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by Devesh Jaganath in World Cup Predictions
The final round of matches at the CONMEBOL FIFA World Cup Qualifiers will see Venezuela play host to Colombia on Tuesday night. La Vinotinto are seventh in the standings, while La Tricolour are in fifth place after 17 games. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Venezuela’s hopes of reaching their first-ever World Cup are hanging by a thread. With 18 points so far, they cannot qualify directly, but a win here will allow them to enter the inter-confederation play-offs.
La Vinotinto conceded their seventh defeat in this competition (W4 D6 L7) on Friday night when they were beaten by Argentina 3-0. That was also the second consecutive match they failed to score in.
However, the one major positive for the hosts has been their performances at home, where they have not tasted defeat in this competition (W4 D4).
Meanwhile, after failing to qualify for the 2022 World Cup, Colombia have already booked their spot in the 2026 edition with 25 points from their 17 matches in this competition.
The Coffee Growers clinched a 3-0 victory over Bolivia at home last week. Luis Diaz picked up an assist in the match and now has five goal involvements in his last five WCQ matches.
However, the visitors have only won one of their eight away games in this competition (W1 D4 L3) but are unbeaten in their last nine matches against this opponent (home or away).
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The Best Betting Odds for Venezuela v Colombia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.38 | 3.2 | 3 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.4 | 2.9 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.15 | 3.15 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Venezuela and Colombia?
Our prediction for the Venezuela vs Colombia match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/09/2025 between Venezuela and Colombia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.9% for a win of Venezuela against Colombia with odds of 2.49 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Venezuela vs Colombia is 41.46% with odds of 3.21 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Colombia vs Venezuela with odds of 3.26 at 22bet.
Venezuela vs Colombia Form
Venezuela and Colombia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
25 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
|
7
|
18 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -7 |
Venezuela and Colombia Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
11 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
26 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
26 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
11 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2024 - World Cup
16 Oct 2024 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
11 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
26 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
26 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
16 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
7 Sep 2024 - World Cup
15 Jul 2024 - Copa America
Venezuela vs Colombia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Dec 2023 - International Friendlies
8 Sep 2023 - World Cup
30 Mar 2022 - World Cup
17 Jun 2021 - Copa America
10 Oct 2020 - World Cup
11 Sep 2019 - International Friendlies
Most goals and assists
Venezuela
Colombia
S. Rondon
(5 Goals)
L. Diaz
(7 Goals)
Venezuela - Colombia Key Points
- 11 of Venezuela’s 17 games in this competition have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Venezuela have kept six clean sheets in their eight home matches in this competition.
- Nine of Colombia’s 17 games in this competition have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Fewer than three goals were scored in each of the last four games between these sides.
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Our Venezuela vs Colombia Prediction
It is the last chance saloon for Venezuela. While they can qualify for the inter-confederation play-offs even if they lose here, they simply have to go all out for the points to leave nothing to chance.
To their credit, La Vinotinto have been very good at home in this competition, unbeaten after eight matches, while having only conceded two goals across that period. Keeping another clean sheet here will be vital for them. Our Venezuela vs Colombia prediction is under 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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