or away).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Venezuela v Colombia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 3 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.1 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.62 | 3 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.8 | 3 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.2 | 2.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Venezuela and Colombia?
Our prediction for the Venezuela vs Colombia match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2025 between Venezuela and Colombia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.19% for a win of Venezuela against Colombia with odds of 3.04 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Venezuela vs Colombia is 41.28% with odds of 3.2 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Colombia vs Venezuela with odds of 2.8 at Unibet.
Venezuela - Colombia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Venezuela Colombia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 41.28% | 3.2 at Unibet |
| Under 2.5 | 71.78% | 1.78 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 47.92% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Venezuela / Full-time: Draw | 18.44% | 15 at Bet365 |
Venezuela vs Colombia Form
Venezuela and Colombia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
28 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
|
8
|
18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -10 |
Venezuela and Colombia Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - World Cup
5 Jul 2024 - Copa America
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
6 Sept 2024 - World Cup
14 Jul 2024 - Copa America
Venezuela vs Colombia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Dec 2023 - International Friendlies
7 Sept 2023 - World Cup
29 Mar 2022 - World Cup
17 Jun 2021 - Copa America
9 Oct 2020 - World Cup
10 Sept 2019 - International Friendlies
Players list
R. Romo
DefenderW. Angel
K. Kelsy
N. Ferraresi
J. Aramburu
MidfielderJ. Martinez
Y. Soteldo
C. Casseres Jr
J. Murillo
ForwardS. Rondon
J. Savarino
K. Mier
DefenderD. Sanchez
Y. Mina
A. Angulo
D. Munoz
MidfielderJ. Arias
J. Portilla
R. Rios
J. Quintero
ForwardL. Diaz
J. Cordoba
Substitutes
A. Baroja
W. Farinez
DefenderA. Gonzalez
C. Makoun
J. Mejias
MidfielderJ. Yriarte
T. Rincon
J. Savarino
C. Casseres Jr
G. Mendoza
ForwardK. Kelsy
J. Murillo
C. Vargas
D. Ospina
DefenderJ. Mojica
J. Lucumi
S. Arias
MidfielderJ. Campaz
J. Portilla
J. Quintero
M. Hinestroza
J. Arias
D. Moreno
J. Cordoba
Most goals and assists
Venezuela
Colombia
S. Rondon
(6 Goals)
L. Diaz
(7 Goals)
Venezuela - Colombia Key Points
- 11 of Venezuela’s 17 games in this competition have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Venezuela have kept six clean sheets in their eight home matches in this competition.
- Nine of Colombia’s 17 games in this competition have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Fewer than three goals were scored in each of the last four games between these sides.
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Our Venezuela vs Colombia Prediction
It is the last chance saloon for Venezuela. While they can qualify for the inter-confederation play-offs even if they lose here, they simply have to go all out for the points to leave nothing to chance.
To their credit, La Vinotinto have been very good at home in this competition, unbeaten after eight matches, while having only conceded two goals across that period. Keeping another clean sheet here will be vital for them. Our Venezuela vs Colombia prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Venezuela Colombia
| Venezuela vs Colombia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela wins | 2.75 | 2.9 | +5.5% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3 | -7.7% |
| Colombia wins | 2.5 | 2.7 | +8.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.8% and is now 33.3% (2.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Venezuela vs. Colombia game!
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Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
