Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Leipzig
13/10/2026 15:00
PSV Eindhoven

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5 goals

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Champions League Predictions

Leipzig were beaten by Como in their last UEFA Champions League game. Eindhoven, their next opponent, picked up a draw last time out but will face a tough task when they travel to the Redbull Arena. Leipzig are favorites to win, but each side has been scoring freely in recent league games, so our Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven match prediction is over 3.5 goals.

Boeren beat Heerenveen 2-0 in the VriendenLoterij Eredivisie, their sixth victory in eight games. They have also been prolific in front of goal, netting 12 goals in their past five matches. This should give PSV Eindhoven confidence to get a goal against Leipzig even though they are underdogs ahead of Tuesday's clash. Die Roten Bullen have also been very prolific in front of goal, with their last match being a 6-0 destruction of Frankfurt.

This was their second high-scoring game in a three-match run that included a 5-0 rout over HSV. Leipzig have also scored in seven of their past eight games, netting 23 goals. One advantage that could push Leipzig over the edge is their home form, which includes ten straight wins. At home against PSV, Leipzig should win comfortably, picking up all three points. However, with both teams scoring a lot of goals, we expect their first Champions League H2H to end with four goals or more.

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Leipzig v PSV Eindhoven Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.76 4.3 3.8
1xbet
1.83 4.52 4.05
Melbet
1.83 4.24 3.68
Betwinner
1.83 4.24 3.68
22bet
1.77 4.36 3.9
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leipzig and PSV Eindhoven?

Our prediction for the Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven match is: Over 3.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/10/2026 between Leipzig and PSV Eindhoven in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.19% for a win of Leipzig against PSV Eindhoven with odds of 1.9 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven is 12.42% with odds of 4.52 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 37.39% chance ⭐ for a win of PSV Eindhoven vs Leipzig with odds of 4.05 at 1xbet.

Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven Form

Leipzig and PSV Eindhoven's standings in the Champions League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
19 PSV Eindhoven
1 1 0 1 0 0
32 Leipzig
0 1 0 0 1 -3

Leipzig and PSV Eindhoven Last Matches

Leipzig
Leipzig Last matches
W L L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
6 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt

20 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Leipzig

13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
5 :  0
Hamburg

10 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Como 1907
4 :  1
Leipzig

5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
3 :  1
Leipzig

29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
3 :  0
Mönchengladbach
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
6 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt

13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
5 :  0
Hamburg

29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
3 :  0
Mönchengladbach

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Leipzig
4 :  0
SC Verl

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Leipzig
1 :  0
Ingolstadt

9 May 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  1
St. Pauli
L L W L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Leipzig

10 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Como 1907
4 :  1
Leipzig

5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
3 :  1
Leipzig

22 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

Eintracht Trier
0 :  6
Leipzig

15 Aug 2026 - Telekom Cup

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Leipzig

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
2 :  0
Leipzig
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven Last matches
W W D W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  0
Heerenveen

20 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
3 :  2
PSV Eindhoven

13 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
4 :  1
Sparta Rotterdam

10 Sept 2026 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
1 :  1
Shakhtar Donetsk

5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  3
PSV Eindhoven

30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
1 :  6
PSV Eindhoven
L D W D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  0
Heerenveen

13 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
4 :  1
Sparta Rotterdam

10 Sept 2026 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
1 :  1
Shakhtar Donetsk

23 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
5 :  1
Groningen

8 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  2
Fortuna Sittard

2 Aug 2026 - Johan Cruijff Schaal

PSV Eindhoven
0 :  4
AZ Alkmaar
D W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
3 :  2
PSV Eindhoven

5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  3
PSV Eindhoven

30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
1 :  6
PSV Eindhoven

15 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Excelsior
1 :  2
PSV Eindhoven

10 May 2026 - Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles
1 :  4
PSV Eindhoven

2 May 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
PSV Eindhoven

Leipzig - PSV Eindhoven: Form Analysis

Die Roten Bullen arrives after a 6-0 home win over Eintracht Frankfurt, in which Christopher Nkunku scored a first-half hat-trick. Ezekiel Banzuzi, Antonio Nusa and Tidiam Gomis added the other goals.

That result followed a 5-0 home win over HSV, sandwiched by away defeats at Werder Bremen (3-1) and Bayer Leverkusen (2-0).

As for the Champions League, Leipzig opened campaign with a 4-1 loss at Como, with Andrija Maksimović scoring the consolation. Away from home they have lost at Bremen, Leverkusen and Como, with only a 6-0 DFB-Pokal win at Trier to show for it. But the German side's home record gives hope.

Leipzig have scored 14 goals and conceded none in their three Bundesliga home games this season.

Boeren, meanwhile, beat Heerenveen 2-0 through a Guus Til header and an own goal, in what proved an easy win. Notably, PSV have won 6 of their 8 Eredivisie games this season, and their only defeat was 3-2 at Twente, on the road.

In Europe, PSV drew 1-1 at home to Shakhtar Donetsk, with Sergiño Dest equalizing within three minutes of the restart. On the road in their next UCL game, the odds aren't looking brighter for the Dutch club.

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Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven last Lineups

Leipzig

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

26
M. Vandevoordt
17
R. Baku
4
W. Orban
23
C. Lukeba
22
D. Raum
6
E. Banzuzi
21
N. El Aynaoui
30
A. Maksimovic
28
C. Nkunku
7
A. Nusa
40
Romulo
21
S. Mijnans
7
R. van Bommel
20
G. Til
19
E. Bajraktarevic
31
N. Fernandez
24
K. Sano
17
Mauro Junior
4
A. Obispo
6
R. Flamingo
8
S. Dest
32
M. Kovar

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

PSV Eindhoven

Substitutes

Leipzig
Leipzig
Goalkeeper

O. Nyland

Defender

M. Finkgrafe

M. Esteve

L. Klostermann

B. Henrichs

Midfielder

N. Seiwald

B. Gruda

R. Reitz

Forward

T. Gomis

PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Goalkeeper

K. Ngom

N. Olij

Defender

Y. Gasiorowski

L. Geertruida

Midfielder

A. Santos

S. Cornecion

Forward

I. Perisic

M. Hansen

D. Man

A. Bouhamdi

F. Kostic

Missing players

Leipzig
Leipzig
Midfielder

C. Baumgartner

A. Ouedraogo

Forward

M. Guiu

PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Defender

K. Sildillia

A. Nagalo

Midfielder

J. Schouten

Mauro Junior

S. Ouaissa

Forward

A. Plea

S. Lammers

D. Man

Leipzig & PSV Eindhoven Squad Analysis

Leipzig are without Christoph Baumgartner, Marc Guiu and Assan Ouédraogo, while Rocco Reitz is a doubt. At least, no suspensions are listed for either side

And the German club fields Christopher Nkunku, who leads Leipzig with four Bundesliga goals and the second-highest expected goals figure at 2.10.

Antonio Nusa has the best average rating in the squad, along with three goals and three assists.

Goalkeeper Maarten Vandevoordti, is also one of the stars for Leipzig, having succeeded in keeping clean sheets in all home league games so far.

On the other hand, PSV have a bigger problem up front. Striker Ricardo Pepi, who has three league goals and the highest expected goals figure in the squad, was injured for the Heerenveen game.

Sven Mijnans started up front in his place. Guus Til is still in action, and he leads Boeren with five Eredivisie goals, ahead of Mijnans on four.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Leipzig
CD Huachipato PSV Eindhoven
Top Goalscorer
Serbia A. Maksimovic (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
USA S. Dest (1 Goals)
Best assists
France C. Nkunku (1 Assists)
Best assists
Curacao A. Obispo (1 Assists)

Leipzig and PSV Eindhoven Stats in Champions League

Leipzig
Leipzig
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
0%
Wins
0%
100%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
100%
5
Average goals per match
2
1
Goals scored per match
1
4
Goals conceded per match
1
0%
Under 2.5 goals
100%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
0%
No goals conceded
0%
100%
BTTS
100%

Leipzig - PSV Eindhoven Key Points

  1. Leipzig have scored in five of their past six games.
  2. PSV have netted in each of their past nine outings.
  3. The home side scored 6-0 in their last league match.
  4. Boeren has scored two or more goals per game in eight of their past nine games.
  5. Leipzig have scored 18 goals in their past four home outings.
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Our Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Leipzig is tipped to win Tuesday's game due to the gap in quality between the two sides. Die Roten Bullen are also a high-scoring team with a strong home record that includes ten straight victories. Their last three games at home saw them score 14 goals, and now they welcome PSV Eindhoven to the Red Bull Arena in what will likely be a high-scoring tie.

Boeren will likely get on the scoresheet, stretching their scoring run to ten games. With both teams poised to play end-to-end football, our Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven prediction is Over 3.5 Goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5 goals

 
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Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven Alternative Predictions

Leipzig wins

Odds 1.72
Leipzig have won their last eight home games across all competitions, scoring 14 goals and conceding none in three Bundesliga matches at the Red Bull Arena. With that kind of form on a must-win night, we're backing Die Roten Bullen for another home win.
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