United States vs Venezuela Prediction & Betting Tips - World Baseball Classic
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by Matthew Newman | in World Baseball Classic Predictions
Venezuela will take on the USA in the final of the World Baseball Classic. It will be the first time in the final for Venezuela while the USA will be making the deciding game for the third time, winners in 2017 and losers to Japan in 2023.
Eduardo Rodriguez will make the start for Venezuela, taking on Nolan McLean for the USA. Let’s get stuck into this final and make a prediction.
These teams have met plenty of times during a World Baseball Classic in the past. They clashed three times in the 2009 competition with Venezuela winning twice, including in the knockout stages.
In 2017 and 2023 it was the USA who came out on top, winning by two runs on each occasion. The USA have had the better of the argument in general in recent years, beating Venezuela in the 3rd/4th playoff of the 2024 WBSC Premier 12 when they last met.
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United States v Venezuela Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.37 | 3.11 |
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1.37 | 3.11 |
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1.38 | 3.1 |
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1.38 | 2.78 |
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1.38 | 2.78 |
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United States vs Venezuela Form
United States and Venezuela Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
17 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
15 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
13 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
10 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
9 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
7 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
17 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
10 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
9 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
7 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
19 Mar 2023 - World Baseball Classic
12 Mar 2023 - World Baseball Classic
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
15 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
13 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
6 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
21 Mar 2023 - World Baseball Classic
18 Mar 2023 - World Baseball Classic
15 Mar 2023 - World Baseball Classic
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
17 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
16 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
14 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
11 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
9 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
7 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
11 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
7 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
6 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
6 Feb 2025 - Serie del Caribe
5 Feb 2025 - Serie del Caribe
4 Feb 2025 - Serie del Caribe
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
17 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
16 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
14 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
9 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
3 Feb 2025 - Serie del Caribe
31 Jan 2025 - Serie del Caribe
United States vs Venezuela Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
17 Mar 2026 - World Baseball Classic
18 Mar 2023 - World Baseball Classic
United States - Venezuela: Form Analysis
Both teams come into the final with a single loss each in the tournament. The loss for Venezuela came against the Dominican Republic who the USA beat in the semis, while the defeat for the USA came against Italy who Venezuela beat in the semis!
That suggests that there is going to be very little between these two teams, it is going to come down to the execution on the day, both with the bat and in the field.
Both teams have won against the team who inflicted the only defeat in the tournament on the other
The USA have been tightening up their play, not making an error in either of their knockout games after committing five in their four Pool games. Venezuela made a error in their opening Pool game with the Netherlands but have been perfect in their fielding ever since.
There is very little to separate these two teams at the plate. The USA are batting .272, Venezuela .271. They have scored 56 and 55 runs respectively, both hitting nine home runs in the process. Venezuela coming out on top in stolen bases 8-6, though they have been caught twice and the USA have been perfect.
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United States & Venezuela Squad Analysis
Eduardo Rodriguez will get the start for Venezuela here. He took the loss against the Dominican Republic in the final Pool game where he gave up three runs un two and 2/3 innings. The veteran lefty knows the USA lineup well enough and vice versa.
The USA will start Nolan McLean, a 24-year-old who picked up a little bit of MLB experience last year with the New York Mets. He took the loss in the game with Italy, giving up three runs in three innings.
Pitching will be all important with neither starter going well in thier first outing at the tourmament
Venezuela have Ronald Acuna of the Braves hitting leadoff, he has done a great job of getting on base in this tournament with Luis Arraez driving in 10 runs so far, along with his usual exceptional batting average which fans have come to expect.
The USA are led by Aaron Judge. He may have only picked up six hits in the six games so far but two of them have been home runs and he has six walks to go along with them for an on base percentage of .414.
United States - Venezuela Key Points
- The USA have won five of the last six times these teams have clashed, with four of those five wins coming by two runs or more.
- The two best pitching teams in terms of ERA in the tournament were the Dominican Republic and Canada who the USA have beaten on their way to the final.
- The USA are the designated home team won by coin flip and also quite literally with the game held in Miami.
- Venezuela came from behind to beat Japan and Italy but the USA bullpen is stronger and has an extra day of rest coming into this final.
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Our United States vs Venezuela Prediction
United States vs Venezuela Alternative Predictions
United States wins
Under 8.5 runs
United States vs Venezuela - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
