International - CONCACAF Gold Cup
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by Kennedy Kechula in Football Predictions
After their opening two matches in the 2025 Gold Cup, the USA stands among the teams that have already secured progression. The Stars and Stripes take on third-placed Haiti in the final Group D match on Sunday. We have the prediction for this 10th meeting between the two nations.
The USA needs a point to finish top of this group, but going by their recent form, they could get more than that. Mauricio Pochettino is under no pressure after guiding the hosts to two wins in their opening matches.
The USA also won the last two meetings with Haiti, the most recent being in 2021.
Haiti will feel the pressure heading into this game with just a point from their opening two matches. Their latest outing was an improvement, though.
They played to a 1-1 draw with Trinidad & Tobago after having opened their campaign with a 1-0 loss to Saudi Arabia. There’s a chance the USA will rotate their squad in preparation for the third group game.
That should throw some hope Haiti’s way, but the result will not matter much if Saudi Arabia matches or betters it. For a Haiti side that is winless in three matches, even a rotated USA team could still be stronger.
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The Best Betting Odds for USA v Haiti Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.44 | 4.2 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.4 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.2 | 6 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.6 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.2 | 5.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between USA and Haiti?
Our prediction for the USA vs Haiti match is: USA to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/06/2025 between USA and Haiti in CONCACAF Gold Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.9% for a win of USA against Haiti with odds of 1.52 at BC Game.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between USA vs Haiti is 9.7% with odds of 4.8 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Haiti vs USA with odds of 6.45 at Melbet.
USA - Haiti Prediction and Best Odds:
| USA Haiti Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Haiti wins | 50.41% | 6.45 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.08% | 1.68 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 40.48% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Haiti/Haiti | 19.62% | 10 at Betfair |
USA vs Haiti Form
USA and Haiti's standings in the CONCACAF Gold Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
|
4
|
1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
USA and Haiti Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
15 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
22 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies
18 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
23 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies
27 Jun 2024 - Copa America
20 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
15 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
USA against Haiti Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Most goals and assists
USA
Haiti
M. Tillman
(3 Goals)
,
D. Luna
(3 Goals)
M. Arfsten
(3 Assists)
USA - Haiti Key Points
- The USA have two wins in their last two matches.
- Three of Haiti’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Four of the USA’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Haiti suffered two defeats in their last three matches.
- Haiti lost their last two meetings with the USA.
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Our USA vs Haiti Prediction
A loss and a draw in their opening two matches mean Haiti’s fate is outside their hands. Les Grenadiers are crossing their fingers for a Saudi Arabia defeat against Trinidad & Tobago. Even if that happens, Haiti must do something they’ve failed to do in the opening two matches – win.
The USA have dominated this fixture, and even after securing their place in the quarters, it sounds quite unlikely that the home side will fall against Haiti. Going by the USA’s scoring form, our prediction for the USA v Haiti is for the USA to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis USA Haiti
| USA vs Haiti | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA wins | 1.22 | 1.44 | +18.0% |
| Draw | 5 | 4.2 | -16.0% |
| Haiti wins | 10 | 5.5 | -45.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Haiti is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 45.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 10.0% and is now 18.2% (8.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the USA vs. Haiti game!
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Try your luck on this year's CONCACAF Gold Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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