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USA vs Costa Rica Prediction & Betting Tips - CONCACAF Gold Cup

International - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
29/06/2025 19:00
Costa Rica

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
$150 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions

The USA are gunning for an eighth CONCACAF Gold Cup crown, and in their way at the last eight stands Costa Rica. While Costa Rica were runners-up in Group A, the USA topped Group D to set up this match. We have a prediction below, with the winner drawn to meet Canada or Guatemala.

The USA are the second most successful nation in this competition. That and the fact that they are co-hosts once again take them into this match as favorites.

The USA have had a few eye-catching results but will only be focused on a fourth straight win at this competition. The last time they faced Costa Rica competitively, the USA lost 2-0.

Three-time winners Costa Rica have lately found it tough reaching the semis, and this time it won’t be different. They’ve already had one big test, against Mexico at the group stage, and now they face the co-hosts.

This will be a harder game, considering against Mexico both teams needed just a draw to progress, and they played to a 0-0 outcome.

Costa Rica must lace up their scoring boots again if they are at all dreaming of a fourth Gold Cup title. They last played in the semi-finals in 2017, and in each of the last three editions, they ended up at the quarter-finals stage.


 

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The Best Betting Odds for USA v Costa Rica Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Betfred
1.53 3.75 5
William Hill
1.55 3.9 5.5
Betway
1.57 3.8 5.5
Unibet
1.5 4.2 5.8
Vbet
1.5 3.87 5.5
Check all USA vs Costa Rica odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between USA and Costa Rica?

Our prediction for the USA vs Costa Rica match is: over 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/06/2025 between USA and Costa Rica in CONCACAF Gold Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.63% for a win of USA against Costa Rica with odds of 1.57 at Betway.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between USA vs Costa Rica is 19.55% with odds of 4.23 at 22bet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Costa Rica vs USA with odds of 6.1 at BC Game.

USA vs Costa Rica Form

USA and Costa Rica Last Matches

USA
USA Last matches
L L L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

22 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
2 :  1
Haiti

19 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Saudi Arabia
0 :  1
USA

15 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
5 :  0
Trinidad And Tobago

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
0 :  4
Switzerland

7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  2
Turkey

23 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
2 :  1
USA
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

22 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
2 :  1
Haiti

15 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
5 :  0
Trinidad And Tobago

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
0 :  4
Switzerland

7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  2
Turkey

20 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

USA
0 :  1
Panama

22 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
3 :  0
Costa Rica
L L L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Saudi Arabia
0 :  1
USA

23 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
2 :  1
USA

14 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica
0 :  1
USA

15 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  0
USA

27 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Panama
2 :  1
USA

20 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Trinidad And Tobago
2 :  1
USA
Costa Rica
Costa Rica Last matches
W W W W W D
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

22 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
0 :  0
Costa Rica

18 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Costa Rica
2 :  1
Dominican Republic

15 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Costa Rica
4 :  3
Suriname

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Costa Rica
2 :  1
Trinidad And Tobago

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Bahamas
0 :  8
Costa Rica

25 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Costa Rica
6 :  1
Belize
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

18 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Costa Rica
2 :  1
Dominican Republic

15 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Costa Rica
4 :  3
Suriname

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Costa Rica
2 :  1
Trinidad And Tobago

25 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Costa Rica
6 :  1
Belize

14 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Costa Rica
0 :  1
Panama

15 Oct 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Costa Rica
3 :  0
Guatemala
D D L W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
33% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
0 :  0
Costa Rica

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Bahamas
0 :  8
Costa Rica

21 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Belize
0 :  7
Costa Rica

22 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
3 :  0
Costa Rica

18 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Panama
2 :  2
Costa Rica

11 Oct 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Suriname
1 :  1
Costa Rica

USA vs Costa Rica Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

USA

80 %

Draw

0 %

Costa Rica

20 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.8
Total goals
20%
BTTS
2.2
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.6
Goals scored (Team 2)
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5

22 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
3 :  0
Costa Rica

30 Mar 2022 - World Cup

Costa Rica
2 :  0
USA

13 Oct 2021 - World Cup

USA
2 :  1
Costa Rica

9 Jun 2021 - International Friendlies

USA
4 :  0
Costa Rica

2 Feb 2019 - International Friendlies

USA
2 :  0
Costa Rica
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

USA vs Costa Rica last Lineups

USA

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

25
M. Freese
16
A. Freeman
3
C. Richards
13
T. Ream
2
J. Tolkin
14
L. De La Torre
17
M. Tillman
4
T. Adams
7
Q. Sullivan
24
P. Agyemang
11
B. Aaronson
9
M. Ugalde
10
B. Aguilera
12
A. Martinez
20
J. Alcocer
8
J. Mora
14
O. Galo
22
C. Mora
15
F. Calvo
4
J. Vargas
3
J. Mitchell
1
K. Navas

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Costa Rica

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato USA
CD Huachipato Costa Rica
Top Goalscorer
USA M. Tillman (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Costa Rica M. Ugalde (3 Goals)
Best assists
USA D. Luna (2 Assists)
USA M. Arfsten (2 Assists)
Best assists
Costa Rica B. Aguilera (1 Assists)
Costa Rica M. Ugalde (1 Assists)

USA - Costa Rica Key Points

  1. Both teams scored in 50% of the USA’s last 10 matches.
  2. Eight of the USA’s last 10 games had over 2.5 goals.
  3. 13 goals were scored in the USA’s last five matches.
  4. Four of Costa Rica’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
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Our USA vs Costa Rica Prediction

In a January 2025 friendly match, the USA whipped Costa Rica 3-0 to return to winning ways in this fixture. It was the fourth time in six matches that the two nations met in friendlies. We expect a tighter, more competitive match in the Sunday meeting between the nations.

The USA are favorites here, but in Costa Rica’s current shape, even the hosts will have to sweat it out in a contest that should see fine margins and a possibly high score. Our prediction for the USA v Costa Rica is for over 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

USA vs Costa Rica Prediction
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