Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Champions League Predictions
Atletico Madrid are down at 25th in the league phase after the first set of games. Their Champions League campaign continues with a home game against fourth-placed Manchester United. The Red and Whites have won their last four games in La Liga and our prediction is they can win this match against an inconsistent United team.
The La Liga club were beaten 2-1 at Liverpool in their opening league phase fixture. Last season saw the Mattress Makers make it all the way to the Champions League semi-finals where they were beaten by Arsenal. A third loss to an English Premier League club should be avoided in this home match.
Manchester United didn't play in Europe last season. The Red Devils qualified for the Champions League this season and had a comfortable 4-0 home win over Sabah in their opening fixture. They are struggling in the English Premier League and will find this trip to Madrid a difficult task.
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Atletico Madrid v Manchester United Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.94 | 3.9 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.01 | 4.06 | 3.7 |
|
|
2 | 3.88 | 3.38 |
|
|
2 | 3.88 | 3.38 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.9 | 3.56 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Manchester United?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United match is: Atletico Madrid wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/10/2026 between Atletico Madrid and Manchester United in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.97% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Manchester United with odds of 2.01 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United is 29.27% with odds of 4.06 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 3.75 at Bet365.
Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United Form
Atletico Madrid and Manchester United's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 |
|
25
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Atletico Madrid and Manchester United Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
20 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
13 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
9 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
23 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
19 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
13 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
9 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
16 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2026 - Premier League
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
6 Sept 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
16 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2026 - Premier League
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
6 Sept 2026 - Premier League
22 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
25 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2022 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Mar 2022 - Champions League
23 Feb 2022 - Champions League
Atletico Madrid - Manchester United: Form Analysis
Atletico Madrid are second in La Liga, five points behind leaders Barcelona. They have won six of their eight league games played this season, the only defeat being a 3-0 loss at Bilbao on September 5. At home, Atletico have won three out of four league games this season, only Villarreal coming away with a point.
Their last home league game saw them beat local rivals Real Madrid 2-1.
In European competition, they have only lost one of their last four games and that was inflicted on them by Barcelona.
Manchester United returned to Europe with a 4-0 home win over Basah. This is going to be a far more difficult assignment for the Red Devils.
Inconsistent start for Carrick's side.
The weekend saw them held to a 1-1 home draw in the Premier League by struggling Tottenham. United are 13th in the English Premier League with six points from as many games. Their only league win has been at home to newly-promoted Ipswich Town and they are already 12 points behind leaders Manchester City.
Three away league games have only produced two points.
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Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Musso
DefenderD. Hancko
J. Dominguez
M. Pubill
D. Martinez Moreno
MidfielderJ. Castillo
M. Hjulmand
A. Baena
L. Kang-in
ForwardA. Ortiz
A. Sorloth
J. Alvarez
K. Darlow
DefenderA. Heaven
D. Dalot
MidfielderC. Baleba
S. Lacey
A. Santos
M. Mount
ForwardM. Rashford
J. Zirkzee
Missing players
L. Shaw
MidfielderM. Ugarte
Atletico Madrid & Manchester United Squad Analysis
Atletico Madrid certainly won't want to start their Champions League campaign with a couple of defeats. They have already been beaten away at Anfield and now they host Manchester United. Atletico have won three games since that loss at Anfield, including beating Real Madrid at home.
They have few injury concerns ahead of the visit of Manchester United. Pablo Barrios is a doubt as he has a muscle injury. The injuries that saw Julian Alvarez and Alexander Serloth miss fixtures last month have now cleared up and they will both cause United plenty of problems.
More consistency needed for the Reds.
Manchester United made a winning start, but they have been struggling since then. The weekend saw them lose a lead at Old Tafford to struggling Tottenham. The Red Devils will be without Manuel Ugarte, Patrick Dorgu and Matthijs de Ligt.
Marcus Rashford is back in the English Premier League after his loan spell at Barcelona. He is a doubt for this match as are Kobbie Mainoo and Amad Diallo. They are also in danger of Benjamin Sesko missing out on this game due to a shin problem.
Away form for United has been poor this season with a loss at Hull City on the opening week of the season.
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
M. Llorente
(1 Goals)
B. Fernandes
(1 Goals)
, 
L. Martinez
(1 Goals)
, 
M. Cunha
(1 Goals)
, 
B. Sesko
(1 Goals)
J. Alvarez
(1 Assists)
Y. Tielemans
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Zirkzee
(1 Assists)
, 
B. Mbeumo
(1 Assists)
, 
P. Dorgu
(1 Assists)
Atletico Madrid and Manchester United Stats in Champions League
Atletico Madrid - Manchester United Key Points
- Atletico Madrid have won their four games scoring 11 goals.
- Manchester United have only won one of their last five away games.
- Atletico Madrid recently beat Real Madrid at home.
- Manchester United have gone four games without a win since beating Sabah.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United Prediction
Atletico Madrid will want to get off the mark after their defeat at Liverpool in their opening game of this league phase. They have been in impressive form since then, especially on home soil with a good victory over Real Madrid and are second in La Liga.
There are already some concerns over the future of Michael Carrick. His side is not firing on all cylinders and they were unable to beat Spurs at the weekend. This is going to be difficult and our main Atletico Madrid v Manchester United prediction is Atletico Madrid wins.
Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United Alternative Predictions
Jonathan David scores or assists
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Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United - FAQs
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
